144 Stallion Run · Dallas, GA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- Cash flow +10.5/30.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$279,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your perfect blend of comfort, space, and peaceful living in the heart of Dallas! Nestled in a quiet, desirable community, 144 Stallion Run offers the ideal setting for both relaxation and everyday living. This inviting home features a thoughtfully designed layout with spacious living areas, perfect for entertaining guests or enjoying cozy nights in. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep a breeze, while seamlessly flowing into the main living area. The primary suite offers a private retreat with plenty of room to unwind, complemented by additional bedrooms that are perfect for family, guests, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy a generous yard-ideal for outdoor gatherings, pets, or simply soaking in the peaceful surroundings. Whether you're sipping your morning coffee or hosting a weekend barbecue, this outdoor space has endless potential. Conveniently located just minutes from shopping, dining, and local amenities, yet tucked away enough to enjoy a quiet lifestyle, this home truly offers the best of both worlds. Taking highest and best offer by May 11th
Key facts
- Generous yard
- Ample cabinet space
- Private retreat
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with quarterly fee; Association fee includes tennis; Community clubhouse, park, pool, and tennis courts
Exterior
- Parking: Garage parking (2 spaces, total parking 2)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service available; Cable available; Phone available; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Three or more levels; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asbestos shingle and composition roof; Concrete perimeter and slab foundation; Garage(s) structure
- Exterior features: Private yard; Rain gutters; Front porch (screened); Side porch; Wrap-around porch
Interior
- Kitchen: White cabinets; Laminate counters; Pantry; Open view to family room; Dishwasher; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master on main; One main-level bedroom; Two upper-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Main level has one full bathroom and one half bathroom; Upper level has one full bathroom; Master bathroom with separate his-and-hers sinks and separate tub and shower
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High speed internet; Double-pane windows; Gas log fireplace with gas starter; No common walls; Basement (partial, bath stubbed)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on upper level; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-143 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (9.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (21.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $221k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.2% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#192 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Paulding County (suburban): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 174 in GA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: East Paulding Middle School (math 39% / reading 46%, grade D-, #122 of 470 statewide, top 26%, 858 students, 39% FRL); East Paulding High School (math 11% / reading 31%, grade F, #225 of 424 statewide, top 54%, 1,905 students, 38% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 652 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,458 units permitted in Paulding County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Paulding County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $111k; list at $280k implies a 151% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.19%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $306,159
- List price
- $279,900
- Delta
- -8.58%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 791 Brooks Rd | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,530 (-2%) | 8mo | $315,000 | $206 | 79 |
| 32 Stable Ln | 0.15mi | 3/2.5 | 1,432 (-8%) | 8mo | $267,000 | $186 | 72 |
| 91 Beckett Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,646 (+5%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $167 | 70 |
| 77 Stallion Run | 0.07mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,606 (+3%) | 23mo | $332,000 | $207 | 66 |
| 47 Saddle Horn Pl | 0.25mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,618 (+4%) | 16mo | $304,000 | $188 | 62 |
| 432 Wagon Trail Cir | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+2%) | 21mo | $150,000 | $94 | 58 |
| 108 Saddle Horn Pl | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,693 (+8%) | 23mo | $344,000 | $203 | 56 |
| 214 Sweetgum Trce | 0.65mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,623 (+4%) | 9mo | $327,000 | $201 | 51 |
| 36 Birch River Ct | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 | 1,773 (+13%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $197 | 46 |
| 35 Hemlock Gln | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,599 (+2%) | 19mo | $350,000 | $219 | 44 |
| 23 Birch River Pointe | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,704 (+9%) | 12mo | $339,000 | $199 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-56,996
- Equity at exit
- $41,734
- IRR
- -17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-71,543
- Equity at exit
- $24,201
Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30132
- Home prices YoY
- -33.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 652
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,210 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$261 /mo · $3,134/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$43
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$464
- Net cashflow
- $-143
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,975
- Closing costs
- $8,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 576 River Run Dr Dallas, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $2,250 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 393 Old Acworth Rd Dallas, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1398 | $1,795 | $1.28 | 4d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 107 Crestview Way Dallas, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1530 | $1,845 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 224 Crestview Way Dallas, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1530 | $1,995 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 200 Crestview Way Dallas, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1530 | $1,995 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $43 · $516/yr
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $279,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $279,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $279,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $279,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $279,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $279,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-10price $279,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $295,900 Active 44 DOM
