203 Holly Ridge Dr · Monroe, LA 71203

$180,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,604 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market

Built 1970 0.56 ac lot Est $184k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.4/30.0
• ARV discount +8.6/15.0
• DSCR +6.8/10.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• 0.56 acre lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1970

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Located in the NORTH MONROE subdivision
• HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

• Parking: 2-car garage
• Security: Smoke detectors
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected
• Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built; One story; Entry level: 1
• Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built with site-built construction
• Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Landscaped yard; Corner lot; Cleared lot; Shed

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Gas range
• Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Natural gas heating; Wood stove heating; Central air; Electric cooling; Ceiling fans
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Double pane windows; Wood burning stove fireplace
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $200 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
• Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 5.7% in Monroe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#128 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Ouachita Parish (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #26 of 98 in LA (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Jack Hayes Elementary School (math 20% / reading 30%, grade F, #381 of 646 statewide, top 59%, 587 students, 83% FRL); Ouachita Junior High School (math 12% / reading 25%, grade F, #169 of 218 statewide, top 78%, 422 students, 80% FRL); Ouachita Parish High School (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #136 of 265 statewide, top 55%, 1,191 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 52% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 38% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Ouachita Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: 440 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 345 units permitted in Ouachita Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $180,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.00% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.07%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.35%
• DSCR: 1.28
• GRM: 8.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $184,460
• Comps found: 10

Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
110 Holly Ridge Dr	0.08mi	3/1.5	1,497 (-7%)	9mo	$185,000	$124	76
110 York Dr	0.30mi	3/2.0	1,550 (-3%)	6mo	$188,500	$122	71
211 Shady Ln	0.47mi	3/2.0	1,770 (+10%)	3mo	$135,000	$76	54
81 Holiday Dr	0.64mi	3/2.0	1,637 (+2%)	12mo	$138,000	$84	53
114 York Dr	0.27mi	3/2.0	1,748 (+9%)	22mo	$200,000	$114	50
525 Woodhaven Dr	0.70mi	3/2.0	1,587 (-1%)	15mo	$216,000	$136	49
68 Holiday Dr	0.74mi	3/2.0	1,526 (-5%)	13mo	$150,000	$98	42
423 Birchwood Dr	0.56mi	3/2.0	1,407 (-12%)	12mo	$169,500	$120	40
530 Birchwood Dr	0.61mi	3/2.0	1,455 (-9%)	20mo	$167,000	$115	35
408 Birchwood Dr	0.63mi	3/2.0	1,450 (-10%)	24mo	$158,000	$109	31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -8.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.67×
• Total profit: $-16,386
• Equity at exit: $26,839

10-year hold

• IRR: 0.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.04×
• Total profit: $2,234
• Equity at exit: $15,563

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 71203

• Home prices YoY: -32.4%
• Active inventory: 440
• Price-to-rent: 8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,806 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$944
• Tax from tax record: −$141 /mo · $1,689/yr
• Insurance: −$75
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$379
• Net cashflow: $200

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,552

Max offer price $180,000

Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $302	-5% $251	+0% $200	+5% $149	+10% $99
Rent	-10% $58	-5% $129	+0% $200	+5% $272	+10% $343
Rate	-1.0pp $291	-0.5pp $246	base $200	+0.5pp $154	+1.0pp $106

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $45,000
• Closing costs: $5,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
323 Woodale Dr Monroe, LA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.5	962	$1,120	$1.16	45d	8	0.75mi
3200 Sterlington Rd Unit HC Monroe, LA	2.0	2.0	1112	$1,150	$1.03	23d	1	1.11mi
305 Raymond Dr Monroe, LA	3.0	2.0	1952	$3,500	$1.79	23d	1	1.45mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-13
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-08
   listed $180,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,689 · $141/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,689 · $141/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,669
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,083
• − Property taxes: −$1,689
• − Insurance: −$1,697
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,734
• − Management: −$1,734
• − Depreciation: −$5,236
• Taxable loss: −$503
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$121
• After-tax cash flow: $2,526/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Ouachita Parish
• NCES district ID: 2201200
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -38.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▼ -31.00%
• Median HH income: $43,316
• Composite: 32.14/100
• National rank: #5791
• State rank: #26 of 98 in LA

Livability — Monroe

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #128
• US rank: #11948

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Ouachita Parish · 118,340 people
• City population: 60,136
• Metro: Monroe, LA
• Population (ZIP): 38,354
• Household income: $52,326
• Rent vs Own: 43.7% rent · 56.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 2085.0

Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 163,370 people
• By 2030: 165,520 · +1.3%
• By 2040: 167,652 · +2.6%
• By 2050: 166,699 · +2.0%
• By 2075: 156,348 · -4.3%
• By 2100: 134,102 · -17.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 48% White 45% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -2.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -27.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+25.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -99.01%
• Current HPI: 206.1948
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Monroe, LA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-13 Pending — NELABOR
• 2026-04-08 Listed $180,000 NELABOR

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,689 · +18.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.