🏗️ New Construction
RC Keswick Plan · Oklahoma City, OK
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This single-story home is designed for modern lifestyles. A spacious and flexible open-concept layout combines the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. One bedroom is tucked away to the side, with two additional bedrooms located at the back of the home, including the lavish owner's suite with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Listed 73 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing status: Active
- Financial info: List price $199,900
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; 2 total parking spaces
- Home design: Single-family plan (RC Keswick); New construction plan
- Construction: Living area approximately 1051; Built from RC Keswick plan
- Exterior features: Located on SW-facing street (SW 36th St, Mustang)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Open living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-336/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (12.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $176k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.7% in Oklahoma City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F.
- Mustang (suburban): math 35% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #28 of 270 in OK (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 523 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 260 units permitted in Canadian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Canadian County population projected at +64% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.59%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $204,945
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3637 Blue Ave | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,051 (0%) | 4mo | $199,900 | $190 | 95 |
| 12020 SW 36th St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,051 (0%) | 3mo | $199,900 | $190 | 94 |
| 3636 Blue Ave | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,051 (0%) | 7mo | $204,000 | $194 | 92 |
| 12100 SW 36th St | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,051 (0%) | 6mo | $204,700 | $195 | 91 |
| 3625 Pete St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,051 (0%) | 10mo | $202,800 | $193 | 87 |
| 3601 Blue Ave | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,051 (0%) | 10mo | $197,530 | $188 | 87 |
| 3421 Little Creek Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,051 (0%) | 9mo | $204,384 | $194 | 82 |
| 12033 SW 31st | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,012 (-4%) | 7mo | $196,999 | $195 | 70 |
| 3116 Aidyn Ct | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+10%) | 4mo | $276,900 | $240 | 58 |
| 11937 SW 30th St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+10%) | 12mo | $270,900 | $235 | 52 |
| 3217 Scissortail Way | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+14%) | 10mo | $261,490 | $218 | 48 |
| 3205 Scissortail Way | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+14%) | 11mo | $261,490 | $218 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-40,116
- Equity at exit
- $30,558
- IRR
- -22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.01×
- Total profit
- $-57,023
- Equity at exit
- $17,720
Cash invested: $57,385 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73064
- Home prices YoY
- -17.9%
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 523
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,757 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$256 /mo · $3,074/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$369
- Net cashflow
- $-28
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $114 | -5% $43 | +0% $-28 | +5% $-99 | +10% $-170 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-167 | -5% $-97 | +0% $-28 | +5% $41 | +10% $111 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $75 | -0.5pp $24 | base $-28 | +0.5pp $-81 | +1.0pp $-135 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,236
- Closing costs
- $6,148
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12044 SW 36th St Mustang, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,595 | $1.09 | 17d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3629 Maggie Rd Mustang, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,595 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 3629 Maggie Rd Mustang, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,595 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 3617 Maggie Rd Mustang, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,595 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 3617 Maggie Rd Mustang, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,595 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 3605 Maggie Rd Mustang, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,595 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3300 S Mustang Rd Yukon, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 818 | $1,693 | $2.07 | 2d | 16 | 1.10mi |
| 11521 SW 24th St Yukon, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1398 | $1,595 | $1.14 | 5d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $199,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 53 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,089
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,480
- − Property taxes
- −$3,074
- − Insurance
- −$1,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,687
- − Management
- −$1,687
- − Depreciation
- −$5,962
- Taxable loss
- −$3,826
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$918
- After-tax cash flow
- $583/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This single-story home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good exterior, flooring, and interior walls/paint. The home is move-in ready with minor maintenance required.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace gutters — Improves drainage and extends home's lifespan
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace gutters — Improves drainage and extends home's lifespan ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mustang
- NCES district ID
- 4021000
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,559
- Composite
- 31.21/100
- National rank
- #6038
- State rank
- #28 of 270 in OK
Livability — Oklahoma City
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1635
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oklahoma City, OK
- County
- Canadian County · 154,341 people
- City population
- 498,656
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,919
- Household income
- $94,402
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 384.0
Population outlook (Canadian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,062 people
- By 2030
- 195,170 · +12.1%
- By 2040
- 239,293 · +37.5%
- By 2050
- 285,457 · +64.0%
- By 2075
- 403,766 · +132.0%
- By 2100
- 498,766 · +186.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Native American 3% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Scottish 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Canadian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.4) · D 28.8% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.9pp toward D · 2008: -52.2pp · 2024: -40.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.4 2020: R+43.3 2016: R+51.2 2012: R+54.4 2008: R+52.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.66%
- Current HPI
- 260.2863
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.33%
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…