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390 Locust Ave
D Composite 43.44
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.7/15.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$550,000

390 Locust Ave · Uniondale, NY 11553
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1947 4,000 sqft lot Est $578k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Hurry in to see this Beautifully Meticulously Maintained Cape Home with beautiful curbside appeal, new roof, siding and windows. Amazing location- minutes from parks, schools, shopping, dining and public transportation.

Key facts

  • Full gut renovation
  • Finished basement
  • Airports

Tags

FULL GUT RENOVATIONFINISHED BASEMENTOUTSIDE SEPARATE ENTRANCEMAJOR PARKWAYSSHOPPINGAIRPORTS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Living area reported by appraiser
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: At least one bedroom on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central air listed
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Full basement with walk-out access; Partial attic
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $550k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-125 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $528k (4.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $467k (15.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $467k (15.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.0% in Uniondale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#152 in NY, #2,360 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living F.
  • Uniondale Union Free School District (suburban): math 59% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #164 of 590 in NY (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: California Avenue Elementary School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,846 of 2,108 statewide, top 91%, 663 students, 63% FRL); Lawrence Road Middle School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #611 of 729 statewide, top 88%, 682 students, 65% FRL); Uniondale High School (math 83% / reading 90%, grade A, #336 of 1,100 statewide, top 31%, 2,080 students, 62% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 45% at this address vs 64% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Uniondale Union Free School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($542k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $405k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $466,833 (15.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.02%
Cash-on-cash
-0.97%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$577,920
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
384 Emerson Pl 0.06mi 6/3.0 1,100 (-2%) 13mo $751,000 $683 79
147 Ruxton St 0.52mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,260 (+12%) 5mo $650,000 $516 46
1048 Midland St 0.38mi 5/3.0 (-1) 1,288 (+15%) 22mo $660,000 $512 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.9%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-97,009
Equity at exit
$82,007
10-year hold
IRR
-10.0%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-94,410
Equity at exit
$47,554

Cash invested: $154,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 11553

Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,668 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,884
Tax from tax record
$700 /mo · $8,395/yr
Insurance
$229
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$980
Net cashflow
$-125

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,827
Max offer price $527,914
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$137,500
Closing costs
$16,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
363 Clarendon Rd Uniondale, NY 7.0 3.0 1434 $5,500 $3.84 43d 1 0.71mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $550,000 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $550,000 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $550,000 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $550,000 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $550,000 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $550,000 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $550,000 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $550,000 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $550,000 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $550,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $550,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $550,000 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $550,000 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $550,000 Active 9 DOM
  15. 2026-05-20
    listed $550,000 Active
  16. 2026-04-01
    soldstatus $405,000
  17. 2025-10-27
    historical
  18. 2025-10-07
    listed $649,000 Active
  19. 2020-11-23
    soldstatus $458,350
  20. 2020-11-06
    soldstatus $445,000 Closed 219-char remark
    Show marketing remark (219 chars)

    Hurry in to see this Beautifully Meticulously Maintained Cape Home with beautiful curbside appeal, new roof, siding and windows. Amazing location- minutes from parks, schools, shopping, dining and public transportation.

  21. 2020-07-30
    listed $425,000 Active 219-char remark
    Show marketing remark (219 chars)

    Hurry in to see this Beautifully Meticulously Maintained Cape Home with beautiful curbside appeal, new roof, siding and windows. Amazing location- minutes from parks, schools, shopping, dining and public transportation.

  22. 2000-05-09
    soldstatus $170,000
  23. 1977-08-01
    soldstatus $38,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$8,395 · $700/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,845 · $737/mo
Expected delta
+$450/yr (+$38/mo · 5.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$56,020
− Mortgage interest
−$30,809
− Property taxes
−$8,395
− Insurance
−$2,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,482
− Management
−$4,482
− Depreciation
−$16,000
Taxable loss
−$10,897
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,615
After-tax cash flow
$1,115/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Uniondale Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3629280
Math proficiency
59% ▲ 8.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▲ 17.00%
Median HH income
$78,596
Composite
57.5/100
National rank
#1071
State rank
#164 of 590 in NY

Livability — Uniondale

Score
78/100
State rank
#152
US rank
#2360

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Uniondale, NY
County
Nassau County · 653,051 people
City population
27,875
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
27,875
Household income
$121,127
Rent vs Own
27.8% rent · 72.2% own
Severe rent burden
673.0

Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,409,302 people
By 2030
1,431,482 · +1.6%
By 2040
1,471,607 · +4.4%
By 2050
1,502,845 · +6.6%
By 2075
1,575,403 · +11.8%
By 2100
1,554,356 · +10.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 44% Black 43% Two or more races 15% White 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 5%
Foreign-born
39% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
49% English-only · Spanish 41% French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Nassau

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-12.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -4.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.2 2020: D+9.5 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -318.80%
Current HPI
351.7828
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1347.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $550,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $405,000 Public Records
  • 2025-10-27 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-07 Listed $649,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $458,350 Public Records
  • 2020-11-06 Sold (MLS) $445,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-30 Listed $425,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
  • 1977-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $8,395 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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