🏷️ Likely Rental
3617 Sherwood Dr · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom, 2 bath cape-cod home with basement and 1 car attached garage. Additional garage/shed in back yard. Enclosed back deck. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing. Property is tenant occupied. 48 hours notice on all showings.
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1941
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Glendale subdivision; cross streets Beecher Rd & S Ballenger Hwy
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half story
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction
- Exterior features: Lot roughly 83 x 133 x 75 x 124 (approx. 0.24 acre); Aluminum siding
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Living room fireplace; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $487 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Holmes Stem Middle School Academy (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #420 of 493 statewide, top 86%, 324 students, 90% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 224 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $65k implies a 164% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 224 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.10%
- DSCR
- 2.43
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $91,214
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3405 Sherwood Dr | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,500 (-3%) | 4mo | $88,000 | $59 | 84 |
| 3318 Norwood Dr | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 1,674 (+8%) | 2mo | $118,100 | $71 | 75 |
| 812 Barney Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,577 (+2%) | 4mo | $68,750 | $44 | 74 |
| 945 Salisbury Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (+0%) | 4mo | $95,000 | $61 | 71 |
| 3414 Van Buren Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,470 (-5%) | 6mo | $28,000 | $19 | 71 |
| 2547 Altoona St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,653 (+7%) | 2mo | $116,600 | $71 | 60 |
| 2008 University Ave | 0.67mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,510 (-2%) | 4mo | $99,000 | $66 | 53 |
| 721 Frank St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,408 (-9%) | 5mo | $61,000 | $43 | 52 |
| 2539 Norbert St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,350 (-13%) | 6mo | $76,000 | $56 | 50 |
| 866 Tacken St | 0.53mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,664 (+8%) | 6mo | $48,000 | $29 | 48 |
| 825 Frank St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,334 (-14%) | 3mo | $112,500 | $84 | 48 |
| 2830 Reynolds St | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-13%) | 5mo | $31,500 | $23 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.51×
- Total profit
- $27,515
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 43.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.27×
- Total profit
- $95,896
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48503
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Rents YoY
- 12.3%
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,317 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$185 /mo · $2,226/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $487
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $524 | -5% $505 | +0% $487 | +5% $468 | +10% $450 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $383 | -5% $435 | +0% $487 | +5% $539 | +10% $591 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $520 | -0.5pp $503 | base $487 | +0.5pp $470 | +1.0pp $453 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410 Allendale Pl Flint, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2000 | $1,500 | $0.75 | 22d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 3713 Gratiot Ave Flint, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2428 Norbert St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 22d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2544 Tyrone St Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $825 | $0.57 | 15d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2610 Swayze St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1194 | $950 | $0.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1410 Bradley Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1160 | $995 | $0.86 | 22d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3901 Herrick St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2198 Utley Rd Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 47 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $65,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 221 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 220 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 219 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 218 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 216 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 215 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active 213 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 212 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 211 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 210 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $65,000 Active 207 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 235 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 234 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-05-01status Active
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bath cape-cod home with basement and 1 car attached garage. Additional garage/shed in back yard. Enclosed back deck. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing. Property is tenant occupied. 48 hours notice on all showings.
-
2026-05-01status Active 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bath cape-cod home with basement and 1 car attached garage. Additional garage/shed in back yard. Enclosed back deck. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing. Property is tenant occupied. 48 hours notice on all showings.
-
2026-05-01historical
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bath cape-cod home with basement and 1 car attached garage. Additional garage/shed in back yard. Enclosed back deck. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing. Property is tenant occupied. 48 hours notice on all showings.
-
2026-05-01historical 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bath cape-cod home with basement and 1 car attached garage. Additional garage/shed in back yard. Enclosed back deck. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing. Property is tenant occupied. 48 hours notice on all showings.
-
2025-10-09$65,000 Active
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bath cape-cod home with basement and 1 car attached garage. Additional garage/shed in back yard. Enclosed back deck. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing. Property is tenant occupied. 48 hours notice on all showings.
