🏷️ Likely Rental
902 W Grove St · Bloomington, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Main floor is nice, 2nd floor is unfinished, needs work to be habitable. Main floor unit has been rented for $1,100p/month,, currently vacant upper unit may get $800-900 if finished, 2 car detached garage off side alley, fenced back yard. Tons of potential for the buy with construction skills.
Key facts
- Fenced back yard
- 6,555 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.4% in Bloomington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#161 in IL, #2,987 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, commute F.
- Bloomington SD 87 (urban): math 14% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #476 of 620 in IL (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 247 units permitted in McLean County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $130k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.60%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $180,412
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- -28.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-239
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $39,388
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61701
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,547 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$226 /mo · $2,717/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$325
- Net cashflow
- $261
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $334 | -5% $297 | +0% $261 | +5% $224 | +10% $187 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $138 | -5% $199 | +0% $261 | +5% $322 | +10% $383 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $326 | -0.5pp $294 | base $261 | +0.5pp $227 | +1.0pp $193 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 703 W Olive St Bloomington, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,495 | $1.50 | 22d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 915 N Madison St Unit 4 Bloomington, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $899 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1002 N Center St Bloomington, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | — | $2,000 | — | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 610 N Mclean St Apt 1 Bloomington, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,250 | — | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1102 N Madison St Bloomington, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1603 | $1,950 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 318 E Locust St Apt A Bloomington, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,000 | $2.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 507 1/2 S Clayton St Bloomington, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,895 | $1.89 | 22d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 503 E Empire St Bloomington, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,795 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 507 E Graham St Bloomington, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 404 S Mc Clun St Bloomington, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $1,200 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1619 R T Dunn Dr Bloomington, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1901 Tracy Dr Unit 5W Bloomington, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | — | $950 | — | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1901 Tracy Dr Unit 3N Bloomington, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $900 | — | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 501 E Emerson St Bloomington, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2825 | $2,500 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 102 Donnie Dr Unit 1906Tra-202 Bloomington, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,169 | $0.78 | 22d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 16 Kris Dr Unit K16 Bloomington, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $856 | $1.03 | 22d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $129,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $129,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $129,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $129,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-04-20$129,900 Active 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Main floor is nice, 2nd floor is unfinished, needs work to be habitable. Main floor unit has been rented for $1,100p/month,, currently vacant upper unit may get $800-900 if finished, 2 car detached garage off side alley, fenced back yard. Tons of potential for the buy with construction skills.
-
2007-06-21soldstatus $60,000
-
1992-11-01soldstatus $42,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,717 · $226/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,833 · $236/mo
- Expected delta
- +$116/yr (+$10/mo · 4.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,566
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$2,717
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,485
- − Management
- −$1,485
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $1,174
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$282
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,845/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bloomington SD 87
- NCES district ID
- 1706480
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,544
- Composite
- 15.05/100
- National rank
- #9351
- State rank
- #476 of 620 in IL
Livability — Bloomington
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #161
- US rank
- #2987
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bloomington, IL
- County
- McLean County · 126,490 people
- City population
- 72,415
- Metro
- Bloomington, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,136
- Household income
- $57,130
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1493.0
Population outlook (McLean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 176,468 people
- By 2030
- 178,002 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 178,592 · +1.2%
- By 2050
- 177,090 · +0.4%
- By 2075
- 173,224 · -1.8%
- By 2100
- 158,425 · -10.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 13% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McLean
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 46.8% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.7pp toward D · 2008: 1.2pp · 2024: 4.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.9 2020: D+3.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+11.1 2008: D+1.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -115.13%
- Current HPI
- 172.3659
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.60%
- Metro
- Bloomington, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+209.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $129,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 1992-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2023): $2,717 · +11.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…