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3 Watts St Ext St
B Composite 74.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$114,900

3 Watts St Ext St · Gretna, VA 24557
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,096 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 126 Days on market
Built 1918 0.27 ac lot $105/sqft · 35% below area Est $177k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step inside this beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 1-bath home that's full of charm and modern updates. Nearly everything is new from the windows and vinyl siding to the sleek LVP floors throughout. Enjoy a stylish new kitchen featuring all-new cabinets, countertops, and fixtures, along with updated lighting and finishes in every room. Energy-efficient mini splits provide comfortable heating and cooling year-round. Outside, you'll find a cute backyard and plenty of off-street parking in the driveway. The town is also installing a brand-new park nearby, adding even more value to this convenient location. With its fresh updates and inviting feel, this move-in-ready home is ready to welcome its new owner!

Key facts

  • New kitchen
  • Vinyl siding
  • Off-street parking

Tags

REMODELED HOMENEW WINDOWSVINYL SIDINGNEW KITCHENOFF-STREET PARKINGNEW PARK NEARBY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $233 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.5% in Gretna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#157 in VA, #4,927 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Pittsylvania County Public School District (rural): math 65% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #22 of 131 in VA (top 17%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 72 units permitted in Pittsylvania County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($794 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • Pittsylvania County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $115k implies a 360% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $101,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
8.73%
Cash-on-cash
8.69%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$177,167
List price
$114,900
Delta
-35.15%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
503 Henry St 0.30mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,064 (-3%) 4mo $217,500 $204 69
210 Center St 0.18mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,019 (-7%) 22mo $157,000 $154 57
105 Leftwich St St 0.41mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,200 (+10%) 3mo $125,000 $104 56
313 Payne St 0.39mi 3/1.0 960 (-12%) 22mo $170,693 $178 43
208 Washington St 0.30mi 2/1.5 (-1) 950 (-13%) 23mo $179,900 $189 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.91% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$22,240
Equity at exit
$44,794
10-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
3.08×
Total profit
$66,827
Equity at exit
$64,103

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24557

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
81
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,724/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$233

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,005
Max offer price $114,900
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
192 Peoples Supply Rd Gretna, VA 3.0 1.0 1370 $1,300 $0.95 43d 1 0.62mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $114,900 Active 126 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $114,900 Active 125 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $114,900 Active 124 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $114,900 Active 123 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $114,900 Active 122 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $114,900 Active 120 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $114,900 Active 119 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $114,900 Active 117 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $114,900 Active 116 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $114,900 Active 115 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $114,900 Active 114 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $114,900 Active 110 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $114,900 Active 109 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $114,900 Active 108 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $114,900 Active 107 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $114,900 Active 106 DOM
  17. 2026-05-07
    price $114,900 711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    Step inside this beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 1-bath home that's full of charm and modern updates. Nearly everything is new from the windows and vinyl siding to the sleek LVP floors throughout. Enjoy a stylish new kitchen featuring all-new cabinets, countertops, and fixtures, along with updated lighting and finishes in every room. Energy-efficient mini splits provide comfortable heating and cooling year-round. Outside, you'll find a cute backyard and plenty of off-street parking in the driveway. The town is also installing a brand-new park nearby, adding even more value to this convenient location. With its fresh updates and inviting feel, this move-in-ready home is ready to welcome its new owner!

  18. 2026-04-03
    price $124,900 711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    Step inside this beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 1-bath home that's full of charm and modern updates. Nearly everything is new from the windows and vinyl siding to the sleek LVP floors throughout. Enjoy a stylish new kitchen featuring all-new cabinets, countertops, and fixtures, along with updated lighting and finishes in every room. Energy-efficient mini splits provide comfortable heating and cooling year-round. Outside, you'll find a cute backyard and plenty of off-street parking in the driveway. The town is also installing a brand-new park nearby, adding even more value to this convenient location. With its fresh updates and inviting feel, this move-in-ready home is ready to welcome its new owner!

  19. 2026-03-11
    price $129,900 711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    Step inside this beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 1-bath home that's full of charm and modern updates. Nearly everything is new from the windows and vinyl siding to the sleek LVP floors throughout. Enjoy a stylish new kitchen featuring all-new cabinets, countertops, and fixtures, along with updated lighting and finishes in every room. Energy-efficient mini splits provide comfortable heating and cooling year-round. Outside, you'll find a cute backyard and plenty of off-street parking in the driveway. The town is also installing a brand-new park nearby, adding even more value to this convenient location. With its fresh updates and inviting feel, this move-in-ready home is ready to welcome its new owner!

  20. 2026-02-13
    listed $134,900 Active 711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    Step inside this beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 1-bath home that's full of charm and modern updates. Nearly everything is new from the windows and vinyl siding to the sleek LVP floors throughout. Enjoy a stylish new kitchen featuring all-new cabinets, countertops, and fixtures, along with updated lighting and finishes in every room. Energy-efficient mini splits provide comfortable heating and cooling year-round. Outside, you'll find a cute backyard and plenty of off-street parking in the driveway. The town is also installing a brand-new park nearby, adding even more value to this convenient location. With its fresh updates and inviting feel, this move-in-ready home is ready to welcome its new owner!

  21. 2025-10-11
    listed $142,500 Active
  22. 2022-12-09
    soldstatus $25,000
  23. 2022-12-09
    soldstatus $25,000 Closed
  24. 2022-11-20
    status Pending
  25. 2022-10-26
    listed $40,000
  26. 2022-10-26
    listed $40,000 Active
  27. 2022-07-28
    soldstatus $19,975

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,600
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$1,724
− Insurance
−$574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,248
− Management
−$1,248
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable income
$1,027
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$247
After-tax cash flow
$2,549/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pittsylvania County Public School District
NCES district ID
5102940
Math proficiency
65% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,672
Composite
59.77/100
National rank
#900
State rank
#22 of 131 in VA

Livability — Gretna

Score
74/100
State rank
#157
US rank
#4927

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gretna, VA
Population (ZIP)
7,832

Population outlook (Pittsylvania County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
58,725 people
By 2030
56,388 · -4.0%
By 2040
51,088 · -13.0%
By 2050
45,875 · -21.9%
By 2075
36,555 · -37.8%
By 2100
28,288 · -51.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 20% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pittsylvania

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.1) · D 28.1% · R 71.3%
2008→2024 swing
-19.1pp toward R · 2008: -24.0pp · 2024: -43.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.1 2020: R+39.8 2016: R+39.6 2012: R+27.5 2008: R+24.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.91%
Current HPI
160.7742
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+475.2% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $114,900 LMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $124,900 LMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $129,900 LMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $134,900 LMLS
  • 2025-10-11 Listed $142,500 LMLS
  • 2022-12-09 Sold (MLS) $25,000 LMLS
  • 2022-12-09 Sold (MLS) $25,000 DRRAR
  • 2022-11-20 Pending LMLS
  • 2022-10-26 Listed $40,000 LMLS
  • 2022-10-26 Listed $40,000 DRRAR
  • 2022-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $19,975 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $32 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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