7825 Highway 90 · Sneads, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
CURRENTLY UNDER CONTRACT, SELLER WILL CONSIDER BACKUP OFFERS. Brand New Feel, Smart Value: Two Bedroom, Two Bath home in Sneads built in 2023 and still feeling brand new! This home offers modern comfort in a secluded setting just off Highway 90 in Sneads. Enjoy a large living area with an open, versatile layout, perfect for daily living or entertaining. The property has a mobile home on it that will be removed and cleaned prior to closing.
Key facts
- Large living area
- Secluded setting
- 8,276 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family zoning
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Paved lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Additional bedroom
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Covered porch
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-158 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $137k (16.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (25.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $122k (25.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#682 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Jackson (rural): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #39 of 73 in FL (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 153 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $330 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
- Jackson County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.11%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $43,624
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2098 River Rd | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 1,028 (-3%) | 14mo | $26,000 | $25 | 47 |
| 7966 Old Spanish Trl | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 1,158 (+9%) | 17mo | $47,000 | $41 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-13,330
- Equity at exit
- $49,565
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-1,115
- Equity at exit
- $60,916
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32460
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,225 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$192 /mo · $2,299/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$257
- Net cashflow
- $-158
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-65 | -5% $-111 | +0% $-158 | +5% $-205 | +10% $-251 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-255 | -5% $-206 | +0% $-158 | +5% $-110 | +10% $-61 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-75 | -0.5pp $-116 | base $-158 | +0.5pp $-201 | +1.0pp $-244 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $165,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $165,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $165,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $165,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $165,000
-
2026-05-04status Active
-
2026-04-23historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-09status Active
-
2026-01-09price $179,500
-
2025-10-30$190,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,299 · $192/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,299 · $192/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,696
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,299
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,176
- − Management
- −$1,176
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$4,821
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,157
- After-tax cash flow
- $-740/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson
- NCES district ID
- 1200960
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,824
- Composite
- 41.92/100
- National rank
- #3358
- State rank
- #39 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sneads
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #682
- US rank
- #14148
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sneads, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,303
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,095 people
- By 2030
- 44,432 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 41,077 · -10.9%
- By 2050
- 37,587 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 28,921 · -37.3%
- By 2100
- 19,332 · -58.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.1) · D 26.7% · R 72.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -28.0pp · 2024: -46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.1 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+29.0 2008: R+28.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.20%
- Current HPI
- 154.5563
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-13.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $165,000 CPARMLS
- 2026-05-04 Relisted — CPARMLS
- 2026-04-23 Contingent — CPARMLS
- 2026-04-09 Relisted — CPARMLS
- 2026-01-09 Price Changed $179,500 CPARMLS
- 2025-10-30 Listed $190,000 CPARMLS
Property tax history
+37.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,299 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…