16438 Wood St · Markham, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a Fannie Mae Homepath Property and you can buy it for as little as 3% down! This home is approved for Homepath and Homepath Renovation Mortgage Financing. Take advantage of the 3.5% Closing Cost/Appliance incentive if owner occupant buyer closes by June 30, 2010. Call lister for details. Easy living 1 level with 3 beds, 1 bath and nice backyard.
Key facts
- 5,941 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1964
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 35.3% vs local median 10.5% in Markham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IL, #3,539 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities D, employment D.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Barack H Obama Learning Academy (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #850 of 2,056 statewide, top 45%, 468 students, 0% FRL); Thornwood High School (math 8% / reading 9%, grade F, #584 of 693 statewide, top 85%, 1,996 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 52d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,319/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 32% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $59k implies a 196% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 35.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 103.45%
- DSCR
- 5.60
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $151,614
- List price
- $59,000
- Delta
- -61.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16222 Honore Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 965 (+0%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $140 | 84 |
| 16140 Marshfield Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 948 (-1%) | 0mo | $160,000 | $169 | 78 |
| 16317 Ashland Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (+6%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $192 | 75 |
| 16343 Dixie Hwy | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (+8%) | 1mo | $162,000 | $156 | 74 |
| 16807 Wood St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 985 (+3%) | 5mo | $90,000 | $91 | 71 |
| 16510 Winchester Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,051 (+10%) | 3mo | $80,000 | $76 | 71 |
| 16641 Paulina St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (+9%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $176 | 70 |
| 16549 Hermitage Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 1,087 (+13%) | 3mo | $153,000 | $141 | 66 |
| 16784 Trapet Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 970 (+1%) | 5mo | $96,000 | $99 | 66 |
| 1716 W 163rd St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (+14%) | 2mo | $136,200 | $125 | 64 |
| 16951 Winchester Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 864 (-10%) | 1mo | $197,000 | $228 | 51 |
| 1833 170th St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,078 (+12%) | 0mo | $37,500 | $35 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.44×
- Total profit
- $122,874
- Equity at exit
- $53,152
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 18.59×
- Total profit
- $290,582
- Equity at exit
- $114,624
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 38 active · 37 under contract
- Months of supply
- 9.1 mo (11%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $149,950 ($143/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 66 d
- This list price
- 3% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +10.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 60428
- Home prices YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 106
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,319 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$487
- Net cashflow
- $1,424
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,465 | -5% $1,445 | +0% $1,424 | +5% $1,404 | +10% $1,383 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,241 | -5% $1,333 | +0% $1,424 | +5% $1,516 | +10% $1,607 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,454 | -0.5pp $1,439 | base $1,424 | +0.5pp $1,409 | +1.0pp $1,393 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16340 Ashland Ave Markham, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $2,500 | $2.62 | 51d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 16125 Marshfield Ave Markham, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1043 | $2,400 | $2.30 | 138d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 16775 Artesian Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $2,150 | $2.48 | 32d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 16752 Artesian Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $2,200 | $2.54 | 96d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2308 170th St Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $2,400 | $2.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2308 170th St Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $2,400 | $2.35 | 0d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 16352 Oxford Dr Markham, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 967 | $2,500 | $2.59 | 0d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 16048 Halsted St Unit 2 Harvey, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,650 | $1.51 | 165d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 16048 Halsted St Unit 2 Harvey, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,625 | $1.49 | 121d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 17141 Highland Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,350 | $2.14 | 20d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Parcel number: 29194110530000
- HOA & community
- No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 parking spaces
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Detached single-family homeOne-story layoutFee simple ownershipBuilt before 1978
- Construction
- Aluminum siding, vinyl siding and brick exterior
- Exterior features
- 30 x 150 lot dimensionsLess than 0.25 acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen
- Kitchen on the main level (approx. 8 x 12)
- Bedrooms
- Master bedroom on the main level (approx. 12 x 20)Two additional main-level bedrooms (each approx. 12 x 10)
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Natural gas heatingForced air heating
- Interior features
- 5 total roomsSchool bus service and commuter transit nearbyCommuter train and interstate access
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry room
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $59,000 Active 189 DOM
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2026-11-07days on market $59,000 Active 188 DOM
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2026-11-06days on market $59,000 Active 187 DOM
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2026-11-05days on market $59,000 Active 186 DOM
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2026-11-04days on market $59,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $59,000 Active 183 DOM
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2026-11-01days on market $59,000 Active 182 DOM
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2026-10-31days on market $59,000 Active 181 DOM
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2026-10-30statusdays on market $59,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 179 DOM
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2026-10-28days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 178 DOM
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2026-10-27days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 177 DOM
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2026-10-26days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 176 DOM
