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9360 N Blackstone Ave #153
B+ Composite 79.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

9360 N Blackstone Ave #153 · Fresno, CA 93720
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1979 $76/sqft · 39% below area Est $180k · 39% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located in Fresno within the desirable Woodward Bluffs Mobile Home Park, this spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,440 sq ft of comfortable living. Built in 1979, the home features mulled windows and a full water plumbing retrofit, providing added value and peace of mind. Interior highlights include newer flooring and fresh paint throughout most rooms, creating a clean, move-in ready feel. The functional layout offers generous living spaces. Outside, enjoy the convenience of covered parking on both sides of the home along with a low-maintenance setup. The community offers a variety of amenities including a clubhouse, pool, spa, and green areas, with direct access to Woodward Park for ou

Key facts

  • Newer flooring
  • Fresh paint
  • Covered parking

Tags

UPDATED WINDOWSFULL WATER PLUMBING RETROFITNEWER FLOORINGFRESH PAINTCOVERED PARKINGLOW-MAINTENANCE SETUP

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Community amenities include pool, clubhouse, and green area

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; Has carport
  • Utilities: Electric on; Public sewer; Public utilities
  • Home design: Mobile home; Silvercrest manufacturer
  • Construction: Metal siding; Wood subfloor foundation; Rolled/hot mop roof; Built as a mobile home
  • Exterior features: One-story; Covered patio/porch; Shed(s); Corner lot in an urban setting; Park space rented

Interior

  • Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heat and air conditioning; Has heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Laminate and vinyl flooring; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $850 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 3.7% in Fresno — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#469 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, employment D+, crime F.
  • Clovis Unified (suburban): math 58% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #152 of 1,400 in CA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Valley Oak Elementary (496 students, 34% FRL); Kastner Intermediate (1,133 students, 56% FRL); Clovis West High (2,089 students, 44% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 176 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,426 units permitted in Fresno County in 2024 (296 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fresno County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $106,700 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.21%
Cap rate
20.22%
Cash-on-cash
49.73%
DSCR
3.21
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$180,293
List price
$110,000
Delta
-38.99%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9360 N Blackstone Ave #215 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,440 (0%) 0mo $180,000 $125 97
9360 N Blackstone Ave #112 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,440 (0%) 4mo $185,000 $128 94
9360 Blackstone Ave #107 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 6mo $130,000 $90 90
9360 N Blackstone Ave #237 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 6mo $85,000 $59 90
9360 N Blackstone Ave #164 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,440 (0%) 20mo $80,000 $56 80
8701 Highway 41 #9 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+4%) 2mo $238,250 $159 75
9360 N Blackstone Ave #213 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (-13%) 2mo $110,000 $88 71
8701 Highway 41 #53 0.35mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,428 (-1%) 9mo $260,000 $182 70
8701 Highway 41 #28 0.34mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 12mo $183,000 $127 69
8701 Highway 41 #11 0.35mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 15mo $247,000 $172 66
9360 N Blackstone Ave #136 0.06mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-7%) 20mo $95,000 $71 65
8701 Highway 41 #54 0.35mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (-13%) 5mo $249,000 $200 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.91% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$33,886
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
33.8%
Equity multiple
3.91×
Total profit
$89,526
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93720

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
176
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,435 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $297/yr
Insurance
$46
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$511
Net cashflow
$850

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,359
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8884 N Del Mar Ave Unit 1 Fresno, CA 2.0 2.0 1166 $2,095 $1.80 44d 1 0.57mi
326 E Deer Creek Ln Fresno, CA 3.0 2.0 1464 $2,650 $1.81 23d 1 0.82mi
645 E Champlain Dr #106 Fresno, CA 2.0 2.0 1307 $2,200 $1.68 44d 1 1.03mi
8476 N Del Mar Ave Fresno, CA 4.0 2.0 1797 $10,000 $5.56 23d 1 1.03mi
9375 N Saybrook Dr Fresno, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1088 $2,462 $2.26 2d 25 1.20mi
1044 E Manhattan Ave Fresno, CA 4.0 2.0 1529 $2,300 $1.50 3d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $110,000 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $110,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $120,000 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-04-17
    listed $120,000 Active 1014-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$297 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$836 · $70/mo
Expected delta
+$539/yr (+$45/mo · 181.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 17% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 44 unhealthy d/yr today · 51 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,222
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$297
− Insurance
−$5,668
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,338
− Management
−$2,338
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$9,219
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,213
After-tax cash flow
$7,985/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clovis Unified
NCES district ID
0609030
Math proficiency
58% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$71,950
Composite
58.7/100
National rank
#2003
State rank
#152 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Fresno

Score
62/100
State rank
#469
US rank
#15907

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fresno, CA
County
Fresno County · 834,801 people
City population
593,114
Metro
Fresno, CA
Population (ZIP)
50,089
Household income
$105,050
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
1796.0

Population outlook (Fresno County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,042,971 people
By 2030
1,072,198 · +2.8%
By 2040
1,122,408 · +7.6%
By 2050
1,157,251 · +11.0%
By 2075
1,182,575 · +13.4%
By 2100
1,105,899 · +6.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 16% Asian 16% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24%
Common ancestry
Russian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 6% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Fresno

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.5% · R 50.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.1pp · 2024: -4.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.4 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+3.9 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+2.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -278.23%
Current HPI
332.618
Rent YoY
▲ 1.91%
Metro
Fresno, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Price Changed $110,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $120,000 FRESNOMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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