1315 Wilkerson St · South Boston, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful opportunity to own a newly renovated home. While there are lots of new upgrades to this home, the original charm is still there. The main level features a living room, family room, dining room, kitchen, bedroom and full bathroom. The second level has two bedrooms, full bathroom and a bonus room that can be used as an office or any other purpose you can think of! The front porch is the perfect spot to enjoy the porch swing with a cup of coffee (or wine) and a good book. Out back there is a deck and large level yard. Call today to schedule an appointment to see this charming, renovated home.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Renovated home
- Storage shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: R-2; Lot about 0.23 acre
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available and connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Built above grade finished area of 1,938 (square feet)
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Storage structure; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric water heater
- Flooring: Tile; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Ductless heat pump cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; High-speed internet; Gas log fireplace in the living room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $63 ($761/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (19.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $145k (19.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.9% in South Boston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#147 in VA, #4,742 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Halifax County Public School District (town): math 29% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #116 of 131 in VA (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: South Boston Elementary (math 18% / reading 48%, grade F, #986 of 1,108 statewide, top 89%, 666 students, 93% FRL); Halifax County Middle (math 27% / reading 60%, grade D, #285 of 342 statewide, top 84%, 925 students, 92% FRL); Halifax County High (math 40% / reading 69%, grade C-, #281 of 319 statewide, top 90%, 1,397 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 58% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Halifax County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Halifax County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.51%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $257,824
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1204 South Ave Unit - | 0.15mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 2,225 (-3%) | 7mo | $227,000 | $102 | 75 |
| 1329 Hodges St | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 2,086 (-9%) | 8mo | $275,000 | $132 | 66 |
| 1801 Wilkerson St | 0.27mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 2,479 (+8%) | 14mo | $367,500 | $148 | 54 |
| 812 Grove Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,125 (-8%) | 19mo | $238,000 | $112 | 49 |
| 703 Traver Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 2,062 (-10%) | 9mo | $195,000 | $95 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-25,188
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-17,038
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24592
- Home prices YoY
- -27.0%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,455 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $808/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$305
- Net cashflow
- $63
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$179,900 Active
-
2024-11-19price $186,400
-
2024-10-30price $189,900
-
2024-10-25$195,900 Active
-
2023-06-06soldstatus $162,500 Closed 606-char remark
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
Wonderful opportunity to own a newly renovated home. While there are lots of new upgrades to this home, the original charm is still there. The main level features a living room, family room, dining room, kitchen, bedroom and full bathroom. The second level has two bedrooms, full bathroom and a bonus room that can be used as an office or any other purpose you can think of! The front porch is the perfect spot to enjoy the porch swing with a cup of coffee (or wine) and a good book. Out back there is a deck and large level yard. Call today to schedule an appointment to see this charming, renovated home.
-
2023-06-06soldstatus $162,500
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
Wonderful opportunity to own a newly renovated home. While there are lots of new upgrades to this home, the original charm is still there. The main level features a living room, family room, dining room, kitchen, bedroom and full bathroom. The second level has two bedrooms, full bathroom and a bonus room that can be used as an office or any other purpose you can think of! The front porch is the perfect spot to enjoy the porch swing with a cup of coffee (or wine) and a good book. Out back there is a deck and large level yard. Call today to schedule an appointment to see this charming, renovated home.
-
2023-04-20historical Active Under Contract 606-char remark
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
Wonderful opportunity to own a newly renovated home. While there are lots of new upgrades to this home, the original charm is still there. The main level features a living room, family room, dining room, kitchen, bedroom and full bathroom. The second level has two bedrooms, full bathroom and a bonus room that can be used as an office or any other purpose you can think of! The front porch is the perfect spot to enjoy the porch swing with a cup of coffee (or wine) and a good book. Out back there is a deck and large level yard. Call today to schedule an appointment to see this charming, renovated home.
-
2023-04-17$164,900 Active 606-char remark
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
Wonderful opportunity to own a newly renovated home. While there are lots of new upgrades to this home, the original charm is still there. The main level features a living room, family room, dining room, kitchen, bedroom and full bathroom. The second level has two bedrooms, full bathroom and a bonus room that can be used as an office or any other purpose you can think of! The front porch is the perfect spot to enjoy the porch swing with a cup of coffee (or wine) and a good book. Out back there is a deck and large level yard. Call today to schedule an appointment to see this charming, renovated home.
-
2021-07-26soldstatus $27,000
-
1992-12-28soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $808 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,475 · $123/mo
- Expected delta
- +$667/yr (+$56/mo · 82.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,455
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$808
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,396
- − Management
- −$1,396
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$2,356
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$565
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,326/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Halifax County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101770
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -51.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,137
- Composite
- 36.36/100
- National rank
- #4687
- State rank
- #116 of 131 in VA
Livability — South Boston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #147
- US rank
- #4742
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Boston, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,411
Population outlook (Halifax County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 32,892 people
- By 2030
- 31,438 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 28,350 · -13.8%
- By 2050
- 25,553 · -22.3%
- By 2075
- 20,217 · -38.5%
- By 2100
- 14,645 · -55.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 40% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Halifax
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.1) · D 39.1% · R 60.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.2pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+16.6 2012: R+5.6 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.37%
- Current HPI
- 190.3767
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+414.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $179,900 SPLLAR
- 2024-11-19 Price Changed $186,400 SPLLAR
- 2024-10-30 Price Changed $189,900 SPLLAR
- 2024-10-25 Listed $195,900 SPLLAR
- 2023-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $162,500 Public Records
- 2023-06-06 Sold (MLS) $162,500 SPLLAR
- 2023-04-20 Contingent — SPLLAR
- 2023-04-17 Listed $164,900 SPLLAR
- 2021-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
- 1992-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $808 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…