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3437 Caroline Ave
B Composite 74.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

3437 Caroline Ave · Indianapolis city (balance), IN 46218
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1929 4,182 sqft lot $77/sqft · 35% above area Est $89k · 33% under ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Northeast side Bungalow includes 2BD 1Ba * LIVING RM, SEP DR, small EIK * Full Basement * Sits on Large 21x200 lot * CASH ONLY PURCHASE * Property does not have a furnace and will probably need a roof * Total Rehab required * Seller will consider all serious offers. Great Investment opportunity * "SOLD "AS IS" CASH ONLY * SELLER will allow pre offer inspections * ONLY NON- REFUNDABLE EM WILL BE ACCEPTED *

Key facts

  • 4,182 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1929

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property has additional parcel(s)

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage square footage listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer connected; Electricity connected with circuit breakers; Natural gas connected; Solid waste service available; No on-site fuel source
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Fixer condition; One level; West-facing
  • Construction: Shingle siding; Block full foundation
  • Exterior features: Less than 1/4 acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms (see remarks for primary bedroom details)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level with tub and shower
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Daylight unfinished basement with storage space; Other interior areas
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $475 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 334 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $60k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $60,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.94%
Cap rate
15.78%
Cash-on-cash
33.90%
DSCR
2.51
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$88,890
List price
$60,000
Delta
-32.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3511 N Keystone Ave 0.23mi 2/1.0 837 (+7%) 10mo $113,500 $136 70
3706 Baltimore Ave 0.30mi 2/1.0 812 (+4%) 13mo $40,000 $49 69
3331 Orchard Ave 0.20mi 2/1.0 720 (-8%) 14mo $115,000 $160 66
3714 Hillside Ave 0.34mi 2/2.0 844 (+8%) 4mo $143,900 $170 64
3135 N Temple Ave 0.50mi 1/1.0 (-1) 725 (-8%) 4mo $78,000 $108 56
3141 N Tacoma Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 792 (+1%) 23mo $70,000 $88 53
3930 Caroline Ave 0.59mi 2/1.0 812 (+4%) 18mo $102,500 $126 52
3105 N Tacoma Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 696 (-11%) 10mo $137,500 $198 49
2120 E 34th St 0.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 900 (+15%) 19mo $115,000 $128 48
3051 N Tacoma Ave 0.55mi 2/1.0 856 (+9%) 15mo $101,000 $118 47
3061 N Tacoma Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 672 (-14%) 6mo $43,000 $64 46
3112 N Temple Ave 0.52mi 2/1.0 725 (-8%) 22mo $130,000 $179 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.7%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$18,032
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
32.9%
Equity multiple
3.67×
Total profit
$44,919
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46218

Home prices YoY
-17.1%
Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
334
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,163 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,255/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$475