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2026-10-25days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 175 DOM
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2026-10-24days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 174 DOM
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2026-10-23days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 173 DOM
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2026-10-22days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 172 DOM
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2026-10-21days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 171 DOM
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2026-10-20days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 170 DOM
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2026-10-19days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 169 DOM
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2026-10-18days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 168 DOM
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2026-10-17days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 167 DOM
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2026-10-16days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 166 DOM
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2026-10-15days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 165 DOM
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2026-10-14days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 164 DOM
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2026-10-13days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 163 DOM
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2026-10-12days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 162 DOM
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2026-10-11days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 161 DOM
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2026-10-10days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 160 DOM
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2026-10-09days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 159 DOM
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2026-10-08days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 158 DOM
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2026-10-07days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 157 DOM
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2026-10-06days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 156 DOM
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2026-10-05days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 155 DOM
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2026-10-04days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 154 DOM
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2026-10-04days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 153 DOM
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2026-10-02days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 152 DOM
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2026-10-01days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 151 DOM
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2026-09-30days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 150 DOM
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2026-09-29days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 149 DOM
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2026-09-28days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 148 DOM
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2026-09-27days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 147 DOM
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2026-09-26days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 146 DOM
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2026-09-25days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 145 DOM
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2026-09-24days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 144 DOM
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2026-09-23days on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 143 DOM
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2026-09-22statusdays on market $59,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 142 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $59,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $59,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $59,000 Active 139 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,826
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,226
- − Management
- −$2,226
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $17,173
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,121
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,968/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Key areas for improvement include the kitchen, exterior, and interior walls.
Deferred maintenance Est. $60,000–$180,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof) — No roof visible in photos
- Major Hvac (hvac) — No HVAC unit visible in photos
- Major Windows (windows) — No windows visible in photos
- Major Electrical (electrical) — No electrical panel visible in photos
- Major Plumbing (plumbing) — No plumbing fixtures visible in photos
- Major Exterior (exterior) — No exterior siding visible in photos
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen countertops — Severe wear and tear, likely requiring replacement.
- Major Kitchen cabinetry — Outdated and in poor condition, needs replacement.
- Major Kitchen backsplash — Dated and in poor condition, needs replacement.
- Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered and in need of repainting or replacement.
- Minor Landscaping — Sparse and in need of some maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Replace kitchen countertops and cabinetry — Modernizing the kitchen will significantly enhance its appeal to potential buyers. ↑
- Both Paint interior walls and exterior siding — Improving the curb appeal and interior will attract both buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Markham
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #186
- US rank
- #3539
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Markham, IL
- County
- Cook · 5,347,519 people
- City population
- 10,980
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,980
- Household income
- $53,059
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 32% of renters
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% Hispanic / Latino 17% White 11% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.63%
- Current HPI
- 302.333
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+51.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $59,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-06-11 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-09 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-11 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-15 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-11 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-08 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-03 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-31 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-07-06 Sold (MLS) $19,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-06-09 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-05-20 Listed $19,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-04-03 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-01-19 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1985-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2023): $3,812 · +475.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…