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77 Chapel Pl
D Composite 43.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$189,500

77 Chapel Pl · Amsterdam, NY 12010
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 760 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 143 Days on market
Built 1940 10,018 sqft lot $249/sqft · 9% above area Est $174k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 77 Chapel Place! Sitting on a generous corner lot in a highly desirable neighborhood, this home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Its efficient footprint helps keep renovation costs manageable while still offering a comfortable layout. Inside, you'll find two spacious bedrooms, a functional galley kitchen, and the convenience of an attached garage—perfect for anyone seeking easy, single-level living. Are you handy? Put your skills to work on the cosmetic updates and enjoy the opportunity to build instant equity in a great location.

Key facts

  • Attached garage
  • Single-level living
  • Cosmetic updates

Tags

CORNER LOTHIGHLY DESIRABLE NEIGHBORHOODFUNCTIONAL GALLEY KITCHENATTACHED GARAGESINGLE-LEVEL LIVINGCOSMETIC UPDATES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-50 ($-605/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $181k (4.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (18.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#247 in NY, #3,884 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Amsterdam City School District (town): math 35% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #546 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Wilbur H Lynch Literacy Academy (math 9% / reading 37%, grade F, #646 of 729 statewide, top 89%, 817 students, 75% FRL); Amsterdam High School (math 75% / reading 82%, grade A-, #563 of 1,100 statewide, top 52%, 1,179 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 40% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 51% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Amsterdam City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 210 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Montgomery County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $190k implies a 321% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $154,760 (18.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.14%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$173,654
List price
$189,500
Delta
9.13%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2 Laura St 0.46mi 1/1.0 (-1) 660 (-13%) 7mo $120,000 $182 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.5%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$99,997
Equity at exit
$170,717
10-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
6.60×
Total profit
$297,001
Equity at exit
$368,157

Cash invested: $53,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12010

Home prices YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,548 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$994
Tax from tax record
$200 /mo · $2,404/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$325
Net cashflow
$-50

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,611
Max offer price $180,595
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $57 -5% $3 +0% $-50 +5% $-104 +10% $-158
Rent -10% $-173 -5% $-112 +0% $-50 +5% $11 +10% $72
Rate -1.0pp $45 -0.5pp $-2 base $-50 +0.5pp $-100 +1.0pp $-149

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,375
Closing costs
$5,685
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
62 Glen Ave Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,550 $1.39 25d 1 0.65mi
70 Wall St Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.0 1098 $1,300 $1.18 21d 1 0.94mi
7 Hewitt St Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.0 967 $1,700 $1.76 45d 1 1.33mi
7 Hewitt St Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.0 967 $1,700 $1.76 16d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 585-char remark
    Show marketing remark (585 chars)

    Welcome to 77 Chapel Place! Sitting on a generous corner lot in a highly desirable neighborhood, this home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Its efficient footprint helps keep renovation costs manageable while still offering a comfortable layout. Inside, you'll find two spacious bedrooms, a functional galley kitchen, and the convenience of an attached garage—perfect for anyone seeking easy, single-level living. Are you handy? Put your skills to work on the cosmetic updates and enjoy the opportunity to build instant equity in a great location.

  2. 2026-04-01
    price $189,500 585-char remark
    Show marketing remark (585 chars)

    Welcome to 77 Chapel Place! Sitting on a generous corner lot in a highly desirable neighborhood, this home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Its efficient footprint helps keep renovation costs manageable while still offering a comfortable layout. Inside, you'll find two spacious bedrooms, a functional galley kitchen, and the convenience of an attached garage—perfect for anyone seeking easy, single-level living. Are you handy? Put your skills to work on the cosmetic updates and enjoy the opportunity to build instant equity in a great location.

  3. 2026-03-22
    status Active 585-char remark
    Show marketing remark (585 chars)

    Welcome to 77 Chapel Place! Sitting on a generous corner lot in a highly desirable neighborhood, this home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Its efficient footprint helps keep renovation costs manageable while still offering a comfortable layout. Inside, you'll find two spacious bedrooms, a functional galley kitchen, and the convenience of an attached garage—perfect for anyone seeking easy, single-level living. Are you handy? Put your skills to work on the cosmetic updates and enjoy the opportunity to build instant equity in a great location.

  4. 2026-03-06
    status Pending 585-char remark
    Show marketing remark (585 chars)

    Welcome to 77 Chapel Place! Sitting on a generous corner lot in a highly desirable neighborhood, this home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Its efficient footprint helps keep renovation costs manageable while still offering a comfortable layout. Inside, you'll find two spacious bedrooms, a functional galley kitchen, and the convenience of an attached garage—perfect for anyone seeking easy, single-level living. Are you handy? Put your skills to work on the cosmetic updates and enjoy the opportunity to build instant equity in a great location.

  5. 2026-02-15
    price $192,500 585-char remark
    Show marketing remark (585 chars)

    Welcome to 77 Chapel Place! Sitting on a generous corner lot in a highly desirable neighborhood, this home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Its efficient footprint helps keep renovation costs manageable while still offering a comfortable layout. Inside, you'll find two spacious bedrooms, a functional galley kitchen, and the convenience of an attached garage—perfect for anyone seeking easy, single-level living. Are you handy? Put your skills to work on the cosmetic updates and enjoy the opportunity to build instant equity in a great location.

  6. 2025-12-02
    listed $199,000 Active 585-char remark
    Show marketing remark (585 chars)

    Welcome to 77 Chapel Place! Sitting on a generous corner lot in a highly desirable neighborhood, this home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Its efficient footprint helps keep renovation costs manageable while still offering a comfortable layout. Inside, you'll find two spacious bedrooms, a functional galley kitchen, and the convenience of an attached garage—perfect for anyone seeking easy, single-level living. Are you handy? Put your skills to work on the cosmetic updates and enjoy the opportunity to build instant equity in a great location.

  7. 2016-09-15
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,404 · $200/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,803 · $234/mo
Expected delta
+$399/yr (+$33/mo · 16.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,571
− Mortgage interest
−$10,615
− Property taxes
−$2,404
− Insurance
−$948
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,486
− Management
−$1,486
− Depreciation
−$5,513
Taxable loss
−$3,879
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$931
After-tax cash flow
$326/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amsterdam City School District
NCES district ID
3602970
Math proficiency
35% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$41,735
Composite
32.03/100
National rank
#5824
State rank
#546 of 590 in NY

Livability — Amsterdam

Score
75/100
State rank
#247
US rank
#3884

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Amsterdam, NY
City population
27,339
Population (ZIP)
27,339

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,683 people
By 2030
47,785 · -1.8%
By 2040
45,492 · -6.6%
By 2050
43,161 · -11.3%
By 2075
38,134 · -21.7%
By 2100
32,337 · -33.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 18%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.7) · D 35.6% · R 64.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.1pp · 2024: -28.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.7 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+26.5 2012: R+4.4 2008: R+8.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 12.12%
Current HPI
312.4966
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+321.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $189,500 Global MLS
  • 2026-03-22 Relisted Global MLS
  • 2026-03-06 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-02-15 Price Changed $192,500 Global MLS
  • 2025-12-02 Listed $199,000 Global MLS
  • 2016-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,404 · -5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…