16 Kokanee Ln · Orofino, ID
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $584 – $1,086
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 10 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this recently rehabbed 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath manufactured home located in Hidden Village Mobile Home Park in Orofino, Idaho. Situated in a peaceful community with the river running alongside the park, this home offers an inviting combination of comfort, affordability, and natural surroundings. Inside, you'll find refreshed living spaces with a functional layout designed for comfortable everyday living. The kitchen features stainless steel appliances, including a refrigerator and range, providing both modern style and practicality for daily use. A mini-split heating and cooling system provides efficient year-round comfort, helping keep the home cozy in the winter and cool during the
Key facts
- Tranquil setting
- Nearby river
- Mature trees
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual taxes listed (was provided in the original data but excluded from this summary per instructions)
Exterior
- Home design: Mobile/manufactured home on a rented lot
- Construction: Built in 1978
- Exterior features: Small lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heating system specified; No cooling system specified
- Interior features: Main-level living areas
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $543 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Cap rate 27.2% vs local median 2.4% in Orofino — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#27 in ID, #3,806 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Orofino Joint District (town): math 37% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #45 of 92 in ID (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Orofino Elementary School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #176 of 357 statewide, top 53%, 376 students, 41% FRL); Orofino High School (math 32% / reading 67%, grade D, #45 of 169 statewide, top 29%, 372 students, 25% FRL).
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 51 units permitted in Clearwater County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clearwater County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 10→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 74.65%
- DSCR
- 4.32
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $72,072
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Chinook Ln | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,020 (+10%) | 4mo | $79,900 | $78 | 77 |
| 10 Kamloop Ln | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 880 (-5%) | 16mo | $89,000 | $101 | 74 |
| 5 Chinook Ln | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,020 (+10%) | 5mo | $79,900 | $78 | 72 |
| 3 Steelhead Ln | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 968 (+5%) | 13mo | $35,000 | $36 | 69 |
| 10 Bass Ln | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-9%) | 19mo | $60,000 | $71 | 54 |
| 8 Dusk Dr | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+4%) | 18mo | $49,000 | $51 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 65.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.96×
- Total profit
- $28,982
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- 70.1%
- Equity multiple
- 8.14×
- Total profit
- $70,017
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Idaho
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 83544
- Home prices YoY
- -18.4%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,078 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$44 /mo · $525/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$226
- Net cashflow
- $543
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $35,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $35,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $35,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $35,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $35,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-12$35,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 10 d/yr ≥95°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 18 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,935
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$525
- − Insurance
- −$972
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,035
- − Management
- −$1,035
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $6,389
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,533
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,985/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This recently rehabbed 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath manufactured home in Hidden Village Mobile Home Park offers a good condition with updated interiors and a functional layout. The home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed, and the most impactful updates to increase its value are exterior painting and landscaping improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orofino Joint District
- NCES district ID
- 1602520
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,114
- Composite
- 38.96/100
- National rank
- #4079
- State rank
- #45 of 92 in ID
Livability — Orofino
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #27
- US rank
- #3806
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,476
Population outlook (Clearwater County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,244 people
- By 2030
- 8,093 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 7,821 · -5.1%
- By 2050
- 7,740 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 7,777 · -5.7%
- By 2100
- 6,982 · -15.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clearwater
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.8) · D 17.5% · R 80.3% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.1pp toward R · 2008: -34.8pp · 2024: -62.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.8 2020: R+58.3 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+40.8 2008: R+34.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.58%
- Current HPI
- 304.5259
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $79B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $25B |
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $6B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $35,000 IMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…