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123 S Jones St Duplex
C- Composite 50.28
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,900

123 S Jones St · Lock Haven, PA 17745
None bd · None ba · 2,120 sqft · MultiFamily · 111 Days on market
Built 1930 Fair condition 5,227 sqft lot $113/sqft · 87% above area ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Clinton County / Lock Haven 2 unit for sale. FULL VIDEO TOUR AVAILABLE. JUST ASK. 3 BR's each side, tenants pay own utilities, gas heat, 2 car plus block garage included. great to live in one unit and rent out the other unit, investors, take a look. ask about special financing programs available. 48 hours notice for showings. current rents are $975 per month (125 side) and $1050 per month (123 side) month to month leases. owner pays garbage. tenants pay other utilities,

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • 3 parking spots
  • Built 1930

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $240k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $112/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (0.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $218k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.0% in Lock Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#275 in PA, #2,428 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment F.
  • Keystone Central SD (town): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #384 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Central Mountain Ms (math 21% / reading 42%, grade F, #367 of 512 statewide, top 73%, 939 students, 55% FRL); Central Mountain Hs (math 77% / reading 75%, grade A-, #25 of 437 statewide, top 6%, 1,127 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 54% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Keystone Central SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 44 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,381/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 522% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clinton County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $218,309 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  5. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.41%
Cash-on-cash
3.99%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$128,504
List price
$239,900
Delta
86.69%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
330 W Clinton St 0.07mi —/— 2,064 (-3%) 16mo $118,000 $57 79
166-168 S Jones St 0.09mi —/— 2,304 (+9%) 6mo $175,000 $76 76

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-13,673
Equity at exit
$35,770
10-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$55,752
Equity at exit
$20,742

Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17745

Home prices YoY
-7.3%
Rents YoY
7.4%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
16.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,381 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,258
Tax est. 1.5%
$300 /mo · $3,598/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$500
Net cashflow
$223

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,099
Max offer price $239,900
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $389 -5% $306 +0% $223 +5% $140 +10% $57
Rent -10% $35 -5% $129 +0% $223 +5% $317 +10% $411
Rate -1.0pp $344 -0.5pp $284 base $223 +0.5pp $161 +1.0pp $98

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,381

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,975
Closing costs
$7,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
440 W Main St Unit MT444 Lock Haven, PA 2.0 1.5 2500 $1,300 $0.52 46d 1 0.50mi
30 Clarks Barn Rd Unit A Lock Haven, PA 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,200 $0.86 46d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $239,900 Active 111 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $239,900 Active 108 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $239,900 Active 107 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $239,900 Active 106 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $239,900 Active 105 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $239,900 Active 104 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $239,900 Active 102 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $239,900 Active 101 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $239,900 Active 98 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $239,900 Active 97 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $239,900 Active 96 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $239,900 Active 92 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $239,900 Active 91 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $239,900 Active 90 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $239,900 Active 89 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $239,900 Active 88 DOM
  17. 2026-03-24
    price $239,900 474-char remark
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Clinton County / Lock Haven 2 unit for sale. FULL VIDEO TOUR AVAILABLE. JUST ASK. 3 BR's each side, tenants pay own utilities, gas heat, 2 car plus block garage included. great to live in one unit and rent out the other unit, investors, take a look. ask about special financing programs available. 48 hours notice for showings. current rents are $975 per month (125 side) and $1050 per month (123 side) month to month leases. owner pays garbage. tenants pay other utilities,

  18. 2026-03-03
    listed $249,900 Active 474-char remark
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Clinton County / Lock Haven 2 unit for sale. FULL VIDEO TOUR AVAILABLE. JUST ASK. 3 BR's each side, tenants pay own utilities, gas heat, 2 car plus block garage included. great to live in one unit and rent out the other unit, investors, take a look. ask about special financing programs available. 48 hours notice for showings. current rents are $975 per month (125 side) and $1050 per month (123 side) month to month leases. owner pays garbage. tenants pay other utilities,

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,572
− Mortgage interest
−$13,438
− Property taxes
−$3,598
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,286
− Management
−$2,286
− Depreciation
−$6,979
Taxable loss
−$1,215
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$291
After-tax cash flow
$2,969/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

The property requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathrooms, which would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
  • Moderate kitchen appliances — outdated and in need of replacement
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — basic and in need of updating

Value-add opportunities

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — enhances both resale and rental value
  • Both update bathroom fixtures — enhances both resale and rental value
  • Both paint interior walls — enhances both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
kitchen appliances · outdated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
bathroom fixtures · basic and in need of updating Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $6,500–33,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — enhances both resale and rental value
  • Both update bathroom fixtures — enhances both resale and rental value
  • Both paint interior walls — enhances both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Keystone Central SD
NCES district ID
4212725
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$42,713
Composite
32.09/100
National rank
#5810
State rank
#384 of 539 in PA

Livability — Lock Haven

Score
78/100
State rank
#275
US rank
#2428

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute B Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lock Haven, PA
County
Clinton County · 17,718 people
City population
17,718
Metro
Lock Haven, PA
Population (ZIP)
17,718
Household income
$58,555
Rent vs Own
36.3% rent · 63.7% own
Severe rent burden
522.0

Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,048 people
By 2030
38,812 · -0.6%
By 2040
38,011 · -2.7%
By 2050
36,931 · -5.4%
By 2075
34,077 · -12.7%
By 2100
29,683 · -24.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clinton

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.1% · R 70.0%
2008→2024 swing
-38.1pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -40.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.9 2020: R+36.3 2016: R+34.8 2012: R+11.3 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -21.42%
Current HPI
270.5334
Rent YoY
▲ 7.38%
Metro
Lock Haven, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $239,900 WBVAR
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $249,900 WBVAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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