97 Buzzard Fork Rd · Buckhorn, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.1/10.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Very nice mobile home located on a gorgeous piece of property. The 2022 mobile home is 3 bedroom 2 bath and has been beautifully maintained. It has many charming features such as laminate flooring, covered porch, and breakfast Bar. The property includes 1.5 acres perfect for raising a garden, hunting, or ATV riding. It is located off canoe road approximately 20 miles from Jackson.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Laminate flooring
- 1.5 acres
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Private sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: One-story structure; Other property type
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built area approximately 1,216
- Exterior features: Landscaped lot; Secluded setting with few trees; Rural, trees/woods, mountain(s) and water views
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
- Flooring: Laminate; Insulated windows
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling; Has heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Primary bedroom on the first floor; Fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#316 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Breathitt County (town): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #144 of 165 in KY (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Breathitt County High School (math 18% / reading 37%, grade F, #156 of 254 statewide, top 62%, 763 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools at 71% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Breathitt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Breathitt County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.34%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-8,668
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $3,245
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41339
- Home prices YoY
- -4.1%
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,084 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $131
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-02status $105,000 Pending 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-22$105,000 Active 385-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,009
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,575
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,041
- − Management
- −$1,041
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable loss
- −$109
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$26
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,596/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This mobile home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has been well-maintained and is ready for a new owner. The home has a good roof, exterior, and interior, and the kitchen and bath are modern. The property has a good amount of land for privacy and outdoor activities. The home is move-in ready and would be a great investment.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both HVAC maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both HVAC maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Breathitt County
- NCES district ID
- 2100690
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $24,324
- Composite
- 21.22/100
- National rank
- #8408
- State rank
- #144 of 165 in KY
Livability — Buckhorn
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #316
- US rank
- #15123
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,563
Population outlook (Breathitt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,445 people
- By 2030
- 11,773 · -5.4%
- By 2040
- 10,356 · -16.8%
- By 2050
- 8,963 · -28.0%
- By 2075
- 6,081 · -51.1%
- By 2100
- 4,071 · -67.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Breathitt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.3) · D 19.6% · R 78.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -50.1pp toward R · 2008: -9.3pp · 2024: -59.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.3 2020: R+52.4 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+35.1 2008: R+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.81%
- Current HPI
- 136.5547
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Pending — ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $105,000 ImagineMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…