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2212 Christina St
C+ Composite 64.17
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

2212 Christina St · Rockford, IL 61104
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 682 sqft · SingleFamily · 7 Days on market
Built 1950 6,970 sqft lot Est $78k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

There are no remarks available.

Key facts

  • New doors
  • New water heater
  • New windows

Tags

UPDATED KITCHEN FLOORINGNEW WINDOWSNEW DOORSNEW WATER HEATER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot roughly 0.16 acre
  • Financial info: Annual property tax reported

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence (house); Residential property
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Natural gas
  • Interior features: Includes water softener; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $366 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $36k; list at $85k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
11.46%
Cash-on-cash
18.45%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$77,748
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2219 Magnolia St 0.05mi 2/1.0 672 (-2%) 20mo $76,500 $114 79

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$15,891
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
27.7%
Equity multiple
4.06×
Total profit
$72,788
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61104

Home prices YoY
-21.4%
Rents YoY
9.7%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,201 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,218/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$366

Break-even live

Break-even rent $738
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $414 -5% $390 +0% $366 +5% $342 +10% $318
Rent -10% $271 -5% $318 +0% $366 +5% $413 +10% $461
Rate -1.0pp $409 -0.5pp $388 base $366 +0.5pp $344 +1.0pp $321

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2208 Christina St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,300 $1.86 21d 1 0.02mi
1524 Broadway Unit 1526-8 Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 44d 1 1.43mi
1530 Broadway Unit 1532-1 Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 700 $875 $1.25 21d 1 1.44mi
2846 Lapey St Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    status $85,000 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-05-28
    listed $85,000 Active
  8. 2023-05-01
    soldstatus $36,000 Closed 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  9. 2023-03-16
    status Pending 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  10. 2023-01-06
    price $39,000 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  11. 2022-11-07
    listed $43,000 Active 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  12. 2001-05-10
    soldstatus $42,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,218 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,574 · $131/mo
Expected delta
+$356/yr (+$30/mo · 29.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,409
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,218
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,153
− Management
−$1,153
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$3,226
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$774
After-tax cash flow
$3,616/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockford SD 205
NCES district ID
1734510
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,533
Composite
12.21/100
National rank
#9649
State rank
#533 of 620 in IL

Livability — Rockford

Score
62/100
State rank
#876
US rank
#17035

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rockford, IL
County
Winnebago County · 147,297 people
City population
147,297
Metro
Rockford, IL
Population (ZIP)
17,222
Household income
$33,772
Rent vs Own
62.2% rent · 37.8% own
Severe rent burden
1406.0

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,080 people
By 2030
260,684 · -3.8%
By 2040
238,405 · -12.1%
By 2050
216,129 · -20.3%
By 2075
172,882 · -36.2%
By 2100
135,336 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Hispanic / Latino 26% Black 25% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, South Korea, Philippines
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -63.40%
Current HPI
233.0219
Rent YoY
▲ 9.67%
Metro
Rockford, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $85,000 NWIAR
  • 2023-05-01 Sold (MLS) $36,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-03-16 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-06 Price Changed $39,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-07 Listed $43,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,218 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…