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1445 Pine Dr
C- Composite 50.97
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.0/30.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

1445 Pine Dr · Haskell, AR 72015
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,215 sqft · SingleFamily · 27 Days on market
Built 2008 Good condition 10,018 sqft lot Est $148k · at est. ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This is a perfect house for a first time home buyer!!!! Or anyone for that matter!!! This one qualifies for ZERO down! Move in ready. Located in Haskell on a quiet dead end street. Come see this 4 BR, 2 Bath home with several updates that include: HVAC, water heater, appliances (except refrigerator), LVP flooring and lighting. Agents see remarks for showing info.

Key facts

  • Several updates
  • Hvac
  • Appliances

Tags

MOVE IN READYQUIET DEAD END STREETSEVERAL UPDATESHVACWATER HEATERAPPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Financing options include VA, FHA, Conventional, Rural Development, or cash

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage for 2 cars
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Municipal electric service
  • Home design: Single-family property
  • Construction: Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Metal/vinyl siding; 3-tab shingle roof; Paved road access; Level, cleared, rural property; Not in a subdivision

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator stays
  • Flooring: Tile; Luxury vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Tile and luxury vinyl flooring; Laundry room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $153k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.7% in Haskell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#12 in AR, #3,200 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Harmony Grove School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #58 of 238 in AR (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 195 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 446 units permitted in Saline County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saline County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $152,675 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.77%
Cash-on-cash
5.29%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$148,230
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1445 Pine Dr 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,215 (0%) 0mo $157,000 $129 100
119 N Taft St 0.53mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,152 (-5%) 10mo $132,000 $115 51
216 Spring Branch Dr 0.74mi 4/2.0 1,376 (+13%) 9mo $197,500 $144 36
203 Spring Branch Dr 0.66mi 4/2.0 1,390 (+14%) 15mo $170,000 $122 33
160 N Monroe St 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,361 (+12%) 23mo $160,000 $118 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.7%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-16,485
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-12,571
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72015

Home prices YoY
-11.1%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
195
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,598 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax est. 1.5%
$194 /mo · $2,325/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$336
Net cashflow
$191

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,356
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1451 Pine Haskell Dr Benton, AR 4.0 2.0 1244 $1,445 $1.16 14d 1 0.12mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    status $155,000 Under Contract 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $155,000 Take Backups 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $155,000 Take Backups 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $155,000 Take Backups 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $155,000 Take Backups 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $155,000 Take Backups 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $155,000 Take Backups 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $155,000 Take Backups 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Take Backups 18 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Take Backups 17 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Take Backups 16 DOM
  12. 2026-05-15
    historical Take Backups
  13. 2026-05-14
    listed $155,000 New Listing
  14. 2026-05-13
    historical
  15. 2026-04-30
    price $155,000
  16. 2026-04-30
    status Price Change
  17. 2026-03-27
    historical Take Backups
  18. 2026-03-20
    price $145,000
  19. 2026-03-14
    price $150,000
  20. 2026-03-09
    listed $160,000 New Listing
  21. 2025-04-22
    historical
  22. 2025-02-12
    price $179,999
  23. 2025-01-26
    status Back on Market
  24. 2025-01-25
    historical
  25. 2024-11-22
    price $182,900
  26. 2024-10-22
    listed $184,900 New Listing

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,175
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$2,325
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,534
− Management
−$1,534
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable loss
−$185
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$44
After-tax cash flow
$2,338/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready home in Haskell offers several updates including HVAC, water heater, and new flooring, making it a great option for first-time buyers or anyone looking for a comfortable living space.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
  • Minor Bathroom fixtures — Dated appearance

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace dated kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Replace dated bathroom fixtures — New fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance Minor $500–3,000
Bathroom fixtures · Dated appearance Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace dated kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Replace dated bathroom fixtures — New fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harmony Grove School District
NCES district ID
0507320
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$55,062
Composite
35.39/100
National rank
#4948
State rank
#58 of 238 in AR

Livability — Haskell

Score
77/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#3200

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Haskell, AR
County
Saline County · 77,216 people
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
Population (ZIP)
28,712
Household income
$66,107
Rent vs Own
27.4% rent · 72.6% own
Severe rent burden
439.0

Population outlook (Saline County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
140,141 people
By 2030
151,233 · +7.9%
By 2040
173,100 · +23.5%
By 2050
194,368 · +38.7%
By 2075
245,295 · +75.0%
By 2100
279,117 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 10% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Saline

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.1) · D 28.8% · R 69.0% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.8pp no change · 2008: -41.0pp · 2024: -40.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.1 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+43.5 2012: R+42.7 2008: R+41.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.11%
Current HPI
234.4644
Rent YoY
▲ 0.73%
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.2% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $155,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $155,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $145,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-03-14 Price Changed $150,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $160,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-04-22 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2025-02-12 Price Changed $179,999 CARMLS
  • 2025-01-26 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2025-01-25 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2024-11-22 Price Changed $182,900 CARMLS
  • 2024-10-22 Listed $184,900 CARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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