402 11th Ave NW · West Fargo, ND 58078

$60,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured public records · 2 Days on market

Built 1977 10,410 sqft lot ↓ 25% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Rent growth +3.8/5.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

The 3 Bed 2 Bath Home is on a double lot and has an oversized 2-Stall Deep heated Garage with lots of shelving. Big Fully fenced Yard w/ storage shed. Bonus room with a closet (could be considered a bedroom), 3 Season Room., Total SqFt: 1092

Key facts

• 0.24 acre lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1977

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage (28 x 30)
• Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
• Home design: Residential property; One story; Manufactured home
• Construction: Block foundation; Built area 1,120 above grade
• Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Storage shed

Interior

• Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Freezer
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Dishwasher; Freezer; Gas water heater; Range; Refrigerator; Washer/dryer hookup
• Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $611 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
• Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 3.1% in West Fargo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#10 in ND, #2,868 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
• West Fargo 6 (suburban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #26 of 53 in ND (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 257 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,218 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (410 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Cass County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $60,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.16% ✓
• Cap rate: 18.51%
• Cash-on-cash: 43.62%
• DSCR: 2.94
• GRM: 3.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.13% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 42.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.91×
• Total profit: $32,029
• Equity at exit: $8,946

10-year hold

• IRR: 50.0%
• Equity multiple: 6.37×
• Total profit: $90,225
• Equity at exit: $5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State North Dakota: 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 58078

• Rents YoY: 5.1%
• Active inventory: 257
• Price-to-rent: 3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,298 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$315
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$75 /mo · $900/yr
• Insurance: −$25
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$273
• Net cashflow: $611

Break-even live

Break-even rent $525

Max offer price $60,000

Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $15,000
• Closing costs: $1,800
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 6 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
214 5th St NW West Fargo, ND	3.0	1.0	1088	$1,495	$1.37	20d	1	0.73mi
607 1st Ave E West Fargo, ND	1.0–2.0	1.0	800	$875	$1.09	13d	4	1.29mi
102 7th St E West Fargo, ND	1.0–2.0	1.0	700	$725	$1.04	13d	2	1.34mi
644 2nd Ave E West Fargo, ND	2.0	1.0	880	$740	$0.84	20d	1	1.37mi
419 6th St E Unit 7 West Fargo, ND	2.0	1.0	850	$730	$0.86	20d	1	1.44mi
424 6th St E West Fargo, ND	2.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	980	$880	$0.90	20d	7	1.45mi

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-06-13
   listed $60,000 Pending 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 69% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,574
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,361
• − Property taxes: −$900
• − Insurance: −$300
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,246
• − Management: −$1,246
• − Depreciation: −$1,745
• Taxable income: $6,776
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,626
• After-tax cash flow: $5,701/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: West Fargo 6
• NCES district ID: 3819410
• Math proficiency: 41% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 42% ▼ -10.00%
• Median HH income: $58,914
• Composite: 36.6/100
• National rank: #4628
• State rank: #26 of 53 in ND

Livability — West Fargo

• Score: 77/100
• State rank: #10
• US rank: #2868

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: West Fargo, ND
• County: Cass County · 177,143 people
• City population: 40,631
• Metro: Fargo, ND-MN
• Population (ZIP): 40,631
• Household income: $91,040
• Rent vs Own: 35.3% rent · 64.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1154.0

Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 223,771 people
• By 2030: 251,835 · +12.5%
• By 2040: 311,816 · +39.3%
• By 2050: 378,694 · +69.2%
• By 2075: 571,386 · +155.3%
• By 2100: 769,727 · +244.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 86% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 28% Lithuanian 3% Scottish 3%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cass

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+8.4) · D 44.9% · R 53.3% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -8.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+8.4 2020: R+2.7 2016: R+10.7 2012: R+3.0 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -99.47%
• Current HPI: 181.6497
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.13%
• Metro: Fargo, ND-MN
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.09%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Utilities / Construction	1	$6B

Price history

-25.0% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-13 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-06-10 Listed $60,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2014-10-17 Sold (MLS) $75,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2014-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $74,300 Public Records
• 2014-07-18 Listed $80,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2009-12-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+8.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,308 · +120.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.