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109 E South St
D Composite 41.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

109 E South St · Kinston, NC 28501
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 862 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1968 10,454 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for an affordable home that's already had the hard work done? Welcome to this completely renovated 2-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Kinston, one of Eastern North Carolina's hidden gems. Built with character and updated for today's buyer, this move-in ready home features fresh paint, new flooring, new carpet, newly installed baseboard heat, and window A/C units. The sellers have gone beyond cosmetic updates by reinforcing the floors in the crawl space and installing a new vapor barrier, giving buyers added peace of mind. The brick exterior and metal roof offer durability and low-maintenance living, while the spacious backyard provides plenty of room for entertaining, gardening,

Key facts

  • New carpet
  • New flooring
  • Completely renovated

Tags

COMPLETELY RENOVATEDNEW FLOORINGNEW CARPETNEWLY INSTALLED BASEBOARD HEATWINDOW A C UNITSREINFORCING THE FLOORS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned residential
  • Financial info: No investor or income/expense details provided
  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Unpaved parking
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer and water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry on level 1
  • Construction: Brick, brick veneer and frame construction; Metal roof; Built on crawl space
  • Exterior features: Front porch; No additional exterior features listed; Has a view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedroom count not separately listed)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Window coverings; No basement (crawl space)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer (washer hookup in kitchen); Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $41 ($488/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (14.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.8% in Kinston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#640 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lenoir County Public Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #147 of 178 in NC (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Southeast Elementary (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,362 of 1,410 statewide, top 97%, 190 students, 97% FRL); Rochelle Middle (math 9% / reading 20%, grade F, #462 of 475 statewide, top 98%, 466 students, 98% FRL); Kinston High (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #459 of 535 statewide, top 87%, 713 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 65% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 148 units permitted in Lenoir County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lenoir County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 12 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $33k; list at $115k implies a 248% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $98,220 (14.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.72%
Cash-on-cash
1.52%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.9%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-16,064
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
-5.1%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-10,738
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28501

Home prices YoY
-18.9%
Active inventory
95
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$982 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$84 /mo · $1,011/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$206
Net cashflow
$41

Break-even live

Break-even rent $931
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
619 S Heritage St Kinston, NC 1.0–2.0 2.0 1025 $1,042 $1.02 13d 4 0.13mi
503 N Queen St Kinston, NC 1.0–2.0 2.0 759 $723 $0.95 13d 8 0.71mi
1204 Desmond St Kinston, NC 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,340 $1.22 20d 1 0.97mi
705 Harvey St Kinston, NC 2.0 1.0 896 $700 $0.78 20d 1 1.03mi
100 Wingate Dr Kinston, NC 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 930 $975 $1.05 20d 1 1.43mi
1313 McAdoo St Kinston, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 644 $814 $1.26 13d 6 1.48mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $115,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $115,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    listed $115,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,011 · $84/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,011 · $84/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,786
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,011
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$943
− Management
−$943
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable loss
−$1,473
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$353
After-tax cash flow
$842/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lenoir County Public Schools
NCES district ID
3702610
Math proficiency
29% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$34,958
Composite
25.17/100
National rank
#7515
State rank
#147 of 178 in NC

Livability — Kinston

Score
55/100
State rank
#640
US rank
#23267

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kinston, NC
City population
20,407
Population (ZIP)
18,112

Population outlook (Lenoir County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,002 people
By 2030
53,048 · -3.6%
By 2040
49,041 · -10.8%
By 2050
45,136 · -17.9%
By 2075
36,547 · -33.6%
By 2100
27,731 · -49.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (62%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 62% White 26% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Lenoir

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.8) · D 46.2% · R 53.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.7pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -6.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.8 2020: R+3.5 2016: R+6.3 2012: R+1.5 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -45.17%
Current HPI
193.3213
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2775.0% since first listed
33 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $115,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $76,300 Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $764,300 Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-26 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $76,400 Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-21 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-21 Price Changed $76,600 Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-20 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $76,700 Hive MLS
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $76,800 Hive MLS
  • 2025-12-31 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2025-12-29 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-11-18 Price Changed $76,900 Hive MLS
  • 2025-10-29 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2025-09-09 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2025-09-02 Price Changed $76,999 Hive MLS
  • 2025-08-06 Listed $79,900 Hive MLS
  • 2025-07-08 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-04-08 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2025-03-31 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2024-12-07 Price Changed $117,900 Hive MLS
  • 2024-12-03 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2024-11-30 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2024-08-28 Price Changed $119,000 Hive MLS
  • 2024-07-30 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2024-05-14 Price Changed $124,900 Hive MLS
  • 2023-11-09 Listed $129,900 Hive MLS
  • 2023-06-29 Sold (MLS) $33,000 Hive MLS
  • 2023-06-24 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2023-06-08 Listed $45,900 Hive MLS
  • 2018-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $4,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+20.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,011 · +658.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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