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21208 Palomino Rd
D- Composite 39.17
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$285,000

21208 Palomino Rd · Omaha, NE 68022
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,668 sqft · Other public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1975 10,454 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Sensational! Completely Redone New Roof, Gutters, AC, Furnace, Windows, Carpet, paint hardwood floors, kitchen. 2 new baths. Hard to find true 4 bed huge deck, fully fenced yard, black appliances, Must See! Just Move In! Less Than Most Apartments

Key facts

  • Remodeled kitchen
  • Corner lot
  • New sewer line

Tags

REMODELED KITCHENPRIVACY-FENCED BACKYARDCORNER LOTNEW SEWER LINENEW ROOFNEW HVAC SYSTEM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 covered space, garage door opener)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Split-entry levels; Not new (built in 1975)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and brick exterior; Block foundation; Built in 1975
  • Exterior features: Daylight basement windows; Deck; Wood full privacy fence; Paved roads with curb and gutter; Corner lot in a subdivided neighborhood

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dining area with sliding glass door to deck; Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Microwave; Disposal; Luxury vinyl plank flooring in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main floor with ceiling fan and wall-to-wall carpeting; Two additional main-floor bedrooms with ceiling fans and wall-to-wall carpeting; Basement bedroom with egress window and wall-to-wall carpeting
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank; Carpet; Concrete
  • Bathrooms: Two bathrooms: one full and one three-quarter; One main-level bathroom and one below-grade bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Sliding doors; Gas log fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area with concrete floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $285k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-205 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (12.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (25.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $213k (25.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Elkhorn Public Schools (urban): math 77% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #1 of 111 in NE (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Arbor View Elementary School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #27 of 502 statewide, top 7%, 489 students, 15% FRL); Elkhorn Middle School (math 68% / reading 61%, grade A-, #10 of 128 statewide, top 8%, 607 students, 20% FRL); Elkhorn High School (math 77% / reading 72%, grade B+, #10 of 261 statewide, top 4%, 741 students, 16% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 793 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($148k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $157k; list at $285k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $213,412 (25.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.43%
Cash-on-cash
-3.08%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.1%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-56,544
Equity at exit
$42,494
10-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-54,684
Equity at exit
$24,642

Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68022

Home prices YoY
-33.9%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
793
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,134 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,495
Tax from tax record
$278 /mo · $3,333/yr
Insurance
$119
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$448
Net cashflow
$-205

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,394
Max offer price $248,769
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,250
Closing costs
$8,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4115 N 213th Cir Elkhorn, NE 3.0 1.0 1628 $1,900 $1.17 2d 1 0.13mi
3333 N 212th Avenue Plz Elkhorn, NE 3.0 1.0–2.0 1113 $2,926 $2.63 1d 13 0.43mi
17551 Pinkney St Omaha, NE 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1024 $2,010 $1.96 1d 23 0.96mi
19910 Lake Plz Elkhorn, NE 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1401 $2,693 $1.92 1d 13 1.35mi
1702 N 205th St Elkhorn, NE 3.0 2.5 1452 $2,028 $1.40 1d 8 1.45mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $285,000 Pending 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $285,000 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $285,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $285,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $285,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $285,000 New 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-07
    listed $285,000 New 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,333 · $278/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,930 · $411/mo
Expected delta
+$1,598/yr (+$133/mo · 47.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,609
− Mortgage interest
−$15,964
− Property taxes
−$3,333
− Insurance
−$1,425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,049
− Management
−$2,049
− Depreciation
−$8,291
Taxable loss
−$7,501
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,800
After-tax cash flow
$-661/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elkhorn Public Schools
NCES district ID
3170110
Math proficiency
77% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
76% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$96,478
Composite
69.21/100
National rank
#318
State rank
#1 of 111 in NE

Livability — Omaha

Score
84/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#663

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Omaha, NE
County
Douglas County · 538,646 people
City population
552,986
Metro
Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
Population (ZIP)
36,538
Household income
$148,111
Rent vs Own
26.0% rent · 74.0% own
Severe rent burden
651.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
625,245 people
By 2030
661,613 · +5.8%
By 2040
732,395 · +17.1%
By 2050
801,988 · +28.3%
By 2075
968,637 · +54.9%
By 2100
1,101,871 · +76.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Romanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -102.67%
Current HPI
200.1245
Rent YoY
▲ 4.25%
Metro
Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+185.3% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $285,000 GPRMLS
  • 2018-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $157,000 Public Records
  • 2018-02-16 Sold (MLS) $156,500 GPRMLS
  • 2018-01-25 Pending GPRMLS
  • 2017-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2017-12-15 Listed $165,000 GPRMLS
  • 2010-04-07 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2009-10-08 Listed $119,000 GPRMLS
  • 2007-05-21 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2006-10-14 Listed $120,000 GPRMLS
  • 2004-11-15 Sold (MLS) $97,000 GPRMLS
  • 2004-10-20 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2004-09-27 Listed $99,900 GPRMLS

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,333 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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