714 Tilden St · Fairmont, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy 2 bedroom home with single car garage in a convenient central location. This home is a slight fixer-upper featuring original hardwood floors, two main floor bedrooms, eat-in kitchen, spacious backyard, and alley access. Garage measures 14X24. The central air unit is not working. The seller will leave the 2 window air units in the basement.
Key facts
- Alley access
- Spacious backyard
- Eat-in kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($956 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.4% in Fairmont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#407 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Fairmont Area School District (town): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #148 of 301 in MN (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Martin County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $80k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.86%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,143
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $19,147
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56031
- Active inventory
- 93
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $956 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $978/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$201
- Net cashflow
- $221
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $266 | -5% $244 | +0% $221 | +5% $199 | +10% $176 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $146 | -5% $183 | +0% $221 | +5% $259 | +10% $297 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $261 | -0.5pp $241 | base $221 | +0.5pp $200 | +1.0pp $179 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom home with single car garage in a convenient central location. This home is a slight fixer-upper featuring original hardwood floors, two main floor bedrooms, eat-in kitchen, spacious backyard, and alley access. Garage measures 14X24. The central air unit is not working. The seller will leave the 2 window air units in the basement.
-
2026-04-20price $79,900 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom home with single car garage in a convenient central location. This home is a slight fixer-upper featuring original hardwood floors, two main floor bedrooms, eat-in kitchen, spacious backyard, and alley access. Garage measures 14X24. The central air unit is not working. The seller will leave the 2 window air units in the basement.
-
2026-02-02$89,900 Active 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom home with single car garage in a convenient central location. This home is a slight fixer-upper featuring original hardwood floors, two main floor bedrooms, eat-in kitchen, spacious backyard, and alley access. Garage measures 14X24. The central air unit is not working. The seller will leave the 2 window air units in the basement.
-
2006-06-09soldstatus $42,500 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Great starter home! New vinyl windows newer lennox pulse furnace. Includes all appliances and washer and dryer.
-
2006-06-08soldstatus $42,500
-
2006-05-30historical 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Great starter home! New vinyl windows newer lennox pulse furnace. Includes all appliances and washer and dryer.
-
2006-05-16$39,900 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Great starter home! New vinyl windows newer lennox pulse furnace. Includes all appliances and washer and dryer.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $978 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $978 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,468
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$978
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$917
- − Management
- −$917
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $1,456
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$349
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,305/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fairmont Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 2700124
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,280
- Composite
- 40.76/100
- National rank
- #3648
- State rank
- #148 of 301 in MN
Livability — Fairmont
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #407
- US rank
- #9480
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fairmont, MN
- City population
- 11,800
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,800
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,583 people
- By 2030
- 17,814 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 16,312 · -12.2%
- By 2050
- 15,021 · -19.2%
- By 2075
- 13,025 · -29.9%
- By 2100
- 11,311 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 11% Romanian 6% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.5% · R 69.1% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.2pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.9 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+23.8 2008: R+15.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.34%
- Current HPI
- 191.514
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+100.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $79,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-02 Listed $89,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-06-09 Sold (MLS) $42,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records
- 2006-05-30 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-05-16 Listed $39,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $978 · -17.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…