2615 Avenue O Unit 5M · New York, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 77.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
1-bedroom coop in great location, great size bedrooms, living room, dinning area, kitchen, and three spacious closets. Located on the quiet side of the building, this 5nd-floor unit provides tranquility and convenience. Low maintenance of $485 covers taxes, heat, and water. Just minutes away from Ave O, you'll have easy access to shops, cafes, and multiple transit options. Covered parking available via waiting list ($100 /month). Cash deal.
Key facts
- Listed 95 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Flip tax applies
- Financial info: Exchange considered; Cash offers accepted
- HOA & community: Monthly maintenance common fee; Maintenance common fee required; Management by Rokowsky Management; On-site manager available; Pets allowed (cats and dogs); Handicap access available; Co-op shares allocated
Exterior
- Parking: Wait-list parking
- Security: Secure lobby; Intercom door
- Utilities: Heat included; Water included; Sewer included; Other utilities
- Home design: Residential unit; Located on 5th floor
- Construction: Multifamily building
- Exterior features: Secure lobby; Intercom door; Building has 42 units
Interior
- Kitchen: Stove; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Tile floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Steam/radiator heat; Gas heating fuel; 2 AC units; Hot water coil in boiler
- Interior features: Elevator; Window treatments; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Card-operated laundry in building
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $209k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $209k).
- Recommended offer: $190k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($190k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.85%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-15,683
- Equity at exit
- $31,163
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $4,337
- Equity at exit
- $18,071
Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11210
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,313 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,096
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$261 /mo · $3,135/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$486
- Net cashflow
- $317
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,250
- Closing costs
- $6,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $209,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $209,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $209,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $209,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $209,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $209,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $209,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $209,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $209,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $209,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 444-char remark
-
2026-05-31days on market $209,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-03-14$209,000 Active
-
2024-12-12historical
-
2024-06-06price $229,999
-
2023-12-20$260,000 Active
-
2023-12-11historical
-
2023-09-22price $209,999
-
2023-09-07price $209,999
-
2023-08-02price $220,000
-
2023-08-02price $220,000
-
2023-07-04price $230,000
-
2023-07-04price $230,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,757
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,707
- − Property taxes
- −$3,135
- − Insurance
- −$1,842
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,221
- − Management
- −$2,221
- − Depreciation
- −$6,080
- Taxable income
- $552
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$132
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,666/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,915
- Household income
- $83,692
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3513.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 30% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 12% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 39% · Canada, China, Mexico
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -831.01%
- Current HPI
- 389.9293
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.11%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-9.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-14 Listed $209,000 BNYMLS
- 2024-12-12 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-06 Price Changed $229,999 BNYMLS
- 2023-12-20 Listed $260,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-11 Coming Soon — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-22 Price Changed $209,999 BNYMLS
- 2023-09-07 Price Changed $209,999 RLS at REBNY
- 2023-08-02 Price Changed $220,000 BNYMLS
- 2023-08-02 Price Changed $220,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2023-07-04 Price Changed $230,000 BNYMLS
- 2023-07-04 Price Changed $230,000 RLS at REBNY
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…