1033 Maple Ave · Atco, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 65.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$184,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bring The Horses To Over 3 1/2 Lovely Acres Of Country Living, Corner Property Is A Lovely Setting For This 2 Bed 1 Bath Bungelow With Spiral Stairs To A Fin. Attic (Poss 3Rd Bed) Buyer Respons. For All Certifications Poss:Settlement
Key facts
- Shed
- Large paved driveway
- Rural neighborhood
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Property condition listed as below average
Exterior
- Utilities: Private or community water; On-site septic system; Electric service
- Home design: Detached structure; Estimated year built
- Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 661 x 235; No tidal water
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level (Bedroom 1, Bedroom 2)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Hot water baseboard heating; Oil fired heating; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Living room; Total of 5 rooms
- Laundry & utility: No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($848/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.0% in Atco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Waterford Township School District (suburban): math 22% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #334 of 472 in NJ (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Thomas Richards Early Childhood Center (267 students, 21% FRL); Waterford Elementary School (math 23% / reading 36%, grade F, #731 of 1,303 statewide, top 59%, 466 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools at 21% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $68k; list at $185k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.64%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-25,293
- Equity at exit
- $27,569
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-15,547
- Equity at exit
- $15,987
Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08004
- Home prices YoY
- -15.5%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,992 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$456 /mo · $5,472/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$418
- Net cashflow
- $71
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $175 | -5% $123 | +0% $71 | +5% $18 | +10% $-34 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-87 | -5% $-8 | +0% $71 | +5% $149 | +10% $228 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $164 | -0.5pp $118 | base $71 | +0.5pp $23 | +1.0pp $-26 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,225
- Closing costs
- $5,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $184,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $184,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $184,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $184,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $184,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $184,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 466-char remark
-
2026-06-13days on market $184,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 447-char remark
-
2026-06-08$184,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,472 · $456/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,472 · $456/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,899
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,357
- − Property taxes
- −$5,472
- − Insurance
- −$924
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,912
- − Management
- −$1,912
- − Depreciation
- −$5,379
- Taxable loss
- −$2,058
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$494
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,342/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waterford Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3417250
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $77,964
- Composite
- 27.58/100
- National rank
- #6939
- State rank
- #334 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Atco
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Atco, NJ
- City population
- 10,946
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,946
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Serbian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.00%
- Current HPI
- 325.9847
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+171.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $184,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 1999-08-12 Sold (MLS) $68,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-06-25 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-05-21 Listed $68,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,472 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…