1290 Bablon Dr Dr · White Lake, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Take advantage of this fantastic opportunity today. Spend the cold winter months finishing the house and be ready for lake living in June! Beautiful canal frontage to All-Sports Round Lake. Huge . 39 acre lot. 2-car attached garage. 3 bedrooms up with a dual entry full bath, bedroom / office and full bath on the entry level. The house needs expensive repairs and renovations. Please have your agent read the agent remarks. Subject to court approval. Cash only.
Key facts
- 0.39 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1958
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $449 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
- Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Walled Lake Consolidated Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #58 of 540 in MI (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $140k; list at $230k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.38%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $266,463
- List price
- $229,900
- Delta
- -13.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9580 Chaumont Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,728 (-1%) | 4mo | $360,000 | $208 | 70 |
| 1140 Round Lake Rd | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,950 (+12%) | 5mo | $231,000 | $118 | 64 |
| 9523 Chaumont Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,710 (-2%) | 9mo | $365,000 | $213 | 63 |
| 6026 Venice Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,728 (-1%) | 9mo | $402,000 | $233 | 63 |
| 9842 Cedar Island Rd | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,801 (+4%) | 1mo | $430,000 | $239 | 59 |
| 9160 Maplewood Dr | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,990 (+14%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $113 | 55 |
| 9333 Beechcrest St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,768 (+2%) | 7mo | $183,350 | $104 | 55 |
| 8915 Gittins St | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 | 1,644 (-6%) | 0mo | $417,500 | $254 | 54 |
| 915 Preserve Ln | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 | 1,901 (+9%) | 5mo | $575,000 | $302 | 50 |
| 8760 Cooley Beach Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (-8%) | 6mo | $295,000 | $184 | 49 |
| 9125 Mandon Rd | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,954 (+12%) | 10mo | $263,000 | $135 | 44 |
| 837 Preserve Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 | 1,992 (+14%) | 8mo | $700,000 | $351 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-8,492
- Equity at exit
- $34,279
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $30,038
- Equity at exit
- $19,878
Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48386
- Active inventory
- 145
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,789 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$452 /mo · $5,428/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$586
- Net cashflow
- $449
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,475
- Closing costs
- $6,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8020 Wadi White Lake, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $2,512 | $1.86 | 1d | 16 | 1.15mi |
| 486 Charlevoix St Commerce Township, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1740 | $3,500 | $2.01 | 1d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 336 Rustic Cir White Lake, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1562 | $2,450 | $1.57 | 2d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,900 Active 144 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $229,900 Active 143 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $229,900 Active 142 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $229,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $229,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $229,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,900 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $229,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $229,900 Active 126 DOM
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2026-05-09status Active 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Take advantage of this fantastic opportunity today. Spend the cold winter months finishing the house and be ready for lake living in June! Beautiful canal frontage to All-Sports Round Lake. Huge . 39 acre lot. 2-car attached garage. 3 bedrooms up with a dual entry full bath, bedroom / office and full bath on the entry level. The house needs expensive repairs and renovations. Please have your agent read the agent remarks. Subject to court approval. Cash only.
-
2026-05-09status Active 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Take advantage of this fantastic opportunity today. Spend the cold winter months finishing the house and be ready for lake living in June! Beautiful canal frontage to All-Sports Round Lake. Huge . 39 acre lot. 2-car attached garage. 3 bedrooms up with a dual entry full bath, bedroom / office and full bath on the entry level. The house needs expensive repairs and renovations. Please have your agent read the agent remarks. Subject to court approval. Cash only.
-
2026-03-27status Pending 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Take advantage of this fantastic opportunity today. Spend the cold winter months finishing the house and be ready for lake living in June! Beautiful canal frontage to All-Sports Round Lake. Huge . 39 acre lot. 2-car attached garage. 3 bedrooms up with a dual entry full bath, bedroom / office and full bath on the entry level. The house needs expensive repairs and renovations. Please have your agent read the agent remarks. Subject to court approval. Cash only.
-
2026-03-27historical 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Take advantage of this fantastic opportunity today. Spend the cold winter months finishing the house and be ready for lake living in June! Beautiful canal frontage to All-Sports Round Lake. Huge . 39 acre lot. 2-car attached garage. 3 bedrooms up with a dual entry full bath, bedroom / office and full bath on the entry level. The house needs expensive repairs and renovations. Please have your agent read the agent remarks. Subject to court approval. Cash only.
-
2026-03-04status Pending 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Take advantage of this fantastic opportunity today. Spend the cold winter months finishing the house and be ready for lake living in June! Beautiful canal frontage to All-Sports Round Lake. Huge . 39 acre lot. 2-car attached garage. 3 bedrooms up with a dual entry full bath, bedroom / office and full bath on the entry level. The house needs expensive repairs and renovations. Please have your agent read the agent remarks. Subject to court approval. Cash only.