Break-even live

Break-even rent $562
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3363 Nicholas Ave Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 720 $1,000 $1.39 3d 1 0.11mi
1902 E 35th St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 43d 1 0.25mi
3709 Kinnear Ave Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 650 $1,000 $1.54 43d 1 0.32mi
3719 Hillside Ave Indianapolis, IN 1.0 1.0 644 $725 $1.13 23d 1 0.36mi
3723 Orchard Ave Unit 3723 Indianapolis, IN 1.0 1.5 700 $1,300 $1.86 23d 1 0.37mi
3763 Baltimore Ave Unit 3765 Indianapolis, IN 1.0 1.0 750 $750 $1.00 43d 1 0.39mi
3741 N Tacoma Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 913 $2,200 $2.41 17d 1 0.47mi
3535 N Oxford St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1015 $1,500 $1.48 21d 1 0.56mi
3207 N Arsenal Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 994 $1,195 $1.20 23d 1 0.60mi
3472 N Dearborn St Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 890 $1,099 $1.23 19d 1 0.68mi
2931 N Tacoma Ave Unit 31 Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 7d 1 0.69mi
3609 Balsam Ave Indianapolis, IN 1.0 1.0 541 $755 $1.40 14d 1 0.69mi
3609 Balsam Ave Indianapolis, IN 1.0 1.0 541 $775 $1.43 2d 1 0.69mi
3610 Balsam Ave Indianapolis, IN 1.0 1.0 464 $775 $1.67 2d 9 0.72mi
3132 Dr Andrew J Brown Ave Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0–2.0 791 $2,120 $2.68 1d 46 0.72mi
2820 Caroline Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.5 1112 $1,250 $1.12 23d 1 0.78mi
3139 Guilford Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1068 $1,345 $1.26 43d 1 0.87mi
916 Fairfield Ave Unit 918 Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 7d 1 0.90mi
3203 Sutherland Ave Unit 1310761P Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 1097 $3,668 $3.34 1d 1 0.92mi
2930 N Dearborn St Indianapolis, IN 1.0 1.0 536 $599 $1.12 23d 1 0.93mi
3522 N Olney St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 768 $1,300 $1.69 43d 1 0.95mi
3421 N Olney St Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 720 $1,195 $1.66 16d 1 0.97mi
2920 N Lasalle St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 875 $1,095 $1.25 17d 1 0.99mi
3909 Winthrop Ave Unit B Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.5 931 $1,550 $1.66 11d 1 1.01mi
2949 Adams St Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 978 $1,150 $1.18 43d 1 1.03mi
3359 N College Ave Unit 3359 Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.5 1082 $1,895 $1.75 23d 1 1.05mi
2010 E 25th St Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 792 $775 $0.98 23d 1 1.06mi
2530 N Temple Ave Indianapolis, IN 1.0 1.0 720 $750 $1.04 20d 1 1.06mi
4303 Norwaldo Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,200 $1.14 43d 1 1.11mi
3383 Station St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 744 $1,250 $1.68 23d 1 1.12mi
3716 N College Ave Unit 3 Indianapolis, IN 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,450 $1.32 43d 1 1.13mi
2821 Oxford Ln Indianapolis, IN 1.0 1.0 640 $825 $1.29 43d 1 1.15mi
4326 Crittenden Ave Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 812 $1,045 $1.29 20d 1 1.15mi
2549 Columbia Ave Unit 1332865P Indianapolis, IN 3.0 2.0 893 $2,274 $2.55 1d 1 1.16mi
4309 Ralston Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 918 $1,600 $1.74 14d 1 1.16mi
3615 Sherman Forest Dr Indianapolis, IN 4.0 1.0–2.5 1057 $1,288 $1.22 4d 1 1.17mi
636 E 37th St Unit 5 Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $695 $0.99 23d 1 1.17mi
633 E 38th St #4 Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 650 $1,050 $1.62 43d 1 1.19mi
3011 Oxford Ln Indianapolis, IN 1.0 1.0 640 $800 $1.25 43d 1 1.21mi
4115 Meadows Dr Indianapolis, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1013 $1,374 $1.36 43d 9 1.22mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 408-char remark
  2. 2026-05-06
    status Active 408-char remark
  3. 2026-05-03
    status Pending 408-char remark
  4. 2026-05-02
    status Active 408-char remark
  5. 2026-04-24
    status Pending 408-char remark
  6. 2026-04-22
    listed $60,000 Active 408-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,255 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,255 · $105/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,957
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$1,255
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,117
− Management
−$1,117
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$5,062
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,215
After-tax cash flow
$4,480/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indianapolis Public Schools
NCES district ID
1804770
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$32,034
Composite
13.69/100
National rank
#9499
State rank
#286 of 301 in IN

Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Indianapolis city (balance), IN
County
Marion County · 998,460 people
City population
881,119
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
Population (ZIP)
29,360
Household income
$38,063
Rent vs Own
47.2% rent · 52.8% own
Severe rent burden
2340.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,572 people
By 2030
1,065,727 · +3.9%
By 2040
1,141,577 · +11.3%
By 2050
1,208,920 · +17.9%
By 2075
1,367,288 · +33.3%
By 2100
1,438,201 · +40.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 68% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.57%
Current HPI
395.7071
Rent YoY
▲ 0.81%
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-33.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-15 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-06 Relisted MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-03 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-02 Relisted MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $60,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+17.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,255 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…