904 Hunting Horn Way · Evans, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 62.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$285,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home in Evans! Fresh paint, modern light fixtures, and brand new laminate floors create a fresh feel. The sunken living room, with a cozy fireplace, opens right into a lovely formal dining room featuring a beautiful window wall. The large eat-in kitchen leads to a spacious deck, perfect for entertaining. With new carpet in the bedrooms and a large owner's suite offering a separate shower and garden tub, this home is move-in ready. Conveniently located near the river and Evans Towne Center Park, this is Evans living at its finest! Seller Licensed Real Estate Agent
Key facts
- 0.33 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1992
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($514/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (23.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $219k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.7% in Evans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#20 in GA, #3,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F.
- Columbia County (suburban): math 49% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 174 in GA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Riverside Elementary School (math 61% / reading 59%, grade B-, #126 of 1,228 statewide, top 10%, 701 students, 23% FRL); Riverside Middle School (math 60% / reading 62%, grade B+, #36 of 470 statewide, top 8%, 757 students, 19% FRL); Greenbrier High School (math 39% / reading 36%, grade F, #65 of 424 statewide, top 16%, 1,801 students, 12% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 516 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,213 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Columbia County population projected at +62% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $122k; list at $285k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.64%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-50,006
- Equity at exit
- $42,494
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-65,380
- Equity at exit
- $24,642
Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30809
- Home prices YoY
- -22.1%
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 516
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,187 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $861/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$459
- Net cashflow
- $43
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $204 | -5% $123 | +0% $43 | +5% $-38 | +10% $-119 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-130 | -5% $-44 | +0% $43 | +5% $129 | +10% $216 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $186 | -0.5pp $115 | base $43 | +0.5pp $-31 | +1.0pp $-106 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,250
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 928 Hunting Horn Way W Evans, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2183 | $2,250 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 948 Hunting Horn Way W Evans, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1839 | $2,000 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 4102 Striped Maple Grv Evans, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1711 | $1,800 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1100 Autumn Blaze Ln Evans, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2184 | $2,300 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1100 Autumn Blaze Ln Evans, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2184 | $2,300 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 325 Hogan Way Evans, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1776 | $1,625 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 311 Hogan Way Evans, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2050 | $2,000 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 202 Nicklaus Ct Evans, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1895 | $1,900 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 925 Sawbuck Way Evans, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2076 | $2,235 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 929 Sawbuck Way Evans, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2113 | $2,100 | $0.99 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 929 Sawbuck Way Evans, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2113 | $2,100 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1010 Barrett Dr Evans, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2345 | $2,400 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1010 Barrett Dr Evans, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2345 | $2,400 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-15historical
-
2026-04-15status Pending
-
2026-04-14historical
-
2026-04-09$285,000 Active
-
2026-04-09$285,000
-
1994-11-09soldstatus $122,302
-
1992-03-10soldstatus $19,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $861 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,622 · $218/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,761/yr (+$147/mo · 204.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 62% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,247
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$861
- − Insurance
- −$1,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,100
- − Management
- −$2,100
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable loss
- −$4,494
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,079
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,593/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia County
- NCES district ID
- 1301410
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,358
- Composite
- 45.04/100
- National rank
- #2695
- State rank
- #13 of 174 in GA
Livability — Evans
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #3058
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Evans, GA
- County
- Columbia County · 154,184 people
- City population
- 54,743
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,743
- Household income
- $125,272
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 787.0
Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,073 people
- By 2030
- 212,277 · +12.3%
- By 2040
- 259,480 · +37.2%
- By 2050
- 306,991 · +62.4%
- By 2075
- 421,213 · +122.8%
- By 2100
- 496,722 · +162.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.6) · D 36.8% · R 62.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +17.0pp toward D · 2008: -42.7pp · 2024: -25.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.6 2020: R+25.8 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+43.0 2008: R+42.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.73%
- Current HPI
- 220.4452
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.51%
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+1361.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-15 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-14 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $285,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $285,000 Hive MLS
- 1994-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $122,302 Public Records
- 1992-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $19,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $861 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…