Duplex
123 S Jones St · Lock Haven, PA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Clinton County / Lock Haven 2 unit for sale. FULL VIDEO TOUR AVAILABLE. JUST ASK. 3 BR's each side, tenants pay own utilities, gas heat, 2 car plus block garage included. great to live in one unit and rent out the other unit, investors, take a look. ask about special financing programs available. 48 hours notice for showings. current rents are $975 per month (125 side) and $1050 per month (123 side) month to month leases. owner pays garbage. tenants pay other utilities,
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1930
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $240k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $112/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (0.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $218k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.0% in Lock Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#275 in PA, #2,428 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment F.
- Keystone Central SD (town): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #384 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Central Mountain Ms (math 21% / reading 42%, grade F, #367 of 512 statewide, top 73%, 939 students, 55% FRL); Central Mountain Hs (math 77% / reading 75%, grade A-, #25 of 437 statewide, top 6%, 1,127 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 54% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Keystone Central SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 44 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,381/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 522% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clinton County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.99%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $128,504
- List price
- $239,900
- Delta
- 86.69%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 330 W Clinton St | 0.07mi | —/— | 2,064 (-3%) | 16mo | $118,000 | $57 | 79 |
| 166-168 S Jones St | 0.09mi | —/— | 2,304 (+9%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $76 | 76 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-13,673
- Equity at exit
- $35,770
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $55,752
- Equity at exit
- $20,742
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17745
- Home prices YoY
- -7.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.4%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 16.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,381 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$300 /mo · $3,598/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$500
- Net cashflow
- $223
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $389 | -5% $306 | +0% $223 | +5% $140 | +10% $57 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $35 | -5% $129 | +0% $223 | +5% $317 | +10% $411 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $344 | -0.5pp $284 | base $223 | +0.5pp $161 | +1.0pp $98 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $2,380 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,190 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,190 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,381 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 440 W Main St Unit MT444 Lock Haven, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2500 | $1,300 | $0.52 | 46d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 30 Clarks Barn Rd Unit A Lock Haven, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 46d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $239,900 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $239,900 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $239,900 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $239,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $239,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $239,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $239,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $239,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $239,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-03-24price $239,900 474-char remark
Show marketing remark (474 chars)
Clinton County / Lock Haven 2 unit for sale. FULL VIDEO TOUR AVAILABLE. JUST ASK. 3 BR's each side, tenants pay own utilities, gas heat, 2 car plus block garage included. great to live in one unit and rent out the other unit, investors, take a look. ask about special financing programs available. 48 hours notice for showings. current rents are $975 per month (125 side) and $1050 per month (123 side) month to month leases. owner pays garbage. tenants pay other utilities,
-
2026-03-03$249,900 Active 474-char remark
Show marketing remark (474 chars)
Clinton County / Lock Haven 2 unit for sale. FULL VIDEO TOUR AVAILABLE. JUST ASK. 3 BR's each side, tenants pay own utilities, gas heat, 2 car plus block garage included. great to live in one unit and rent out the other unit, investors, take a look. ask about special financing programs available. 48 hours notice for showings. current rents are $975 per month (125 side) and $1050 per month (123 side) month to month leases. owner pays garbage. tenants pay other utilities,
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,572
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$3,598
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,286
- − Management
- −$2,286
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable loss
- −$1,215
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$291
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,969/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
The property requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathrooms, which would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate kitchen appliances — outdated and in need of replacement
- Minor bathroom fixtures — basic and in need of updating
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — enhances both resale and rental value
- Both update bathroom fixtures — enhances both resale and rental value
- Both paint interior walls — enhances both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| kitchen appliances · outdated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · basic and in need of updating | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — enhances both resale and rental value ↑
- Both update bathroom fixtures — enhances both resale and rental value ↑
- Both paint interior walls — enhances both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Keystone Central SD
- NCES district ID
- 4212725
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,713
- Composite
- 32.09/100
- National rank
- #5810
- State rank
- #384 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lock Haven
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #275
- US rank
- #2428
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lock Haven, PA
- County
- Clinton County · 17,718 people
- City population
- 17,718
- Metro
- Lock Haven, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,718
- Household income
- $58,555
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 522.0
Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,048 people
- By 2030
- 38,812 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 38,011 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 36,931 · -5.4%
- By 2075
- 34,077 · -12.7%
- By 2100
- 29,683 · -24.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clinton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.1% · R 70.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.1pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -40.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.9 2020: R+36.3 2016: R+34.8 2012: R+11.3 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -21.42%
- Current HPI
- 270.5334
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.38%
- Metro
- Lock Haven, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-4.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $239,900 WBVAR
- 2026-03-03 Listed $249,900 WBVAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…