131 Central Ave #6 · Ocean City, NJ
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$569,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Your Shore home prayers are answered here in Ocean City's desirable North-end at this beautifully maintained top-floor Condo. Offered fully furnished this home is light and bright with a beachy feel and an open living space. Well appointed kitchen offers all the essential appliances and the dining area is spacious enough for the family. The full bath has been recently upgraded and there is even a storage attic to help keep seasonal items out of the way. Low maintenance exterior includes vinyl siding and windows, and a newer roof of just 4 years. Common area patio features a grill, table with umbrella and chairs, plus shared storage for your beach chairs. Low condo fee includes building & flood insurances plus your water and sewer usage. In the off-season you'll stay warm with efficient Gas Hot-water baseboard heat and a built-in gas-log fireplace. The boxes are checked, come make it yours.
Key facts
- Newer roof
- Top-floor condo
- Storage attic
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $570k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-222 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $538k (5.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $558k (2.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $502k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.3% in Ocean City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#72 in NJ, #1,762 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing D+, cost of living F.
- Ocean City School District (urban): math 31% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #212 of 472 in NJ (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ocean City Primary School (math 54% / reading 42%, grade D, #299 of 1,303 statewide, top 23%, 280 students, 31% FRL); Ocean City Intermediate School (math 26% / reading 49%, grade F, #217 of 431 statewide, top 51%, 370 students, 27% FRL); Ocean City High School (math 33% / reading 63%, grade D, #117 of 399 statewide, top 30%, 1,215 students, 13% FRL) — zoned schools at 24% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 618 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,581/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($102k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($502k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.54%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $637,469
- List price
- $569,900
- Delta
- -10.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 703-05 North St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 900 (+15%) | 5mo | $870,000 | $967 | 52 |
| 809 1st St #1 | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 922 (+18%) | 6mo | $850,000 | $922 | 51 |
| 901 Ocean Ave #314 | 0.83mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 715 (-9%) | 0mo | $330,000 | $462 | 45 |
| 805 Central Ave #3 | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+22%) | 1mo | $561,900 | $585 | 42 |
| 901 Ocean Ave #405 | 0.83mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 715 (-9%) | 5mo | $320,000 | $448 | 41 |
| 718 Simpson Ave #2 | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 890 (+14%) | 2mo | $557,000 | $626 | 41 |
| 921 Wesley Ave Unit A24 | 0.83mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 700 (-11%) | 3mo | $289,999 | $414 | 40 |
| 901 Ocean Ave #316 | 0.83mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 715 (-9%) | 7mo | $325,000 | $455 | 40 |
| 853-71 Plymouth #19 | 0.67mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 625 (-20%) | 1mo | $492,500 | $788 | 38 |
| 901 Ocean Ave #201 | 0.83mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 637 (-19%) | 1mo | $319,000 | $501 | 34 |
| 25 W 14th St #1 | 1.34mi | 2/1.0 | 980 (+25%) | 9mo | $519,000 | $530 | 33 |
| 935 Ocean Ave #605 | 0.87mi | 2/2.0 | 920 (+17%) | 5mo | $690,000 | $750 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-105,960
- Equity at exit
- $84,974
- IRR
- -11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-108,380
- Equity at exit
- $49,275
Cash invested: $159,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08226
- Active inventory
- 618
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,581 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,989
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$712 /mo · $8,548/yr
- Insurance
- −$237
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$266
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,172
- Net cashflow
- $-222
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $172 | -5% $-25 | +0% $-222 | +5% $-419 | +10% $-616 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-663 | -5% $-442 | +0% $-222 | +5% $-1 | +10% $219 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $65 | -0.5pp $-77 | base $-222 | +0.5pp $-369 | +1.0pp $-520 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $142,475
- Closing costs
- $17,097
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 West Ave Unit 1309011P Ocean City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $5,019 | $5.07 | 139d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 340 Central Ave Unit 1 Ocean City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,100 | $2.33 | 1d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 816 Saint James Pl Unit 1377380P Ocean City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 947 | $6,492 | $6.86 | 1d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 714 West Ave Unit 1308989P Ocean City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 753 | $5,230 | $6.95 | 1d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1142 Simpson Ave Unit 1308992P Ocean City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $6,314 | $5.76 | 1d | 1 | 1.11mi |
HOA detail $266/mo · $3,192/yr condo
- Likely covers
- watersewergas
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $569,900 Active 183 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $569,900 Active 180 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $569,900 Active 179 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $569,900 Active 178 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $569,900 Active 177 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $569,900 Active 176 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $569,900 Active 175 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $569,900 Active 174 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $569,900 Active 173 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $569,900 Active 172 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $569,900 Active 171 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $569,900 Active 165 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $569,900 Active 164 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $569,900 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-09-02days on market $569,900 Active 162 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $569,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $569,900 Active 157 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $569,900 Active 156 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $569,900 Active 154 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $569,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $569,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $569,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $569,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $569,900 Active 149 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $569,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $569,900 Active 147 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $569,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $569,900 Active 145 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $569,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $569,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $569,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $569,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $569,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $569,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $569,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $569,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $569,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $569,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $569,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $569,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $569,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $569,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $569,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $569,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $569,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $569,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $569,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $569,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $569,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $569,900 Active 118 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $66,976
- − Mortgage interest
- −$31,923
- − Property taxes
- −$8,548
- − Insurance
- −$7,968
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,358
- − Management
- −$5,358
- − HOA
- −$3,192
- − Depreciation
- −$16,579
- Taxable loss
- −$11,951
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,868
- After-tax cash flow
- $208/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This top-floor condo in Ocean City's North-end is well-maintained and fully furnished, with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed. Fresh paint and updated flooring would significantly boost its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Slight wear visible on some cabinet doors.
- Minor Landscaping — Basic landscaping, no major curb appeal features visible.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint freshening — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both New flooring — Replacing carpet with hardwood or tile would increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping upgrade — Enhanced landscaping would improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ocean City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3411970
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,444
- Composite
- 37.07/100
- National rank
- #4506
- State rank
- #212 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Ocean City
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #72
- US rank
- #1762
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ocean City, NJ
- County
- Cape May · 88,234 people
- City population
- 11,260
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,260
- Household income
- $101,782
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Cape May County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 88,234 people
- By 2030
- 84,144 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 75,146 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 67,389 · -23.6%
- By 2075
- 55,732 · -36.8%
- By 2100
- 44,972 · -49.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 2% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Cape May
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 39.7% · R 58.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+15.9 2016: R+19.9 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -381.90%
- Current HPI
- 389.3687
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Listed $569,900 SJSRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…