534 Bluebird Dr Unit E. Venture Way Apt 18101 · Chubbuck, ID 83202

$95,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured · 12 Days on market

Built 1982 Fair condition 610 sqft lot

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.0/30.0
• DSCR +9.9/10.0
• 1% rule +7.7/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Livability +4.3/5.0
• Rent growth +3.3/5.0
• Condition / age +2.2/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• Garage
• Built 1982
• Listed 12 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 86/100 on livability (#4 in ID, #454 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-.
• Pocatello District (urban): math 45% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #26 of 92 in ID (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Chubbuck Elementary School (math 61% / reading 64%, grade B, #53 of 357 statewide, top 15%, 495 students, 34% FRL); Franklin Middle School (math 48% / reading 69%, grade B, #11 of 109 statewide, top 9%, 742 students, 29% FRL); Pocatello High School (math 45% / reading 65%, grade C, #25 of 169 statewide, top 14%, 1,352 students, 28% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 212 active listings in the ZIP; 325 units permitted in Bannock County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $95,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.27% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.01%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.28%
• DSCR: 1.59
• GRM: 6.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 3.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.13×
• Total profit: $3,537
• Equity at exit: $14,165

10-year hold

• IRR: 13.1%
• Equity multiple: 2.05×
• Total profit: $27,988
• Equity at exit: $8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Idaho: 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; minimal tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 83202

• Rents YoY: 3.1%
• Active inventory: 212
• Price-to-rent: 6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,204 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$498
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
• Insurance: −$40
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$253
• Net cashflow: $294

Break-even live

Break-even rent $831

Max offer price $95,000

Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $23,750
• Closing costs: $2,850
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-11
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-30
   listed $95,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,443
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,321
• − Property taxes: −$1,425
• − Insurance: −$475
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,155
• − Management: −$1,155
• − Depreciation: −$2,764
• Taxable income: $2,147
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$515
• After-tax cash flow: $3,016/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

The home is in fair condition with minor repairs and maintenance needed. Painting and landscaping would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Repairs flagged

• Minor Paint — Interior walls and exterior siding show some wear
• Minor Landscaping — Some overgrowth in landscaping

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
• Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
Paint · Interior walls and exterior siding show some wear	Minor	$500–3,000
Landscaping · Some overgrowth in landscaping	Minor	$500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items		$1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and property value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pocatello District
• NCES district ID: 1602640
• Math proficiency: 45% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 58% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $44,478
• Composite: 43.46/100
• National rank: #3003
• State rank: #26 of 92 in ID

Livability — Chubbuck

• Score: 86/100
• State rank: #4
• US rank: #454

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Chubbuck, ID
• County: Bannock County · 82,995 people
• City population: 24,513
• Metro: Pocatello, ID
• Population (ZIP): 24,513
• Household income: $70,423
• Rent vs Own: 27.0% rent · 73.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 510.0

Population outlook (Bannock County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 86,173 people
• By 2030: 86,575 · +0.5%
• By 2040: 86,235 · +0.1%
• By 2050: 86,090 · -0.1%
• By 2075: 85,032 · -1.3%
• By 2100: 85,103 · -1.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (72%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 72% Hispanic / Latino 13% Native American 9% Two or more races 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 12%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 3% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Bannock

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+25.1) · D 35.8% · R 60.9% · Other 3.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -25.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+25.1 2020: R+21.9 2016: R+20.5 2012: R+22.1 2008: R+13.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -140.31%
• Current HPI: 229.4622
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.14%
• Metro: Pocatello, ID
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	1	$79B
▸Technology	1	$25B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$6B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-11 Pending — PCTMLS
• 2026-03-30 Listed $95,000 PCTMLS