421 H St NW · Ardmore, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.9/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
421 H NW sits on . 33 acres with large mature shade trees, offering a private setting set back from the road in the heart of NW Ardmore. This remodeled 3 bed, 1 bath home includes a 1-car carport and a spacious yard. The home is currently under professional property management and rented for $1,100 per month, making it an easy addition to an investor’s portfolio. It also works well for a first-time buyer or downsizer looking for space, privacy, and an updated home in a convenient location. Broker/Owner
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Private setting
- Convenient location
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Carport
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Faces east; Entry on crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Wood frame construction; Metal roof; Built according to public records
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Stove
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Window unit cooling
- Interior features: Wood window frames; Other interior features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $293 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.6% in Ardmore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#447 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Ardmore (town): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #241 of 270 in OK (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 379 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Carter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carter County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.23%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $95,832
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716 G NW | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+1%) | 12mo | $76,000 | $95 | 81 |
| 720 D St NW | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (0%) | 10mo | $112,000 | $141 | 73 |
| 328 G NW | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (-12%) | 5mo | $79,000 | $113 | 69 |
| 430 H NW | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 726 (-8%) | 21mo | $30,000 | $41 | 67 |
| 1408 8th Ave NW | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (-4%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $112 | 64 |
| 821 E St SE | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 830 (+5%) | 16mo | $70,000 | $84 | 62 |
| 709 11th NW | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 828 (+4%) | 18mo | $100,000 | $121 | 60 |
| 1216 11th Ave NW | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (+6%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $161 | 58 |
| 1406 Healdton | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (+3%) | 20mo | $115,000 | $141 | 51 |
| 230 13th Ave NW | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 888 (+12%) | 2mo | $32,000 | $36 | 47 |
| 1609 Tower Dr | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+9%) | 13mo | $124,900 | $145 | 46 |
| 1709 7th NW | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 743 (-6%) | 20mo | $131,000 | $176 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $8,488
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.06×
- Total profit
- $54,805
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73401
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.4%
- Active inventory
- 379
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,133 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $768/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $293
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $95,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $95,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 507-char remark
-
2026-06-07$99,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $768 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $855 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- +$87/yr (+$7/mo · 11.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,597
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$768
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,088
- − Management
- −$1,088
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $2,093
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$502
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,018/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ardmore
- NCES district ID
- 4003180
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,194
- Composite
- 11.1/100
- National rank
- #9733
- State rank
- #241 of 270 in OK
Livability — Ardmore
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #447
- US rank
- #21387
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ardmore, OK
- County
- Carter County · 36,833 people
- City population
- 36,833
- Metro
- Ardmore, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,833
- Household income
- $61,989
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1026.0
Population outlook (Carter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 50,892 people
- By 2030
- 51,913 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 53,857 · +5.8%
- By 2050
- 55,604 · +9.3%
- By 2075
- 60,670 · +19.2%
- By 2100
- 62,366 · +22.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 8% Black 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Carter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.7) · D 21.9% · R 76.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.2pp toward R · 2008: -40.5pp · 2024: -54.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.7 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+42.7 2008: R+40.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.93%
- Current HPI
- 269.7381
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.38%
- Metro
- Ardmore, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-81.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $99,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-02-21 Rental Removed $1,100 APPFOLIO
- 2026-01-31 Listed for Rent $1,100 APPFOLIO
- 2024-09-25 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2024-07-19 Price Changed $109,000 MLSOK
- 2024-07-10 Price Changed $119,711 MLSOK
- 2024-07-09 Price Changed $119,777 MLSOK
- 2024-06-22 Price Changed $125,000 MLSOK
- 2024-06-19 Listed $129,000 MLSOK
- 2022-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $530,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.5%/yrLatest (2025): $768 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…