Show marketing remark (1131 chars)
Welcome to your perfect blend of comfort, space, and peaceful living in the heart of Dallas! Nestled in a quiet, desirable community, 144 Stallion Run offers the ideal setting for both relaxation and everyday living. This inviting home features a thoughtfully designed layout with spacious living areas, perfect for entertaining guests or enjoying cozy nights in. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep a breeze, while seamlessly flowing into the main living area. The primary suite offers a private retreat with plenty of room to unwind, complemented by additional bedrooms that are perfect for family, guests, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy a generous yard-ideal for outdoor gatherings, pets, or simply soaking in the peaceful surroundings. Whether you're sipping your morning coffee or hosting a weekend barbecue, this outdoor space has endless potential. Conveniently located just minutes from shopping, dining, and local amenities, yet tucked away enough to enjoy a quiet lifestyle, this home truly offers the best of both worlds. Taking highest and best offer by May 11th
-
2026-06-08days on market $295,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $295,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $295,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $295,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $295,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $295,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $295,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-04-25$295,900 New 1131-char remark
Show marketing remark (1131 chars)
Welcome to your perfect blend of comfort, space, and peaceful living in the heart of Dallas! Nestled in a quiet, desirable community, 144 Stallion Run offers the ideal setting for both relaxation and everyday living. This inviting home features a thoughtfully designed layout with spacious living areas, perfect for entertaining guests or enjoying cozy nights in. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep a breeze, while seamlessly flowing into the main living area. The primary suite offers a private retreat with plenty of room to unwind, complemented by additional bedrooms that are perfect for family, guests, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy a generous yard-ideal for outdoor gatherings, pets, or simply soaking in the peaceful surroundings. Whether you're sipping your morning coffee or hosting a weekend barbecue, this outdoor space has endless potential. Conveniently located just minutes from shopping, dining, and local amenities, yet tucked away enough to enjoy a quiet lifestyle, this home truly offers the best of both worlds. Taking highest and best offer by May 11th
-
2026-04-25$295,900 Active 1139-char remark
Show marketing remark (1131 chars)
Welcome to your perfect blend of comfort, space, and peaceful living in the heart of Dallas! Nestled in a quiet, desirable community, 144 Stallion Run offers the ideal setting for both relaxation and everyday living. This inviting home features a thoughtfully designed layout with spacious living areas, perfect for entertaining guests or enjoying cozy nights in. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep a breeze, while seamlessly flowing into the main living area. The primary suite offers a private retreat with plenty of room to unwind, complemented by additional bedrooms that are perfect for family, guests, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy a generous yard-ideal for outdoor gatherings, pets, or simply soaking in the peaceful surroundings. Whether you're sipping your morning coffee or hosting a weekend barbecue, this outdoor space has endless potential. Conveniently located just minutes from shopping, dining, and local amenities, yet tucked away enough to enjoy a quiet lifestyle, this home truly offers the best of both worlds. Taking highest and best offer by May 11th
-
2008-04-10soldstatus $111,300
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
NEWER HOME W/MASTER ON MAIN. BANK OWNED, SOLD AS IS. PRESENT OFFER ON GAR FORM W/PRE-QUAL LETTER OR PROOF OF FUNDS. FINAL-NEGOTIATED CONTRACT WILL INCLUDE ADDENDUM.
-
2007-12-24$109,900
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
NEWER HOME W/MASTER ON MAIN. BANK OWNED, SOLD AS IS. PRESENT OFFER ON GAR FORM W/PRE-QUAL LETTER OR PROOF OF FUNDS. FINAL-NEGOTIATED CONTRACT WILL INCLUDE ADDENDUM.
-
2003-08-29soldstatus $137,900
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1999-08-09soldstatus $96,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,134 · $261/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,134 · $261/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,519
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,679
- − Property taxes
- −$3,134
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,122
- − Management
- −$2,122
- − HOA
- −$516
- − Depreciation
- −$8,143
- Taxable loss
- −$6,595
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,583
- After-tax cash flow
- $-131/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paulding County
- NCES district ID
- 1304020
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,447
- Composite
- 36.0/100
- National rank
- #4784
- State rank
- #33 of 174 in GA
Livability — Dallas
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #192
- US rank
- #11802
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Paulding County · 134,013 people
- City population
- 106,793
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,348
- Household income
- $109,914
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 593.0
Population outlook (Paulding County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 175,714 people
- By 2030
- 186,082 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 204,414 · +16.3%
- By 2050
- 217,040 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 236,980 · +34.9%
- By 2100
- 238,314 · +35.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Paulding
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -38.5pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+41.2 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+38.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.85%
- Current HPI
- 187.6553
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+191.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $279,900 FMLS
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $279,900 GAMLS
- 2026-04-25 Listed $295,900 FMLS
- 2026-04-25 Listed $295,900 GAMLS
- 2008-04-10 Sold (MLS) $111,300 FMLS
- 2007-12-24 Listed $109,900 FMLS
- 2003-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $137,900 Public Records
- 1999-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,134 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…