156-158 E Mckinley St · Chambersburg, PA 17201

$195,000

6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,660 sqft · Other · 6 Days on market

Built 1920 2,614 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.4/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.8/10.0
• 1% rule +5.4/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +3.6/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

In-town duplex with established tenants. Big ticket items appear to be in good condition--rubber roof, replacement windows throughout, modern gas FHA furnaces and recently replaced HW heaters. Investors take note--solid ROI numbers! Priced to sell "as is".

Key facts

• 2,614 sq ft lot
• Built 1920
• Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Above-grade finished area reported as estimated; Property contains above and below grade structures
• Financial info: Month-to-month existing leases; Total actual rent reported; Fee simple ownership

Exterior

• Parking: On-street parking
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Municipal trash service
• Home design: Semi-detached structure; Two total residential units
• Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Rubber roof; Built year per assessor
• Exterior features: Porch(es); No tidal water

Interior

• Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric oven/range
• Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units
• Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating fuel; Hot water by natural gas and electric
• Interior features: Estimated living area; Basement with interior access and outside entrance

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $195k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
• Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.9% in Chambersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#530 in PA, #4,894 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime D, employment D.
• Chambersburg Area SD (other): math 26% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #383 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $195,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.04% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.08%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.37%
• DSCR: 1.28
• GRM: 8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -7.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.73×
• Total profit: $-14,485
• Equity at exit: $29,075

10-year hold

• IRR: 4.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.33×
• Total profit: $17,855
• Equity at exit: $16,860

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 17201

• Home prices YoY: -20.3%
• Rents YoY: 4.4%
• Active inventory: 162
• Price-to-rent: 8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,025 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,023
• Tax from tax record: −$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
• Insurance: −$81
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$425
• Net cashflow: $224

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,742

Max offer price $195,000

Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $48,750
• Closing costs: $5,850
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
49 W Commerce St Chambersburg, PA	5.0	2.0	2500	$2,000	$0.80	43d	1	1.13mi

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-06-03
   status $195,000 Pending 6 DOM
2. 2026-06-02
   days on market $195,000 Active 6 DOM
3. 2026-06-01
   days on market $195,000 Active 5 DOM
4. 2026-05-31
   days on market $195,000 Active 4 DOM
5. 2026-05-30
   days on market $195,000 Active 3 DOM
6. 2026-05-27
   listed $195,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,475 · $206/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,778 · $231/mo
• Expected delta: +$303/yr (+$25/mo · 12.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,305
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,923
• − Property taxes: −$2,475
• − Insurance: −$1,772
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,944
• − Management: −$1,944
• − Depreciation: −$5,673
• Taxable loss: −$427
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$103
• After-tax cash flow: $2,785/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Chambersburg Area SD
• NCES district ID: 4205550
• Math proficiency: 26% ▼ -17.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▼ -16.00%
• Median HH income: $52,666
• Composite: 32.17/100
• National rank: #5787
• State rank: #383 of 539 in PA

Livability — Chambersburg

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #530
• US rank: #4894

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Chambersburg, PA
• County: Franklin County · 56,916 people
• City population: 27,554
• Metro: Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
• Population (ZIP): 27,554
• Household income: $61,234
• Rent vs Own: 51.6% rent · 48.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 1306.0

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 157,827 people
• By 2030: 158,933 · +0.7%
• By 2040: 159,060 · +0.8%
• By 2050: 155,132 · -1.7%
• By 2075: 138,545 · -12.2%
• By 2100: 112,321 · -28.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (70%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 70% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Spanish 13% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.1% · R 71.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.6pp · 2024: -43.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+43.0 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+32.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -63.07%
• Current HPI: 247.913
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.37%
• Metro: Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-27 Listed $195,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+11.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,475 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.