CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
97 Buzzard Fork Rd
C- Composite 53.17
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.1/10.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$105,000

97 Buzzard Fork Rd · Buckhorn, KY 41339
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · SingleFamily · 39 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition 1.50 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Very nice mobile home located on a gorgeous piece of property. The 2022 mobile home is 3 bedroom 2 bath and has been beautifully maintained. It has many charming features such as laminate flooring, covered porch, and breakfast Bar. The property includes 1.5 acres perfect for raising a garden, hunting, or ATV riding. It is located off canoe road approximately 20 miles from Jackson.

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Laminate flooring
  • 1.5 acres

Tags

LAMINATE FLOORINGCOVERED PORCHBREAKFAST BAR1.5 ACRES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Private sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: One-story structure; Other property type
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built area approximately 1,216
  • Exterior features: Landscaped lot; Secluded setting with few trees; Rural, trees/woods, mountain(s) and water views

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
  • Flooring: Laminate; Insulated windows
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling; Has heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Primary bedroom on the first floor; Fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#316 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Breathitt County (town): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #144 of 165 in KY (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Breathitt County High School (math 18% / reading 37%, grade F, #156 of 254 statewide, top 62%, 763 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools at 71% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Breathitt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Breathitt County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $101,850 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.79%
Cash-on-cash
5.34%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.0%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-8,668
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
1.6%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$3,245
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 41339

Home prices YoY
-4.1%
Active inventory
30
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,084 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax est. 1.5%
$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$228
Net cashflow
$131

Break-even live

Break-even rent $919
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $105,000 Pending 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 39 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 38 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 37 DOM
  5. 2026-04-22
    listed $105,000 Active 385-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,009
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,575
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,041
− Management
−$1,041
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable loss
−$109
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$26
After-tax cash flow
$1,596/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has been well-maintained and is ready for a new owner. The home has a good roof, exterior, and interior, and the kitchen and bath are modern. The property has a good amount of land for privacy and outdoor activities. The home is move-in ready and would be a great investment.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both HVAC maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both HVAC maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Breathitt County
NCES district ID
2100690
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$24,324
Composite
21.22/100
National rank
#8408
State rank
#144 of 165 in KY

Livability — Buckhorn

Score
63/100
State rank
#316
US rank
#15123

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,563

Population outlook (Breathitt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
12,445 people
By 2030
11,773 · -5.4%
By 2040
10,356 · -16.8%
By 2050
8,963 · -28.0%
By 2075
6,081 · -51.1%
By 2100
4,071 · -67.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · China
Languages at home
99% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Breathitt

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.3) · D 19.6% · R 78.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-50.1pp toward R · 2008: -9.3pp · 2024: -59.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.3 2020: R+52.4 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+35.1 2008: R+9.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.81%
Current HPI
136.5547
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Pending ImagineMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $105,000 ImagineMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…