-
2025-10-09$65,000 Active 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bath cape-cod home with basement and 1 car attached garage. Additional garage/shed in back yard. Enclosed back deck. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing. Property is tenant occupied. 48 hours notice on all showings.
-
2016-08-11soldstatus $24,600 Sold 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Great Opportunity on this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in Flint. Nice home features a spacious living room with fireplace, separate family room, wood flooring, convenient enclosed porch offers a nice area for relaxing and enjoying backyard surrounded by mature trees. Home is conveniently located near shopping, schools and commuter highways.
-
2016-08-11soldstatus $24,600 Closed
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Great Opportunity on this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in Flint. Nice home features a spacious living room with fireplace, separate family room, wood flooring, convenient enclosed porch offers a nice area for relaxing and enjoying backyard surrounded by mature trees. Home is conveniently located near shopping, schools and commuter highways.
-
2016-08-03status Pending
-
2016-08-02status Pending 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Great Opportunity on this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in Flint. Nice home features a spacious living room with fireplace, separate family room, wood flooring, convenient enclosed porch offers a nice area for relaxing and enjoying backyard surrounded by mature trees. Home is conveniently located near shopping, schools and commuter highways.
-
2016-07-26price $16,000
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2016-07-25price $16,000 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Great Opportunity on this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in Flint. Nice home features a spacious living room with fireplace, separate family room, wood flooring, convenient enclosed porch offers a nice area for relaxing and enjoying backyard surrounded by mature trees. Home is conveniently located near shopping, schools and commuter highways.
-
2016-07-19$16,500 Active
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Great Opportunity on this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in Flint. Nice home features a spacious living room with fireplace, separate family room, wood flooring, convenient enclosed porch offers a nice area for relaxing and enjoying backyard surrounded by mature trees. Home is conveniently located near shopping, schools and commuter highways.
-
2016-07-19$16,500 Active 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Great Opportunity on this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in Flint. Nice home features a spacious living room with fireplace, separate family room, wood flooring, convenient enclosed porch offers a nice area for relaxing and enjoying backyard surrounded by mature trees. Home is conveniently located near shopping, schools and commuter highways.
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2005-07-12soldstatus $96,900
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2005-07-12soldstatus $96,900
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2005-07-12soldstatus $96,900
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2005-06-20historical
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2005-02-21$94,900
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2005-02-21$94,900
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2005-02-19$94,900
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2004-12-22historical
-
2004-12-22historical
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2004-11-08$114,500
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2004-11-08$114,500
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2004-11-04historical
-
2004-11-04historical
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2004-05-13$114,500
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2004-05-04$114,500
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2002-02-25soldstatus $120,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,226 · $185/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,226 · $185/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,801
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$2,226
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,264
- − Management
- −$1,264
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $5,190
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,246
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,596/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,347
- Household income
- $44,411
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1293.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 36% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.84%
- Current HPI
- 130.1152
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.35%
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-45.8% since first listed30 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-01 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-10-09 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-09 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-08-11 Sold (MLS) $24,600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-08-11 Sold (MLS) $24,600 REALCOMP
- 2016-08-03 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-08-02 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2016-07-26 Price Changed $16,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-07-25 Price Changed $16,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-07-19 Listed $16,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-07-19 Listed $16,500 REALCOMP
- 2005-07-12 Sold (MLS) $96,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-07-12 Sold (MLS) $96,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-07-12 Sold (MLS) $96,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-06-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-02-21 Listed $94,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-02-21 Listed $94,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-02-19 Listed $94,900 REALCOMP
- 2004-12-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-12-22 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2004-11-08 Listed $114,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-11-08 Listed $114,500 REALCOMP
- 2004-11-04 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2004-11-04 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-05-13 Listed $114,500 REALCOMP
- 2004-05-04 Listed $114,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,226 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…