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2818 Highgarden Trl
D Composite 41.89
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.8/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$209,900

2818 Highgarden Trl · Heartland, TX 75114
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,422 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 2020 Good condition 4,400 sqft lot $148/sqft · at area comps Est $253k · 17% under $50/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 2818 Highgarden Trail, a beautifully crafted newer construction home located in the highly sought-after Wildcat Ranch community in Crandall, TX—one of the fastest-growing areas for buyers looking to relocate near Dallas with more space and affordability. This move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a modern open-concept floor plan designed for today’s lifestyle, seamlessly connecting the spacious living room, dining area, and gourmet kitchen—perfect for entertaining and everyday living. The kitchen features ample counter space, modern cabinetry, and a functional layout ideal for home chefs. Large windows throughout the home provide abundant natural light, cr

Key facts

  • Gourmet kitchen
  • Ensuite bath
  • 4,400 sq ft lot

Tags

NEWER CONSTRUCTION HOMEMODERN OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLANGOURMET KITCHENABUNDANT NATURAL LIGHTPRIVATE PRIMARY SUITEENSUITE BATH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: No restrictions; Not in a municipal utility district; Green features: 12-inch+ attic insulation, HVAC efficiency, low-flow commode, rain/freeze sensors, low-flow fixtures
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; HOA semi-annual fee (covers full use of facilities); HOA managed by FirstService Residential, Texas

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2-car attached garage; Driveway; Garage faces front
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Cable available; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Attached property; Built in 2020; One story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition/shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Gutters; Exterior lighting; Wood fencing; Interior lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Microwave; Vented exhaust fan; Breakfast bar; Built-in cabinets; Granite countertops; Pantry and walk-in pantry; Water line to refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (main level); Two additional bedrooms (main level)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; One living area; One dining area; Total room count: 8; One level (single-story)
  • Laundry & utility: Separate utility room with built-in cabinets

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-230 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $169k (19.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (4.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $169k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Crandall ISD (rural): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #351 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Nola Kathryn Wilson El (math 40% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,313 of 4,322 statewide, top 31%, 596 students, 59% FRL); Crandall Middle (math 38% / reading 42%, grade F, #646 of 1,662 statewide, top 40%, 983 students, 60% FRL); Crandall H S (math 33% / reading 53%, grade F, #713 of 1,632 statewide, top 44%, 1,707 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 41% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 802 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $169,276 (19.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
4.98%
Cash-on-cash
-4.70%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$253,253
List price
$209,900
Delta
-17.12%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3713 Pronghorn Ln 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,390 (-2%) 1mo $219,000 $158 80
2213 Nightgrove Cir 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+6%) 1mo $223,000 $149 77
2376 Great Belt Blvd 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,450 (+2%) 1mo $220,000 $152 74
2529 Talus Run 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,396 (-2%) 1mo $267,240 $191 73
3331 Watterson Way 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,416 (-0%) 1mo $230,000 $162 69
2810 Bakers Bnd 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,335 (-6%) 0mo $275,740 $207 68
2071 Wildcat Trl 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,480 (+4%) 1mo $244,900 $165 68
3664 Mildren Bnd 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,451 (+2%) 1mo $239,999 $165 67
2525 Talus Run 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,521 (+7%) 1mo $275,240 $181 64
2826 Gose Ln 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,521 (+7%) 2mo $259,990 $171 60
2228 Starling St 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (+2%) 1mo $264,000 $181 57
6022 Midsummer Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,335 (-6%) 1mo $259,740 $195 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.1%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-48,402
Equity at exit
$31,297
10-year hold
IRR
-18.9%
Equity multiple
-0.02×
Total profit
$-59,964
Equity at exit
$18,148

Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75114

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Active inventory
802
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,012 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$581 /mo · $6,972/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$50
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$422
Net cashflow
$-230

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,303
Max offer price $169,276
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-111 -5% $-171 +0% $-230 +5% $-289 +10% $-349
Rent -10% $-389 -5% $-309 +0% $-230 +5% $-151 +10% $-71
Rate -1.0pp $-124 -0.5pp $-177 base $-230 +0.5pp $-284 +1.0pp $-340

