2625 Starling St · Brunswick, GA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +8.8/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This three bedroom, one bathroom home is 1,144 sqft. built in 1958 with all the charm of the era in addition to the updates made by the seller. Nice long driveway for guest parking and carport to cover your personal vehicles. Settled on a nice sized lot of 0.22 acres and located in an x-flood zone. Great home to make your own or to buy as an investment opportunity in a prime and upcoming location near Southeast Georgia Regional Hospital, College of Coastal Georgia and barrier islands and beaches.
Key facts
- New heat pump
- Metal roof
- Carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease considered
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-story; Residential single zoning; Entry on slab foundation
- Construction: Block construction; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Built with view
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Has a view
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (4.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $190k (4.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.5% in Brunswick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#401 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Glynn County (other): math 37% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #47 of 174 in GA (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 734 units permitted in Glynn County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,899/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 1406% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Glynn County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $199k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.61%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $204,876
- List price
- $199,000
- Delta
- -2.87%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2706 Canary St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,156 (+1%) | 12mo | $150,000 | $130 | 81 |
| 3015 E 3rd St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,164 (+2%) | 1mo | $219,900 | $189 | 81 |
| 2706 Canary Dr | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,264 (+10%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $170 | 74 |
| 3237 Willow Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (-4%) | 11mo | $212,000 | $194 | 69 |
| 2622 Fourth St | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,176 (+3%) | 22mo | $185,600 | $158 | 69 |
| 2630 Starling St | 0.04mi | 3/1.5 | 1,220 (+7%) | 22mo | $205,000 | $168 | 67 |
| 2722 Canary Dr | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,068 (-7%) | 17mo | $168,300 | $158 | 66 |
| 2441 Blain St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,136 (-1%) | 18mo | $110,000 | $97 | 53 |
| 2908 Maple Rd | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,242 (+9%) | 20mo | $170,000 | $137 | 50 |
| 2600 Cate St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,020 (-11%) | 6mo | $153,750 | $151 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-11,665
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $28,339
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31520
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,899 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,360/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $260
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $373 | -5% $317 | +0% $260 | +5% $204 | +10% $148 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $110 | -5% $185 | +0% $260 | +5% $335 | +10% $410 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $361 | -0.5pp $311 | base $260 | +0.5pp $209 | +1.0pp $156 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2640 Canary Dr Brunswick, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,200 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 3220 Altama Ave Brunswick, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 900 Pointe Grand Way Brunswick, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,520 | $1.30 | 3d | 10 | 0.67mi |
| 1105 Fountain Lake Dr Brunswick, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1157 | $1,575 | $1.36 | 3d | 6 | 0.99mi |
| 3742 Ogg Ave Brunswick, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 797 | $1,250 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2408 Gordon St Brunswick, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,550 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3602 Norwich St Brunswick, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,550 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3200 Cypress Mill Rd Brunswick, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,485 | $1.27 | 9d | 13 | 1.10mi |
| 3518 Hardee Ave Brunswick, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,550 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2928 Reynolds St Brunswick, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1398 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $199,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $199,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $199,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $199,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-05$199,000 Active 1128-char remark
-
2019-09-17soldstatus $110,000 501-char remark
Show marketing remark (501 chars)
This three bedroom, one bathroom home is 1,144 sqft. built in 1958 with all the charm of the era in addition to the updates made by the seller. Nice long driveway for guest parking and carport to cover your personal vehicles. Settled on a nice sized lot of 0.22 acres and located in an x-flood zone. Great home to make your own or to buy as an investment opportunity in a prime and upcoming location near Southeast Georgia Regional Hospital, College of Coastal Georgia and barrier islands and beaches.
-
2019-01-09$119,000 501-char remark
Show marketing remark (501 chars)
This three bedroom, one bathroom home is 1,144 sqft. built in 1958 with all the charm of the era in addition to the updates made by the seller. Nice long driveway for guest parking and carport to cover your personal vehicles. Settled on a nice sized lot of 0.22 acres and located in an x-flood zone. Great home to make your own or to buy as an investment opportunity in a prime and upcoming location near Southeast Georgia Regional Hospital, College of Coastal Georgia and barrier islands and beaches.
-
2007-02-06soldstatus $106,000
-
2000-02-01soldstatus $43,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,360 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,831 · $153/mo
- Expected delta
- +$470/yr (+$39/mo · 34.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,788
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$1,360
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,823
- − Management
- −$1,823
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable loss
- −$150
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$36
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,160/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Glynn County
- NCES district ID
- 1302400
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,554
- Composite
- 33.83/100
- National rank
- #5359
- State rank
- #47 of 174 in GA
Livability — Brunswick
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #401
- US rank
- #19832
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Glynn County · 69,019 people
- City population
- 51,239
- Metro
- Brunswick, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,313
- Household income
- $40,071
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1406.0
Population outlook (Glynn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 91,404 people
- By 2030
- 94,806 · +3.7%
- By 2040
- 100,060 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 103,258 · +13.0%
- By 2075
- 107,970 · +18.1%
- By 2100
- 103,363 · +13.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 33% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Glynn
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.0) · D 36.8% · R 62.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.6pp toward R · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -26.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.0 2020: R+23.2 2016: R+28.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -274.83%
- Current HPI
- 180.4581
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.08%
- Metro
- Brunswick, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+357.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $199,000 GIAR
- 2019-09-17 Sold (MLS) $110,000 GIAR
- 2019-01-09 Listed $119,000 GIAR
- 2007-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $106,000 Public Records
- 2000-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,360 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…