🏷️ Likely Rental
1804 Main St · Vincennes, IN
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$71,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom rental home with great rental history. The home has had some updates, but we have priced it based on the remaining items needed to be updated. The home has a partial new roof, some new interior work, and a new heat pump system installed in March of 2025. It is currently rented at $700/month through 5/31/27. This home could be your next great investment!
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1910
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $250 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($975 rent vs $72k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 5.1% in Vincennes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#148 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Vincennes Community School Corporation (town): math 34% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #193 of 301 in IN (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 36 units permitted in Knox County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $497 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Knox County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.89%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $153,273
- List price
- $71,900
- Delta
- -53.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Hunter Ct | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,432 (+1%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $133 | 91 |
| 108 N 21st St | 0.23mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,402 (-2%) | 2mo | $155,900 | $111 | 76 |
| 204 Carolina Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-2%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $161 | 74 |
| 1313 Broadway St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,422 (-0%) | 8mo | $149,900 | $105 | 72 |
| 2004 Jerry St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-9%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $115 | 70 |
| 8 N 21st St | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,248 (-12%) | 2mo | $157,000 | $126 | 66 |
| 1416 Buntin St | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 | 1,350 (-5%) | 13mo | $122,742 | $91 | 60 |
| 201 Carolina Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,318 (-7%) | 12mo | $217,000 | $165 | 59 |
| 1614 Wheeler St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,460 (+2%) | 12mo | $149,000 | $102 | 57 |
| 824 S 15th St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,568 (+10%) | 2mo | $70,000 | $45 | 49 |
| 1419 College Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-6%) | 10mo | $55,000 | $41 | 45 |
| 1126 Busseron St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (-12%) | 10mo | $123,000 | $98 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $4,287
- Equity at exit
- $10,721
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $24,337
- Equity at exit
- $6,217
Cash invested: $20,132 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47591
- Home prices YoY
- -19.5%
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $975 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$377
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,362/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $250
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,975
- Closing costs
- $2,157
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 721 N 7th St Unit A Vincennes, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $975 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $71,900 Pending 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $71,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $71,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $71,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $71,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $71,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $71,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $71,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $71,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $71,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-08$71,900 Active 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
This is a 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom rental home with great rental history. The home has had some updates, but we have priced it based on the remaining items needed to be updated. The home has a partial new roof, some new interior work, and a new heat pump system installed in March of 2025. It is currently rented at $700/month through 5/31/27. This home could be your next great investment!
-
2025-08-23status Active
-
2025-08-23historical
-
2025-08-05price $61,900
-
2025-05-02status Active
-
2024-10-14price $63,000
-
2024-04-29$69,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,362 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,362 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,700
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,028
- − Property taxes
- −$1,362
- − Insurance
- −$360
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$936
- − Management
- −$936
- − Depreciation
- −$2,092
- Taxable income
- $1,988
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$477
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,520/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vincennes Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1812120
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,359
- Composite
- 30.05/100
- National rank
- #6354
- State rank
- #193 of 301 in IN
Livability — Vincennes
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #148
- US rank
- #7480
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vincennes, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,191
Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,092 people
- By 2030
- 36,271 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 34,196 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 32,405 · -12.6%
- By 2075
- 28,754 · -22.5%
- By 2100
- 24,110 · -35.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Knox
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.4) · D 24.0% · R 74.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.9pp toward R · 2008: -6.5pp · 2024: -50.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.4 2020: R+47.4 2016: R+47.2 2012: R+28.9 2008: R+6.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.26%
- Current HPI
- 194.903
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+2.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $71,900 IRMLS
- 2025-08-23 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2025-08-23 Delisted — IRMLS
- 2025-08-05 Price Changed $61,900 IRMLS
- 2025-05-02 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2024-10-14 Price Changed $63,000 IRMLS
- 2024-04-29 Listed $69,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
-3.4%/yrLatest (2024): $1,362 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…