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,475
Closing costs
$6,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2117 Ocelot St Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1481 $1,875 $1.27 45d 1 0.15mi
2127 Ocelot St Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1383 $2,200 $1.59 45d 1 0.17mi
3324 Price Trl Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1296 $1,995 $1.54 19d 1 0.24mi
2043 Serval Ln Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1544 $2,100 $1.36 45d 1 0.25mi
2960 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $2,000 $1.39 45d 1 0.25mi
2973 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,665 $1.16 45d 1 0.27mi
2961 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,855 $1.47 4d 1 0.27mi
2991 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,895 $1.50 45d 1 0.29mi
2505 Milne Ct Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $2,500 $1.72 21d 1 0.29mi
3121 Helix Bay Dr Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,675 $1.16 45d 1 0.32mi
3104 Helix Bay Dr Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,675 $1.32 26d 1 0.33mi
3007 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,950 $1.35 45d 1 0.34mi
3103 Helix Bay Dr Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,729 $1.20 5d 1 0.35mi
3101 Helix Bay Dr Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,745 $1.38 26d 1 0.35mi
3352 Beckwith Way Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,750 $1.38 1d 1 0.38mi
4152 Silverstein St Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,925 $1.52 26d 1 0.39mi
3315 Beckwith Way Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,685 $1.17 45d 1 0.41mi
4171 Silverstein St Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1311 $1,900 $1.45 14d 1 0.44mi
3072 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1017 $1,500 $1.47 26d 1 0.53mi
2306 Great Belt Blvd Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,695 $1.34 45d 1 0.63mi
2302 Great Belt Blvd Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,650 $1.30 5d 1 0.63mi
2294 Great Belt Blvd Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,815 $1.43 26d 1 0.63mi
2603 Khaju Grv Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,699 $1.34 5d 1 0.64mi
2504 Cornado Way Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,799 $1.25 45d 1 0.65mi
2511 Cornado Way Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1239 $1,799 $1.45 26d 1 0.67mi
2311 Alcantara Ave Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1220 $1,740 $1.43 1d 1 0.69mi
4624 Verdin St Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1390 $1,950 $1.40 0d 1 0.84mi
2908 Hearts Trl Crandall, TX 3.0 3.0 1266 $1,750 $1.38 45d 1 0.88mi
1930 Wild Orchard Ln Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1411 $1,865 $1.32 45d 1 0.95mi
1507 Trick Riding Way Crandall, TX 4.0 2.0 1850 $1,900 $1.03 1d 1 0.99mi
1507 Trick Riding Way Crandall, TX 4.0 2.0 1850 $1,900 $1.03 26d 1 0.99mi
1209 Kings Pl Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1356 $1,975 $1.46 3d 1 1.00mi
1609 Duke Dr Crandall, TX 2.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1614 $2,242 $1.39 0d 1 1.04mi
1799 Courage Crk Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,800 $1.43 45d 1 1.08mi
1793 Courage Crk Crandall, TX 4.0 2.0 1667 $1,769 $1.06 1d 1 1.09mi
1789 Courage Crk Crandall, TX 4.0 2.0 1667 $1,739 $1.04 5d 1 1.10mi
2624 Bartlett St Crandall, TX 4.0 2.0 1707 $1,825 $1.07 26d 1 1.12mi
2510 Flight Trl Crandall, TX 4.0 2.0 1667 $1,845 $1.11 26d 1 1.16mi
2513 Flight Trl Crandall, TX 4.0 2.0 1707 $1,825 $1.07 26d 1 1.17mi
2739 Bronte Blvd Crandall, TX 4.0 2.0 1707 $1,825 $1.07 26d 1 1.19mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$50 · $600/yr

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 1755-char remark
  2. 2026-05-13
    historical Active Option Contract 1755-char remark
  3. 2026-05-03
    listed $209,900 Active 1755-char remark
  4. 2024-11-18
    historical $1,995
  5. 2024-09-21
    price $1,995
  6. 2024-09-07
    listed $2,100
  7. 2024-09-06
    listed $2,095 Active
  8. 2024-07-31
    historical $1,995
  9. 2024-07-10
    price $1,995
  10. 2024-07-03
    listed $2,200
  11. 2024-06-25
    price $254,900
  12. 2024-06-22
    price $259,000
  13. 2024-06-07
    listed $259,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,972 · $581/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,972 · $581/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,140
− Mortgage interest
−$11,758
− Property taxes
−$6,972
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,931
− Management
−$1,931
− HOA
−$600
− Depreciation
−$6,106
Taxable loss
−$6,208
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,490
After-tax cash flow
$-1,270/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready home in Wildcat Ranch offers a modern open-concept floor plan with good condition and minimal repairs needed. It's an excellent opportunity for investors looking to increase its value through cosmetic updates and landscaping improvements.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior brick — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value
  • Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes the space and can increase property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior brick — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value
  • Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes the space and can increase property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crandall ISD
NCES district ID
4815510
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$70,076
Composite
35.57/100
National rank
#4901
State rank
#351 of 826 in TX

Livability — Heartland

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Kaufman County · 122,338 people
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
9,333
Household income
$88,013
Rent vs Own
12.7% rent · 87.3% own
Severe rent burden
33.0

Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,716 people
By 2030
150,815 · +8.7%
By 2040
174,877 · +26.1%
By 2050
198,020 · +42.8%
By 2075
251,908 · +81.6%
By 2100
285,325 · +105.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 14% Black 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, China
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.61%
Current HPI
196.4773
Rent YoY
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-19.2% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2026-05-18 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-05-13 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-05-03 Listed $209,900 NTREIS
  • 2024-11-18 Rental Removed $1,995 NTREIS
  • 2024-09-21 Price Changed $1,995 NTREIS
  • 2024-09-07 Listed for Rent $2,100 NTREIS
  • 2024-09-06 Listed $2,095 NTREIS
  • 2024-07-31 Rental Removed $1,995 NTREIS
  • 2024-07-10 Price Changed $1,995 NTREIS
  • 2024-07-03 Listed for Rent $2,200 NTREIS
  • 2024-06-25 Price Changed $254,900 NTREIS
  • 2024-06-22 Price Changed $259,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-06-07 Listed $259,900 NTREIS

Property tax history

+73.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,972 · -8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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