3439 S 184th St #277 · SeaTac, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking to downsize and find affordable living that's simply adorable? Immaculate single wide at Bow Lake (55+ community). This 2018 Fleetwood is perfect for someone who travels and is looking for a home base, snowbirds or just downsizing - it's cheaper than renting! This sunny 1 bedroom, 1 bath, surprisingly spacious 550 sq ft home has true pride of ownership. Most of the furnishings can be included. Features include: Added LeafFilter rain gutter covers, Cooleroo external retractable sun-shades (on West facing windows), and high-intensity security lighting. There's also off-street parking and a sturdy cedar storage shed. This home backs up to a green belt for added privacy and quiet. Bow L
Key facts
- Gated community
- Pool
- Off-street parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Buyer brokerage compensation: 3%
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
- HOA & community: Land lease: $1,285/month; Park name: Bow Lake; Pets: See remarks
Exterior
- Parking: Uncovered parking
- Security: Security gate
- Utilities: Public water (Highline/Sea Tac Water); Sewer service (Midway Sewer District); Electric service (PSE)
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One story; Located in a senior community
- Construction: Fleetwood manufactured home
- Exterior features: Common areas and clubhouse; BBQs; Community waterfront; Exercise room; Pool; Recreational area; RV parking; Security gate
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Washer and dryer; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $25k).
- Cap rate 59.5% vs local median 3.1% in SeaTac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#118 in WA, #2,417 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, cost of living F.
- Highline School District (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #200 of 291 in WA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 96 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 6.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 59.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 189.88%
- DSCR
- 9.45
- GRM
- 1.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $84,037
- List price
- $25,000
- Delta
- -46.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18305 35th Ave S #357 | 0.07mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 540 (-2%) | 4mo | $23,500 | $44 | 83 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.82×
- Total profit
- $61,770
- Equity at exit
- $3,728
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 19.05×
- Total profit
- $126,370
- Equity at exit
- $2,162
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98188
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 1.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,621 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$31 /mo · $375/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$340
- Net cashflow
- $1,108
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17840 32nd Ave S Seatac, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 757 | $1,425 | $1.88 | 12d | 3 | 0.33mi |
| 3508 S 180th St Seatac, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 793 | $1,450 | $1.83 | 12d | 4 | 0.35mi |
| 3425 S 176th St #128 Seatac, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 534 | $1,500 | $2.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3445 S 176th St #401 Seatac, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $1,400 | $2.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3445 S 176th St #401 Seatac, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $1,450 | $2.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3351 S 175th St Seatac, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 665 | $1,850 | $2.78 | 1d | 4 | 0.54mi |
| 3117 S 192nd St Seatac, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $1,722 | $2.55 | 1d | 2 | 0.58mi |
| 4410 S 173rd St Seatac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 723 | $2,100 | $2.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 19707 International Blvd Seatac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 614 | $1,399 | $2.28 | 1d | 20 | 0.98mi |
| 19800 International Blvd Seatac, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 790 | $1,545 | $1.96 | 1d | 13 | 0.99mi |
| 4807 S 172nd Pl Seatac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,550 | $3.64 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 19912 Military Rd S SeaTac, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $1,495 | $2.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 16700 31st Ave S Seatac, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,498 | $2.00 | 43d | 2 | 1.09mi |
| 2929 S 200th St Seatac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 703 | $2,288 | $3.25 | 16d | 12 | 1.13mi |
| 2929 S 200th St Seatac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 703 | $2,335 | $3.32 | 1d | 7 | 1.13mi |
| 2650 S 200th St Seatac, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 566 | $1,767 | $3.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 20036 30th Ave S Unit S8 SeaTac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,795 | $2.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 20036 30th Ave S Unit S9 SeaTac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,795 | $2.39 | 10d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3231 S 204th St Seatac, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 917 | $1,693 | $1.85 | 1d | 7 | 1.38mi |
| 3100 S 208th St Seatac, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 811 | $1,695 | $2.09 | 10d | 4 | 1.47mi |
| 3445 S 160th St Seattle, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,550 | $2.12 | 2d | 5 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-10status $25,000 Pending 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $25,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $25,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $25,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $25,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $25,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $25,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $25,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $25,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-13$45,000 Active
-
2024-09-30soldstatus $50,000 Closed
-
2024-07-29status Pending
-
2024-07-16$50,000 Active
-
2018-06-13soldstatus $53,500 Sold
-
2018-06-04status Pending
-
2018-05-15status Active
-
2018-04-20status Pending
-
2018-02-14status Active
-
2018-02-02status Pending
-
2018-01-26$55,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,449
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$375
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,556
- − Management
- −$1,556
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $13,710
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,290
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,001/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Highline School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303540
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,697
- Composite
- 39.12/100
- National rank
- #8245
- State rank
- #200 of 291 in WA
Livability — SeaTac
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #118
- US rank
- #2417
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- SeaTac, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 62,839
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,311
- Household income
- $76,438
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1341.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.79)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 28% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 21% Asian 15% Two or more races 10% Pacific Islander 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 41% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 6% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -595.95%
- Current HPI
- 334.4203
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.68%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-54.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-27 Listed $25,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-30 Sold (MLS) $50,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-29 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-16 Listed $50,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-13 Sold (MLS) $53,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-04 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-15 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-20 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-02-14 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-02-02 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-01-26 Listed $55,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…