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95 Quarry Hl
A- Composite 80.19
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

95 Quarry Hl · Akron, NY 14001
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1978 $46/sqft · 29% below area Est $64k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a place to call home, this well maintained mobile home is ready for you! With 2 good sized bedrooms and kitchen equipped with all appliances and family room with wood burning fireplace. Outside offers patio along with shed for your summer nights. Lot Rent of $628 includes taxes.

Key facts

  • Small private patio
  • 10 yrs old roof
  • Dry bar

Tags

WOOD BURNING FIRE PLACEDRY BARSMALL PRIVATE PATIO10 YRS OLD ROOFBRAND NEW HOT WATER TANK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Resale property
  • Financial info: Land lease amount: $735
  • HOA & community: Monthly land lease

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-wide mobile home (Holiday Cottage); 1 story; Existing condition
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot; City street and private road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 2 main-level bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; 7 total rooms; Living room; Family room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $455 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($923 rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 2.4% in Akron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#297 in NY, #4,809 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, schools A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Clarence Central School District (suburban): math 70% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #94 of 590 in NY (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $43,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.05%
Cap rate
18.43%
Cash-on-cash
43.34%
DSCR
2.93
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$63,684
List price
$45,000
Delta
-29.34%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
136 Quarry Hill Ests 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,000 (+2%) 1mo $72,000 $72 89
110 Quarry Hl 0.07mi 2/1.5 980 (0%) 14mo $12,500 $13 85
181 Quarry Hl 0.14mi 2/1.0 980 (0%) 11mo $38,900 $40 82
182 Quarry Hill Ests 0.16mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (+8%) 10mo $77,000 $73 64
0.13mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (+8%) 22mo $60,000 $57 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
40.2%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$21,684
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
46.5%
Equity multiple
5.46×
Total profit
$56,169
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14001

Home prices YoY
-7.1%
Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$923 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$19 /mo · $230/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$194
Net cashflow
$455

Break-even live

Break-even rent $347
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $45,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-05-13
    listed $45,000 Active 469-char remark
  16. 2024-05-13
    soldstatus $45,000 Closed 291-char remark
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Looking for a place to call home, this well maintained mobile home is ready for you! With 2 good sized bedrooms and kitchen equipped with all appliances and family room with wood burning fireplace. Outside offers patio along with shed for your summer nights. Lot Rent of $628 includes taxes.

  17. 2024-04-24
    status Pending 291-char remark
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Looking for a place to call home, this well maintained mobile home is ready for you! With 2 good sized bedrooms and kitchen equipped with all appliances and family room with wood burning fireplace. Outside offers patio along with shed for your summer nights. Lot Rent of $628 includes taxes.

  18. 2024-03-19
    listed $40,000 Active 291-char remark
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Looking for a place to call home, this well maintained mobile home is ready for you! With 2 good sized bedrooms and kitchen equipped with all appliances and family room with wood burning fireplace. Outside offers patio along with shed for your summer nights. Lot Rent of $628 includes taxes.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$230 · $19/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$495 · $41/mo
Expected delta
+$265/yr (+$22/mo · 115.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,073
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$230
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$886
− Management
−$886
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$5,017
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,204
After-tax cash flow
$4,257/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clarence Central School District
NCES district ID
3607590
Math proficiency
70% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
76% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$81,568
Composite
64.85/100
National rank
#514
State rank
#94 of 590 in NY

Livability — Akron

Score
74/100
State rank
#297
US rank
#4809

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,122

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 21% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -24.68%
Current HPI
322.1897
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+12.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $45,000 WNYREIS
  • 2024-05-13 Sold (MLS) $45,000 WNYREIS
  • 2024-04-24 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2024-03-19 Listed $40,000 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+10.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $230 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…