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7 Keller Ln
D Composite 41.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +7.6/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.1/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,325,000

7 Keller Ln · Staples, CT 06880
6 bd · 2.5 ba · 3,071 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1952 0.37 ac lot $431/sqft · 36% below area Est $2079k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Pristine Classic Westport Colonial thoughtfully updated to accommodate today's lifestyle. Home offers a gracious Living Room/Fpl/dining area, Six spacious Bedrooms plus 22x 28 Bonus room. Two bedrooms plus full bath on main Level. 16 x 23 Primary Bedroom plus 3 generous bedrooms on upper level. This level serviced by luxurious updated Full Bath. Kitchen is appointed with upscale appliances including 2025 Refrigerator and red oak flooring. Flexible Room 22x28/half bath can fulfill whatever your needs- in law, office family room all possibilities. Situated on private cul de sac ($500 annual contribution-no formal assoc)on. 37 acre in heart of Westport. Shopping, restuarants, beaches, town own

Key facts

  • Updated full bath
  • Private cul de sac
  • Upscale appliances

Tags

UPDATED FULL BATHUPSCALE APPLIANCESRED OAK FLOORINGPRIVATE CUL DE SAC

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Two-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Oil hot water and heating; Fuel tank located in basement; Generator-ready; Storm doors
  • Home design: Single-family home; Grey exterior
  • Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Beach rights; Located on a cul-de-sac

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Six bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Split system; Zoned cooling; Hot water heat (oil-fired); Oil hot water heater in basement
  • Interior features: Auto garage door opener; Cable available; Possible in-law apartment; One fireplace; Has attic with hatch access; Bonus room
  • Laundry & utility: Large laundry room with built-in ironing board; Main level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $1.32M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-23k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $990k (25.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $819k (38.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $819k (38.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Westport School District (suburban): math 74% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #3 of 153 in CT (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 2% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Long Lots School (math 76% / reading 86%, grade A+, #20 of 553 statewide, top 4%, 590 students, 2% FRL); Staples High School (math 76% / reading 92%, grade A, #3 of 194 statewide, top 1%, 1,686 students, 2% FRL) — zoned schools at 2% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($250k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $40k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.31M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $819,080 (38.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.62%
Cap rate
4.57%
Cash-on-cash
-6.14%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
13.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$2,078,819
List price
$1,325,000
Delta
-36.26%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.4%
Equity multiple
0.15×
Total profit
$-314,087
Equity at exit
$197,562
10-year hold
IRR
-14.4%
Equity multiple
0.09×
Total profit
$-336,196
Equity at exit
$114,562

Cash invested: $371,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06880

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
196
Price-to-rent
13.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$8,191 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6,948
Tax from tax record
$867 /mo · $10,408/yr
Insurance
$552
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,720
Net cashflow
$-1,897

Break-even live

Break-even rent $10,592
Max offer price $989,864
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$331,250
Closing costs
$39,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
26 Long Lots Ln Westport, CT 5.0 4.5 4127 $16,500 $4.00 44d 1 0.33mi
10 Fernwood Rd Westport, CT 5.0 3.5 4029 $13,000 $3.23 3d 1 1.30mi
20 Joann Cir Westport, CT 5.0 4.0 3392 $14,000 $4.13 24d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $1,325,000 Under Contract 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,325,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,325,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,325,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $1,325,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,325,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,325,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,325,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 19 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    status $1,325,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 18 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,325,000 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-05-13
    listed $1,325,000 Active 746-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$10,408 · $867/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$19,382 · $1,615/mo
Expected delta
+$8,974/yr (+$748/mo · 86.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 18 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$98,290
− Mortgage interest
−$74,221
− Property taxes
−$10,408
− Insurance
−$6,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$7,863
− Management
−$7,863
− Depreciation
−$38,545
Taxable loss
−$47,236
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$11,337
After-tax cash flow
$-11,429/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westport School District
NCES district ID
0905040
Math proficiency
74% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
82% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$156,579
Composite
76.16/100
National rank
#114
State rank
#3 of 153 in CT

Livability — Staples

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Staples, CT
County
Fairfield County · 765,532 people
City population
27,364
Metro
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
Population (ZIP)
27,583
Household income
$250,001
Rent vs Own
11.2% rent · 88.8% own
Severe rent burden
225.0

Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
685,031

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
85% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
All cycles
2024: D+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -608.79%
Current HPI
200.5498
Rent YoY
▲ 5.58%
Metro
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-31 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $1,325,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $10,408 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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