5816 Cherokee Cluster Cmn N · Virginia Beach, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.9/30.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- ARV discount +5.8/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment! Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhouse in the highly desirable Kempsville area, located within the sought-after Kempsville school district. This home features a functional layout with a spacious living area, dining space, and a well-equipped kitchen. Upstairs offers three generously sized bedrooms, including a primary suite with a private bath. Proven as a strong rental property, this home presents an excellent opportunity. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major interstates—offering both comfort and long-term value. Tenant requires 48 hour notice for showings. Property is being sold as part of a portfolio - 10628151 and 10628119.
Key facts
- Spacious living area
- Private bath
- Primary suite
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA fees
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway spaces
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Attached townhouse; 2 stories; Slab foundation; Simple ownership
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Brick siding; Wood fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: No bedroom and full bathroom on first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
- Interior features: 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (12.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $228k (12.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.5% in Virginia Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#38 in VA, #880 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
- Va Beach City Public School District (urban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #10 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Arrowhead Elementary (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B+, #381 of 1,108 statewide, top 36%, 525 students, 57% FRL); Kempsville High (math 73% / reading 78%, grade A-, #105 of 319 statewide, top 33%, 2,006 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 28% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 666 units permitted in Virginia Beach city in 2024 (347 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Virginia Beach County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($244k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $260k implies a 215% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.82%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $250,258
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5704 Colter Ct | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 1,467 (-8%) | 0mo | $283,000 | $193 | 81 |
| 116 Bristol Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,532 (-4%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $147 | 73 |
| 108 Bristol Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,532 (-4%) | 9mo | $242,000 | $158 | 68 |
| 135 Bristol Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 | 1,660 (+4%) | 13mo | $255,000 | $154 | 64 |
| 6064 Foresttown Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,532 (-4%) | 12mo | $237,452 | $155 | 63 |
| 141 Bristol Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,532 (-4%) | 10mo | $241,000 | $157 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-25,125
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $18,510
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23462
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 227
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,281 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$160 /mo · $1,918/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$479
- Net cashflow
- $171
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $318 | -5% $245 | +0% $171 | +5% $98 | +10% $24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-9 | -5% $81 | +0% $171 | +5% $261 | +10% $352 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $302 | -0.5pp $237 | base $171 | +0.5pp $104 | +1.0pp $35 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5617 Morningside Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1291 | $1,850 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 6114 Lyndhurst Ave Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,395 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 5828 Susquehanna Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1710 | $2,750 | $1.61 | 3d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 5931 Sellger Dr Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,550 | $1.55 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 6163 Kempsville Cir Norfolk, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1120 | $3,008 | $2.69 | 3d | 12 | 0.79mi |
| 6650 Stoney Point South Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1562 | $2,100 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 150 Loflin Way Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,775 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 6647 Ethan Allen Ln Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1176 | $1,750 | $1.49 | 11d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 323 Honaker Ave Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,600 | $1.30 | 12d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 6602 Stoney Point North Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1562 | $1,795 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 5382 Leicester Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1320 | $1,900 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5363 Leicester Ct Unit 1 Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1330 | $2,000 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5441 Greenwich Rd Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1075 | $3,149 | $2.93 | 3d | 13 | 1.02mi |
| 345 W Palmyra Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1927 | $2,450 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 113 S Parliament Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1770 | $2,600 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 5313 Sir Barton Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1556 | $2,750 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 400 S Military Hwy Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1093 | $2,495 | $2.28 | 3d | 9 | 1.33mi |
| 5516 Seawall Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1125 | $2,421 | $2.15 | 3d | 18 | 1.42mi |
| 6333 Tuttle Ave Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,695 | $1.50 | 5d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5775 W Hastings Arch Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $259,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $259,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $259,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $259,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $259,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $259,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $259,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $259,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-04-03$259,900 Active
-
2003-07-17soldstatus $82,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,918 · $160/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,131 · $178/mo
- Expected delta
- +$213/yr (+$18/mo · 11.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,377
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$1,918
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,190
- − Management
- −$2,190
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable loss
- −$2,339
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$561
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,617/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Va Beach City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103840
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,452
- Composite
- 63.81/100
- National rank
- #594
- State rank
- #10 of 131 in VA
Livability — Virginia Beach
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #880
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Virginia Beach, VA
- County
- Virginia Beach City · 448,227 people
- City population
- 448,227
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,151
- Household income
- $69,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3906.0
Population outlook (Virginia Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 480,401 people
- By 2030
- 491,221 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 504,882 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 508,847 · +5.9%
- By 2075
- 504,831 · +5.1%
- By 2100
- 465,867 · -3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Virginia Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.5 2012: R+2.5 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -269.19%
- Current HPI
- 333.1908
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.61%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+215.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Listed $259,900 REINMLS
- 2003-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,918 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…