-
2026-03-04status Pending 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Take advantage of this fantastic opportunity today. Spend the cold winter months finishing the house and be ready for lake living in June! Beautiful canal frontage to All-Sports Round Lake. Huge . 39 acre lot. 2-car attached garage. 3 bedrooms up with a dual entry full bath, bedroom / office and full bath on the entry level. The house needs expensive repairs and renovations. Please have your agent read the agent remarks. Subject to court approval. Cash only.
-
2026-02-18status Active 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Take advantage of this fantastic opportunity today. Spend the cold winter months finishing the house and be ready for lake living in June! Beautiful canal frontage to All-Sports Round Lake. Huge . 39 acre lot. 2-car attached garage. 3 bedrooms up with a dual entry full bath, bedroom / office and full bath on the entry level. The house needs expensive repairs and renovations. Please have your agent read the agent remarks. Subject to court approval. Cash only.
-
2026-02-17status Active 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Take advantage of this fantastic opportunity today. Spend the cold winter months finishing the house and be ready for lake living in June! Beautiful canal frontage to All-Sports Round Lake. Huge . 39 acre lot. 2-car attached garage. 3 bedrooms up with a dual entry full bath, bedroom / office and full bath on the entry level. The house needs expensive repairs and renovations. Please have your agent read the agent remarks. Subject to court approval. Cash only.
-
2026-02-05historical 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Take advantage of this fantastic opportunity today. Spend the cold winter months finishing the house and be ready for lake living in June! Beautiful canal frontage to All-Sports Round Lake. Huge . 39 acre lot. 2-car attached garage. 3 bedrooms up with a dual entry full bath, bedroom / office and full bath on the entry level. The house needs expensive repairs and renovations. Please have your agent read the agent remarks. Subject to court approval. Cash only.
-
2025-12-13price $229,900 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Take advantage of this fantastic opportunity today. Spend the cold winter months finishing the house and be ready for lake living in June! Beautiful canal frontage to All-Sports Round Lake. Huge . 39 acre lot. 2-car attached garage. 3 bedrooms up with a dual entry full bath, bedroom / office and full bath on the entry level. The house needs expensive repairs and renovations. Please have your agent read the agent remarks. Subject to court approval. Cash only.
-
2025-12-12price $229,900 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Take advantage of this fantastic opportunity today. Spend the cold winter months finishing the house and be ready for lake living in June! Beautiful canal frontage to All-Sports Round Lake. Huge . 39 acre lot. 2-car attached garage. 3 bedrooms up with a dual entry full bath, bedroom / office and full bath on the entry level. The house needs expensive repairs and renovations. Please have your agent read the agent remarks. Subject to court approval. Cash only.
-
2025-11-10$241,000 Active 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Take advantage of this fantastic opportunity today. Spend the cold winter months finishing the house and be ready for lake living in June! Beautiful canal frontage to All-Sports Round Lake. Huge . 39 acre lot. 2-car attached garage. 3 bedrooms up with a dual entry full bath, bedroom / office and full bath on the entry level. The house needs expensive repairs and renovations. Please have your agent read the agent remarks. Subject to court approval. Cash only.
-
2025-11-10$241,000 Active 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Take advantage of this fantastic opportunity today. Spend the cold winter months finishing the house and be ready for lake living in June! Beautiful canal frontage to All-Sports Round Lake. Huge . 39 acre lot. 2-car attached garage. 3 bedrooms up with a dual entry full bath, bedroom / office and full bath on the entry level. The house needs expensive repairs and renovations. Please have your agent read the agent remarks. Subject to court approval. Cash only.
-
2025-11-08historical $241,000 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Take advantage of this fantastic opportunity today. Spend the cold winter months finishing the house and be ready for lake living in June! Beautiful canal frontage to All-Sports Round Lake. Huge . 39 acre lot. 2-car attached garage. 3 bedrooms up with a dual entry full bath, bedroom / office and full bath on the entry level. The house needs expensive repairs and renovations. Please have your agent read the agent remarks. Subject to court approval. Cash only.
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2020-06-29soldstatus $140,000
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1990-10-31soldstatus $97,000
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1990-10-01soldstatus $97,000
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1989-05-03soldstatus $71,500
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1989-04-01soldstatus $71,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,428 · $452/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,428 · $452/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,465
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,878
- − Property taxes
- −$5,428
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,677
- − Management
- −$2,677
- − Depreciation
- −$6,688
- Taxable income
- $1,967
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$472
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,920/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walled Lake Consolidated Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2635160
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,184
- Composite
- 49.57/100
- National rank
- #1987
- State rank
- #58 of 540 in MI
Livability — White Lake
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 17,856
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,856
- Household income
- $89,702
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 664.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Lithuanian 6% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -269.78%
- Current HPI
- 207.917
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+221.5% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-09 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-27 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-04 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-04 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-02-18 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-17 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-02-05 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-13 Price Changed $229,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-12 Price Changed $229,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-10 Listed $241,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-10 Listed $241,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-08 Coming Soon $241,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 1990-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
- 1990-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
- 1989-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $71,500 Public Records
- 1989-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $71,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $5,428 · -26.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…