CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3439 S 184th St #277
D+ Composite 45.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$25,000

3439 S 184th St #277 · SeaTac, WA 98188
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 550 sqft · Manufactured · 13 Days on market
Built 2018 $45/sqft · 70% below area ↓ 55% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking to downsize and find affordable living that's simply adorable? Immaculate single wide at Bow Lake (55+ community). This 2018 Fleetwood is perfect for someone who travels and is looking for a home base, snowbirds or just downsizing - it's cheaper than renting! This sunny 1 bedroom, 1 bath, surprisingly spacious 550 sq ft home has true pride of ownership. Most of the furnishings can be included. Features include: Added LeafFilter rain gutter covers, Cooleroo external retractable sun-shades (on West facing windows), and high-intensity security lighting. There's also off-street parking and a sturdy cedar storage shed. This home backs up to a green belt for added privacy and quiet. Bow L

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Pool
  • Off-street parking

Tags

LEAFFILTER RAIN GUTTER COVERSOFF-STREET PARKINGCEDAR STORAGE SHEDBACKS UP TO A GREEN BELTGATED COMMUNITYPOOL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Buyer brokerage compensation: 3%
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
  • HOA & community: Land lease: $1,285/month; Park name: Bow Lake; Pets: See remarks

Exterior

  • Parking: Uncovered parking
  • Security: Security gate
  • Utilities: Public water (Highline/Sea Tac Water); Sewer service (Midway Sewer District); Electric service (PSE)
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One story; Located in a senior community
  • Construction: Fleetwood manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Common areas and clubhouse; BBQs; Community waterfront; Exercise room; Pool; Recreational area; RV parking; Security gate

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Washer and dryer; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $25k).
  • Cap rate 59.5% vs local median 3.1% in SeaTac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#118 in WA, #2,417 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Highline School District (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #200 of 291 in WA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 96 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $25,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.48%
Cap rate
59.46%
Cash-on-cash
189.88%
DSCR
9.45
GRM
1.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$84,037
List price
$25,000
Delta
-46.45%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18305 35th Ave S #357 0.07mi 2/1.5 (+1) 540 (-2%) 4mo $23,500 $44 83

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.82×
Total profit
$61,770
Equity at exit
$3,728
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
19.05×
Total profit
$126,370
Equity at exit
$2,162

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98188

Rents YoY
-0.7%
Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
1.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,621 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax est. 1.5%
$31 /mo · $375/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$340
Net cashflow
$1,108

Break-even live

Break-even rent $219
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 27%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17840 32nd Ave S Seatac, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 757 $1,425 $1.88 12d 3 0.33mi
3508 S 180th St Seatac, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 793 $1,450 $1.83 12d 4 0.35mi
3425 S 176th St #128 Seatac, WA 1.0 1.0 534 $1,500 $2.81 43d 1 0.43mi
3445 S 176th St #401 Seatac, WA 1.0 1.0 608 $1,400 $2.30 14d 1 0.48mi
3445 S 176th St #401 Seatac, WA 1.0 1.0 608 $1,450 $2.38 43d 1 0.48mi
3351 S 175th St Seatac, WA 1.0 1.0 665 $1,850 $2.78 1d 4 0.54mi
3117 S 192nd St Seatac, WA 1.0 1.0 676 $1,722 $2.55 1d 2 0.58mi
4410 S 173rd St Seatac, WA 2.0 1.0 723 $2,100 $2.90 43d 1 0.83mi
19707 International Blvd Seatac, WA 2.0 1.0 614 $1,399 $2.28 1d 20 0.98mi
19800 International Blvd Seatac, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 790 $1,545 $1.96 1d 13 0.99mi
4807 S 172nd Pl Seatac, WA 2.0 1.0 700 $2,550 $3.64 43d 1 1.01mi
19912 Military Rd S SeaTac, WA 1.0 1.0 656 $1,495 $2.28 43d 1 1.04mi
16700 31st Ave S Seatac, WA 1.0 1.0 750 $1,498 $2.00 43d 2 1.09mi
2929 S 200th St Seatac, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 703 $2,288 $3.25 16d 12 1.13mi
2929 S 200th St Seatac, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 703 $2,335 $3.32 1d 7 1.13mi
2650 S 200th St Seatac, WA 1.0 1.0 566 $1,767 $3.12 43d 1 1.16mi
20036 30th Ave S Unit S8 SeaTac, WA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,795 $2.39 24d 1 1.18mi
20036 30th Ave S Unit S9 SeaTac, WA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,795 $2.39 10d 1 1.18mi
3231 S 204th St Seatac, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 917 $1,693 $1.85 1d 7 1.38mi
3100 S 208th St Seatac, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 811 $1,695 $2.09 10d 4 1.47mi
3445 S 160th St Seattle, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 730 $1,550 $2.12 2d 5 1.50mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $25,000 Pending 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $25,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $25,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $25,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $25,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $25,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $25,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $25,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $25,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-05-13
    listed $45,000 Active
  11. 2024-09-30
    soldstatus $50,000 Closed
  12. 2024-07-29
    status Pending
  13. 2024-07-16
    listed $50,000 Active
  14. 2018-06-13
    soldstatus $53,500 Sold
  15. 2018-06-04
    status Pending
  16. 2018-05-15
    status Active
  17. 2018-04-20
    status Pending
  18. 2018-02-14
    status Active
  19. 2018-02-02
    status Pending
  20. 2018-01-26
    listed $55,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,449
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$375
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,556
− Management
−$1,556
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$13,710
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,290
After-tax cash flow
$10,001/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Highline School District
NCES district ID
5303540
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$52,697
Composite
39.12/100
National rank
#8245
State rank
#200 of 291 in WA

Livability — SeaTac

Score
78/100
State rank
#118
US rank
#2417

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
SeaTac, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
62,839
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
27,311
Household income
$76,438
Rent vs Own
58.5% rent · 41.5% own
Severe rent burden
1341.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.79)
Race & ethnicity
White 28% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 21% Asian 15% Two or more races 10% Pacific Islander 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
41% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
52% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 6% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -595.95%
Current HPI
334.4203
Rent YoY
▼ -0.68%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-54.5% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $25,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-30 Sold (MLS) $50,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-29 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-16 Listed $50,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-06-13 Sold (MLS) $53,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-06-04 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-05-15 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-20 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-02-14 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-02-02 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-01-26 Listed $55,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…