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106 1st Ave Ave SE
C Composite 58.95
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

106 1st Ave Ave SE · Park City, MT 59063
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured · 70 Days on market
Built 1977 Average condition 9,000 sqft lot Est $390k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Built-in cabinetry
  • Private bath
  • Bay window

Tags

ENCLOSED FRONT PORCHBAY WINDOWBUILT-IN CABINETRYPRIVATE BATHSINGLE DETACHED GARAGECOVERED PATIO

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with one covered garage space (1-car)
  • Utilities: Well water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured single-family home; One story
  • Construction: Wood siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Fenced yard; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range, oven, cooktop, refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Electric range, oven, cooktop, refrigerator; Eight total rooms; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#86 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Park City Elementary (rural): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #216 of 339 in MT (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Park City School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #197 of 293 statewide, top 71%, 174 students, 0% FRL); Park City 7-8 (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #106 of 146 statewide, top 77%, 50 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 19% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Stillwater County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stillwater County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $187,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.87%
Cash-on-cash
5.63%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$390,240
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
502 7th ST St SW 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-3%) 10mo $379,000 $271 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.6%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-15,630
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$8,060
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Montana
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; no rent control; preempted; rural-skewed market.

ZIP-level market 59063

Home prices YoY
-13.5%
Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,081 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax est. 1.5%
$250 /mo · $2,998/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$437
Net cashflow
$263

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,749
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $199,900 Active 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,900 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $199,900 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,900 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,900 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,900 Active 58 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,900 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,900 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,900 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,900 Active 52 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,900 Active 51 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $199,900 Active 50 DOM
  18. 2026-05-12
    status Active
  19. 2026-04-27
    historical Active Under Contract
  20. 2026-04-10
    listed $199,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,974
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$2,998
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,998
− Management
−$1,998
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$32
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$8
After-tax cash flow
$3,160/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Average 55/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home has average condition with minor repairs needed. Painting and updating the exterior and interior can significantly enhance its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Wood siding — Weathered and discolored
  • Minor Roof — Aged appearance

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace worn flooring — New flooring improves comfort and value
  • Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint improves curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace worn roof — A new roof enhances structural integrity and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Wood siding · Weathered and discolored Minor $500–3,000
Roof · Aged appearance Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace worn flooring — New flooring improves comfort and value
  • Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint improves curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace worn roof — A new roof enhances structural integrity and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Park City Elementary
NCES district ID
3020040
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$65,311
Composite
28.52/100
National rank
#12082
State rank
#216 of 339 in MT

Livability — Park City

Score
69/100
State rank
#86
US rank
#8517

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Park City, MT
Population (ZIP)
2,055

Population outlook (Stillwater County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,308 people
By 2030
10,674 · +3.6%
By 2040
11,239 · +9.0%
By 2050
11,768 · +14.2%
By 2075
13,680 · +32.7%
By 2100
15,218 · +47.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stillwater

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.7) · D 17.9% · R 79.6% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-30.0pp toward R · 2008: -31.7pp · 2024: -61.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.7 2020: R+57.6 2016: R+56.6 2012: R+44.5 2008: R+31.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.37%
Current HPI
271.631
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.41%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted BMTMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Contingent BMTMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $199,900 BMTMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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