312 Clay Ridge Dr · Youngsville, LA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.7/30.0
- ARV discount +6.3/15.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Minutes from Youngsville Sports Complex and the heart of Youngsville, this home is in the center of a well established neighborhood. At over 1,700 square feet, this split floor plan has three spacious bedrooms, two full baths, beautiful vaulted ceilings, and so much more! Brand new water heater, Vivint security system, and new HVAC system!! Schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2013
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2 ($-29/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (0.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (18.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $205k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.8% in Youngsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in LA, #2,614 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 675 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.10%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $243,597
- List price
- $249,900
- Delta
- 2.59%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306 Flanders Ridge Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,710 (-1%) | 4mo | $255,000 | $149 | 90 |
| 413 Flanders Ridge Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,710 (-1%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $143 | 90 |
| 107 Hidden Hills Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,495 (-13%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $151 | 69 |
| 103 Sun Ridge St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-9%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $137 | 69 |
| 205 Rocky Ridge St | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,885 (+9%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $117 | 66 |
| 307 Oak Hill Ln | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,655 (-4%) | 3mo | $239,000 | $144 | 66 |
| 224 Tall Oaks Ln | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,678 (-3%) | 6mo | $280,000 | $167 | 66 |
| 303 Lahasky Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,815 (+5%) | 3mo | $295,000 | $163 | 64 |
| 202 Rue Cordorcet | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,900 (+10%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $137 | 60 |
| 504 Beacon Dr | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,638 (-5%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $168 | 56 |
| 112 Tall Oaks Ln | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,578 (-8%) | 1mo | $227,000 | $144 | 52 |
| 206 Oak Hill Ln | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,579 (-8%) | 3mo | $192,500 | $122 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-43,429
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- -12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-49,122
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70592
- Home prices YoY
- -23.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 675
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,049 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$140 /mo · $1,684/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$430
- Net cashflow
- $-2
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $139 | -5% $68 | +0% $-2 | +5% $-73 | +10% $-144 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-164 | -5% $-83 | +0% $-2 | +5% $79 | +10% $159 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $123 | -0.5pp $61 | base $-2 | +0.5pp $-67 | +1.0pp $-133 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 Sun Ridge St Youngsville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,750 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 220 Tall Oaks Ln Youngsville, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1885 | $2,200 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 210 Revere Dr Youngsville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1690 | $2,500 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 101 Seneca Cir Youngsville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $1,900 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 139 Iberia St Unit I Youngsville, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1645 | $1,900 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 204 Benson GRV Youngsville, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,500 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| — Youngsville, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2072 | $2,550 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 120 Mayberry Grove ST Youngsville, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,725 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 104 Field Pt Youngsville, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,500 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 102 Canvasback DR Youngsville, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1305 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 118 Gadwall DR Youngsville, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1334 | $1,700 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 204 Romero St Unit C Youngsville, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1202 | $1,650 | $1.37 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 205 Jacques St Youngsville, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $995 | $0.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 106 Valcour Pl Youngsville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,950 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 540 Guillot Rd Lot E Youngsville, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,265 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 110 Fourth St Youngsville, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $1,800 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 210 Caillou Grove Rd Youngsville, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1961 | $2,100 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,900 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $249,900 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $249,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $249,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $249,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $249,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $249,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $249,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $249,900 Active 50 DOM
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2026-04-10$249,900 Active 368-char remark
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
Minutes from Youngsville Sports Complex and the heart of Youngsville, this home is in the center of a well established neighborhood. At over 1,700 square feet, this split floor plan has three spacious bedrooms, two full baths, beautiful vaulted ceilings, and so much more! Brand new water heater, Vivint security system, and new HVAC system!! Schedule a showing today!
-
2024-01-30soldstatus $244,000 Sold 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (515 chars)
Beautiful large 3bd/2bth,1710 sq ft. home in the heart of Youngsville. This desirable neighborhood located in Southside school district and Flood Zone X, also qualifies for 100% financing. You will love the 9ft ceilings, granite kitchen countertops, stained concrete floors. This open split floor plan home comes equipped with a large master suite complete with a garden tub, separate shower, and ample walk in closet space. Brand new shower, bath tub and toilet in the guest bathroom .Schedule your showing today!
-
2024-01-17status Pending 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (515 chars)
Beautiful large 3bd/2bth,1710 sq ft. home in the heart of Youngsville. This desirable neighborhood located in Southside school district and Flood Zone X, also qualifies for 100% financing. You will love the 9ft ceilings, granite kitchen countertops, stained concrete floors. This open split floor plan home comes equipped with a large master suite complete with a garden tub, separate shower, and ample walk in closet space. Brand new shower, bath tub and toilet in the guest bathroom .Schedule your showing today!
-
2023-11-17$245,000 Active 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (515 chars)
Beautiful large 3bd/2bth,1710 sq ft. home in the heart of Youngsville. This desirable neighborhood located in Southside school district and Flood Zone X, also qualifies for 100% financing. You will love the 9ft ceilings, granite kitchen countertops, stained concrete floors. This open split floor plan home comes equipped with a large master suite complete with a garden tub, separate shower, and ample walk in closet space. Brand new shower, bath tub and toilet in the guest bathroom .Schedule your showing today!
-
2020-12-14soldstatus $182,000
-
2020-12-11soldstatus $182,000
-
2020-10-19$185,000
-
2019-10-11soldstatus $175,000
-
2019-10-09soldstatus $175,000
-
2019-05-21$179,900
-
2018-08-29$185,900
-
2013-04-29soldstatus $169,900
-
2012-11-19$169,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,684 · $140/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,684 · $140/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,592
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$1,684
- − Insurance
- −$2,047
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,967
- − Management
- −$1,967
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$4,341
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,042
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,013/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Youngsville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #2614
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Youngsville, LA
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
- City population
- 32,167
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,167
- Household income
- $93,204
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 424.0
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 10% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 24% Romanian 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.24%
- Current HPI
- 135.2825
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.65%
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+47.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $249,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-01-30 Sold (MLS) $244,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-01-17 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2023-11-17 Listed $245,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2020-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $182,000 Public Records
- 2020-12-11 Sold (MLS) $182,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2020-10-19 Listed $185,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2019-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2019-10-09 Sold (MLS) $175,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2019-05-21 Listed $179,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2018-08-29 Listed $185,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2013-04-29 Sold (MLS) $169,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2012-11-19 Listed $169,900 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+16.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,684 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…