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3459 Desert Cloud
D+ Composite 47.26
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$420,000

3459 Desert Cloud · Rosamond, CA 93560
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,618 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 2002 6,534 sqft lot Est $516k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is love at 1st sight. Offering great curb appeal with RV parking. This home has just about everything for your family. Featuring a formal living & formal dining room. A huge family room with lots of natural lighting with high ceilings with a fireplace. This particular model has the master bedroom downstairs. In addition, there is a bonus room downstairs that could be a bedroom that has direct access to the guest bathroom which is perfect for guests or in laws. Upstairs, has the other bedrooms, & a very large loft that could easily be used as a 5th bedroom. Your kitchen has upgraded touches with newer counters & decorative back splash. Just off of the kitchen, offers an enclosed sun room that can offer additional space for your entertaining. Step out to your backyard that does feature a covered patio & you can retreat for relaxation with your above ground spa. This home is walking distance to the school & is ready for a new family. Hurry on this one!!!

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • 3 garage spots
  • Built 2002

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Single-family property (1 unit); No ADU; No common walls
  • HOA & community: Suburban community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 3 garage spaces; RV access/parking; Total of 3 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: House; Two stories; Entry on level 1
  • Construction: Concrete slab foundation; Built year recorded in public records
  • Exterior features: Patio; Sprinkler system with front sprinklers; Corner lot; Property has a view; No pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Breakfast counter / bar
  • Bedrooms: All bedrooms are upstairs
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling
  • Interior features: Two-story layout with all bedrooms located upstairs; Front entry; Above-ground spa; Main level has one bathroom
  • Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry area; Washer hookup available

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $420k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-227 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $380k (9.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $338k (19.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $338k (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.3% in Rosamond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,178 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Southern Kern Unified (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #387 of 517 in CA (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Westpark Elementary (940 students, 78% FRL); Tropico Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 782 students, 80% FRL); Rosamond High Early College Campus (913 students, 83% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 463 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,376/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 425% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $342k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $337,562 (19.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
5.65%
Cash-on-cash
-2.31%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$515,746
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3454 Garnet 0.38mi 5/3.0 2,669 (+2%) 1mo $515,000 $193 78
2274 Dwight Ct 0.36mi 5/3.0 2,521 (-4%) 0mo $500,000 $198 77
3408 Gemstone 0.23mi 5/3.0 2,459 (-6%) 4mo $485,000 $197 75
2136 Westpark Dr 0.28mi 5/2.5 2,478 (-5%) 3mo $475,000 $192 74
2016 Via Vida Feliz Ave 0.46mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,583 (-1%) 1mo $507,000 $196 71
3013 Via Bella Rosa 0.44mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,583 (-1%) 5mo $495,000 $192 68
3024 Erica 0.52mi 5/3.0 2,521 (-4%) 4mo $490,000 $194 66
3445 Stella Ave 0.75mi 5/3.0 2,588 (-1%) 4mo $529,990 $205 60
2903 La Calle Sabio Ave 0.70mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,583 (-1%) 2mo $490,000 $190 56
3383 Andrew Ave 0.54mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,288 (-13%) 1mo $460,000 $201 46
3619 Mount Whitney Ave 0.62mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,286 (-13%) 3mo $485,000 $212 40
3621 Mt San Gorgonia Ave 0.67mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,286 (-13%) 4mo $474,000 $207 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.4% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.6%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$23,138
Equity at exit
$174,942
10-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$119,381
Equity at exit
$259,253

Cash invested: $117,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93560

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
463
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,376 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,203
Tax from tax record
$516 /mo · $6,189/yr
Insurance
$175
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$709
Net cashflow
$-227

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,662
Max offer price $379,982
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $11 -5% $-108 +0% $-227 +5% $-345 +10% $-464
Rent -10% $-493 -5% $-360 +0% $-227 +5% $-93 +10% $40
Rate -1.0pp $-15 -0.5pp $-120 base $-227 +0.5pp $-335 +1.0pp $-446

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$105,000
Closing costs
$12,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3124 Via Bella Rosa Ave Rosamond, CA 4.0 2.0 1809 $3,200 $1.77 45d 1 0.29mi
3141 Patti Rose Ave Rosamond, CA 4.0 3.5 2788 $3,300 $1.18 0d 1 0.32mi
3017 Via Bella Rosa Ave Rosamond, CA 4.0 2.0 1820 $2,800 $1.54 45d 1 0.41mi
3075 Summer Breeze Ave Rosamond, CA 4.0 3.0 2873 $2,975 $1.04 0d 1 0.42mi
3926 Westbrook Ave Rosamond, CA 4.0 3.0 2500 $3,300 $1.32 4d 1 0.51mi
3809 Park Vista Ct Rosamond, CA 4.0 2.0 2034 $3,400 $1.67 45d 1 0.53mi
3016 Erica Ave Rosamond, CA 5.0 3.0 2521 $3,600 $1.43 0d 1 0.54mi
3542 Half Dome Ave Rosamond, CA 4.0 2.5 2583 $3,200 $1.24 5d 1 0.56mi
2917 La Calle Audaz Ave Rosamond, CA 4.0 2.5 2583 $2,900 $1.12 0d 1 0.66mi
2421 Arboretum Ave Rosamond, CA 4.0 2.5 2637 $2,950 $1.12 18d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $420,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 432-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $420,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,189 · $516/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,189 · $516/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 3% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 4 d/yr ≥100°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 18 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,507
− Mortgage interest
−$23,527
− Property taxes
−$6,189
− Insurance
−$2,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,241
− Management
−$3,241
− Depreciation
−$12,218
Taxable loss
−$10,007
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,402
After-tax cash flow
$-317/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southern Kern Unified
NCES district ID
0637620
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 7.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$54,523
Composite
22.5/100
National rank
#8093
State rank
#387 of 517 in CA

Livability — Rosamond

Score
49/100
State rank
#1178
US rank
#25952

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rosamond, CA
County
Kern County · 710,371 people
City population
22,119
Metro
Bakersfield, CA
Population (ZIP)
22,119
Household income
$77,431
Rent vs Own
22.6% rent · 77.4% own
Severe rent burden
425.0

Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
947,286 people
By 2030
978,984 · +3.3%
By 2040
1,045,018 · +10.3%
By 2050
1,105,232 · +16.7%
By 2075
1,229,538 · +29.8%
By 2100
1,238,059 · +30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 45% White 32% Two or more races 17% Black 13% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 35%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kern

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.40%
Current HPI
403.7206
Rent YoY
Metro
Bakersfield, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+77.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $420,000 CRMLS
  • 2019-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $342,500 Public Records
  • 2019-11-05 Sold (MLS) $342,500 AVMLS
  • 2019-09-16 Pending AVMLS
  • 2019-09-07 Listed $339,900 AVMLS
  • 2014-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $237,000 Public Records
  • 2014-10-29 Sold (MLS) $237,000 AVMLS
  • 2014-09-09 Listed $237,000 AVMLS

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,189 · +26.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…