95 Quarry Hl · Akron, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for a place to call home, this well maintained mobile home is ready for you! With 2 good sized bedrooms and kitchen equipped with all appliances and family room with wood burning fireplace. Outside offers patio along with shed for your summer nights. Lot Rent of $628 includes taxes.
Key facts
- Small private patio
- 10 yrs old roof
- Dry bar
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Resale property
- Financial info: Land lease amount: $735
- HOA & community: Monthly land lease
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-wide mobile home (Holiday Cottage); 1 story; Existing condition
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot; City street and private road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 2 main-level bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; 7 total rooms; Living room; Family room
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $455 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($923 rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 2.4% in Akron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#297 in NY, #4,809 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, schools A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Clarence Central School District (suburban): math 70% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #94 of 590 in NY (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.34%
- DSCR
- 2.93
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $63,684
- List price
- $45,000
- Delta
- -29.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 136 Quarry Hill Ests | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,000 (+2%) | 1mo | $72,000 | $72 | 89 |
| 110 Quarry Hl | 0.07mi | 2/1.5 | 980 (0%) | 14mo | $12,500 | $13 | 85 |
| 181 Quarry Hl | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 980 (0%) | 11mo | $38,900 | $40 | 82 |
| 182 Quarry Hill Ests | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+8%) | 10mo | $77,000 | $73 | 64 |
| — | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+8%) | 22mo | $60,000 | $57 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $21,684
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 46.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.46×
- Total profit
- $56,169
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14001
- Home prices YoY
- -7.1%
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $923 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $230/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$194
- Net cashflow
- $455
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $45,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $45,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-13$45,000 Active 469-char remark
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2024-05-13soldstatus $45,000 Closed 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
Looking for a place to call home, this well maintained mobile home is ready for you! With 2 good sized bedrooms and kitchen equipped with all appliances and family room with wood burning fireplace. Outside offers patio along with shed for your summer nights. Lot Rent of $628 includes taxes.
-
2024-04-24status Pending 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
Looking for a place to call home, this well maintained mobile home is ready for you! With 2 good sized bedrooms and kitchen equipped with all appliances and family room with wood burning fireplace. Outside offers patio along with shed for your summer nights. Lot Rent of $628 includes taxes.
-
2024-03-19$40,000 Active 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
Looking for a place to call home, this well maintained mobile home is ready for you! With 2 good sized bedrooms and kitchen equipped with all appliances and family room with wood burning fireplace. Outside offers patio along with shed for your summer nights. Lot Rent of $628 includes taxes.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $230 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $495 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- +$265/yr (+$22/mo · 115.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,073
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$230
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$886
- − Management
- −$886
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $5,017
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,204
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,257/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clarence Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3607590
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 76% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,568
- Composite
- 64.85/100
- National rank
- #514
- State rank
- #94 of 590 in NY
Livability — Akron
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #4809
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,122
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 21% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.68%
- Current HPI
- 322.1897
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+12.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $45,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-05-13 Sold (MLS) $45,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-04-24 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2024-03-19 Listed $40,000 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+10.9%/yrLatest (2025): $230 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…