1250 S Pinellas Ave #910 · Tarpon Springs, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.9/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. SELLER IS MOTIVATED!! Welcome to this charming 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom condo located in the sought-after Green Dolphin Park Condos, a vibrant 55+ community offering the perfect combination of comfort and convenience. Step inside to a spacious, open dining and living area that’s ideal for both relaxing and entertaining. The enclosed balcony provides a private retreat with lovely views — the perfect spot to enjoy your morning coffee or unwind in the evening. The kitchen comes equipped with a refrigerator, microwave, and dishwasher, while a brand-new A/C unit installed in July 2025 ensures year-round comfort. Just steps from your front door, yo
Key facts
- Enclosed balcony
- Community pool
- Shopping nearby
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unfurnished unit; Living area about 669 square feet
- Financial info: Total monthly fees $412; total annual fees $4,944; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly condo fee of $412 (includes pool, structure maintenance, grounds maintenance, sewer, trash and water); Association approval required; Buyer approval required; Clubhouse; Fitness center; Pool; Sidewalks; Pets allowed (max ~35 lb); Association name: Condominium Associates
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Broadband/High-speed internet available; Electricity connected
- Home design: Condominium unit; South-facing; Second-floor unit; Two-story building; Entry level: One
- Construction: Block, concrete, stucco and frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Building/Unit in building number 900
- Exterior features: Balcony; Exterior lighting; Sidewalks; City limits; Paved lot; Asphalt-paved roads
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (Unit on 2nd floor)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Thermostat; Blinds
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry; Other shared laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $75 ($902/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.3% in Tarpon Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#502 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Sunset Hills Elementary School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #288 of 2,144 statewide, top 15%, 451 students, 52% FRL); Tarpon Springs Middle School (math 59% / reading 61%, grade B, #135 of 571 statewide, top 24%, 644 students, 50% FRL); Tarpon Springs High School (math 30% / reading 47%, grade F, #321 of 667 statewide, top 49%, 1,139 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 404 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $36k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $89k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.62%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-13,540
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- -20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-20,658
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34689
- Rents YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 404
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,432 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$140 /mo · $1,685/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$412
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $75
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $126 | -5% $100 | +0% $75 | +5% $50 | +10% $25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-38 | -5% $19 | +0% $75 | +5% $132 | +10% $188 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $120 | -0.5pp $98 | base $75 | +0.5pp $52 | +1.0pp $29 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1250 S Pinellas Ave #504 Tarpon Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 565 | $1,099 | $1.95 | 26d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 812 Bayou Ave Unit B Tarpon Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,450 | $2.15 | 26d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1185 S Pinellas Ave Tarpon Springs, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $1,572 | $1.55 | 0d | 20 | 0.27mi |
| 101 W Lemon St Apt 3 Tarpon Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,350 | $2.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 101 W Lemon St Unit 4 Tarpon Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,450 | $2.23 | 16d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 101 W Lemon St Tarpon Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,450 | $2.23 | 6d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 105 S Spring Blvd Unit 10 Tarpon Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,350 | $1.93 | 26d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 542 Division St Tarpon Springs, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 629 | $1,400 | $2.23 | 13d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 606 Cross St Tarpon Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 551 | $1,450 | $2.63 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 825 Cypress St Tarpon Springs, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,284 | $1.71 | 0d | 6 | 1.36mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $412 · $4,944/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 20 events
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2026-06-13remarks 687-char remark
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2026-06-13statusdays on market $89,000 Pending 17 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $89,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-05-01price $99,000
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2026-04-28price $105,000
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2026-04-23price $109,000
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2026-03-24status Active
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2026-03-24price $113,000
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2026-02-28historical
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2026-02-16price $115,000
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2025-11-20price $122,500
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2025-08-27$125,000 Active
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2001-07-16soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,685 · $140/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,685 · $140/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,186
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,685
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,375
- − Management
- −$1,375
- − HOA
- −$4,944
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable loss
- −$213
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$51
- After-tax cash flow
- $953/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Tarpon Springs
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #502
- US rank
- #9244
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tarpon Springs, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 27,324
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,324
- Household income
- $74,854
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 721.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -300.96%
- Current HPI
- 303.7434
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.16%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+209.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $99,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $105,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $109,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-24 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $113,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-28 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $115,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-20 Price Changed $122,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-27 Listed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,685 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…