1508 Kings Rd · Shelby, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.5/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 2 bedroom 1.5 bath home in city limits with rocking chair front porch, sunroom and fenced back yard!!
Key facts
- Large backyard
- Modern appliances
- Local amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Parking spaces available
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence (residential); One and one-half story
- Construction: Site-built construction; Vinyl exterior; Basement foundation with exterior and interior entries
- Exterior features: Lot includes paved and gravel road access; Road responsibility: dedicated to public use pending acceptance; No waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Exhaust hood
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Living room and family room have fireplaces; Two rooms listed (both on the upper level)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located inside; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (6.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $126k (6.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.9% in Shelby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#52 in NC, #4,349 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
- Cleveland County Schools (rural): math 47% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #76 of 178 in NC (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 241 active listings in the ZIP; 461 units permitted in Cleveland County in 2024 (38 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cleveland County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $100k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.58%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $196,992
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1313 Gidney St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,310 (+1%) | 10mo | $235,000 | $179 | 76 |
| 842 Cabaniss Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,327 (+2%) | 14mo | $245,000 | $185 | 63 |
| 1320 Kings Cir | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,444 (+11%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $149 | 63 |
| 844 Cabaniss Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,327 (+2%) | 14mo | $240,000 | $181 | 63 |
| 1545 Spangler Dr | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,262 (-3%) | 22mo | $212,000 | $168 | 59 |
| 1547 Kings Rd | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,453 (+12%) | 9mo | $155,000 | $107 | 57 |
| 202 Kenwood Dr | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,148 (-11%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $152 | 52 |
| 908 Mcgowan Rd | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,118 (-14%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $121 | 51 |
| 109 Ashley St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,478 (+14%) | 12mo | $238,000 | $161 | 42 |
| 412 Miles Rd | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 1,428 (+10%) | 14mo | $210,000 | $147 | 36 |
| 107 Kenwood Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,453 (+12%) | 17mo | $115,000 | $79 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.66% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-7,913
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $26,028
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28150
- Home prices YoY
- -2.0%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 241
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,257 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,018/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $144
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $221 | -5% $182 | +0% $144 | +5% $106 | +10% $68 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $45 | -5% $95 | +0% $144 | +5% $194 | +10% $243 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $212 | -0.5pp $178 | base $144 | +0.5pp $109 | +1.0pp $74 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-19$134,900 Active
-
2021-10-01soldstatus $100,000 Closed 106-char remark
Show marketing remark (106 chars)
Nice 2 bedroom 1.5 bath home in city limits with rocking chair front porch, sunroom and fenced back yard!!
-
2021-10-01soldstatus $100,000
Show marketing remark (106 chars)
Nice 2 bedroom 1.5 bath home in city limits with rocking chair front porch, sunroom and fenced back yard!!
-
2021-09-09historical Active Under Contract 106-char remark
Show marketing remark (106 chars)
Nice 2 bedroom 1.5 bath home in city limits with rocking chair front porch, sunroom and fenced back yard!!
-
2021-08-19status Active 106-char remark
Show marketing remark (106 chars)
Nice 2 bedroom 1.5 bath home in city limits with rocking chair front porch, sunroom and fenced back yard!!
-
2021-07-26historical Active Under Contract 106-char remark
Show marketing remark (106 chars)
Nice 2 bedroom 1.5 bath home in city limits with rocking chair front porch, sunroom and fenced back yard!!
-
2021-07-22price $105,000 106-char remark
Show marketing remark (106 chars)
Nice 2 bedroom 1.5 bath home in city limits with rocking chair front porch, sunroom and fenced back yard!!
-
2021-06-23$129,000 Active 106-char remark
Show marketing remark (106 chars)
Nice 2 bedroom 1.5 bath home in city limits with rocking chair front porch, sunroom and fenced back yard!!
-
2009-11-30soldstatus $47,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,018 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,106 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- +$88/yr (+$7/mo · 8.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,079
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$1,018
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,206
- − Management
- −$1,206
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable loss
- −$508
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$122
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,852/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cleveland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700900
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,501
- Composite
- 40.03/100
- National rank
- #3823
- State rank
- #76 of 178 in NC
Livability — Shelby
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #4349
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shelby, NC
- County
- Cleveland County · 83,736 people
- City population
- 26,134
- Metro
- Shelby, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,142
- Household income
- $55,832
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 790.0
Population outlook (Cleveland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 93,671 people
- By 2030
- 91,157 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 85,519 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 79,708 · -14.9%
- By 2075
- 68,317 · -27.1%
- By 2100
- 57,145 · -39.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Cleveland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.0) · D 32.2% · R 67.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.9pp · 2024: -35.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.0 2020: R+32.8 2016: R+30.6 2012: R+20.5 2008: R+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -8.92%
- Current HPI
- 447.16
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.66%
- Metro
- Shelby, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+187.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $134,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2021-10-01 Sold (MLS) $100,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-09 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-19 Relisted — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-26 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-22 Price Changed $105,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-23 Listed $129,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,018 · +62.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…