112 Lincoln St · Nicholasville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Don't miss out on this great duplex investment property opportunity including a 24x90 lot adjacent to subject property that is build ready! This duplex features 1 bedroom, 1 full bathroom unit on top and bottom floor. Located in the downtown Nicholasville subdivision, one block away from the neighborhood park, stores and restaurants!
Key facts
- Neighborhood park
- Build ready lot
- 2,160 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 2,160 sq ft (0.0496 acres); Lot size source: Public Records; Parcel number 058-20-25-023.00
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; No additional utilities listed
- Home design: Duplex; Two levels
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Building area approximately 1,700
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Public water; Not on a waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Blinds
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $629 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 3.4% in Nicholasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#231 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Jessamine County (town): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 165 in KY (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Nicholasville Elementary School (math 26% / reading 38%, grade F, #348 of 676 statewide, top 55%, 455 students, 62% FRL); West Jessamine Middle School (math 32% / reading 53%, grade D-, #47 of 217 statewide, top 22%, 904 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 496 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 267 units permitted in Jessamine County in 2024 (9 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jessamine County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.55%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.5% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $28,750
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 30.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.34×
- Total profit
- $116,972
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40356
- Home prices YoY
- -18.6%
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 496
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,889 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$397
- Net cashflow
- $629
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $715 | -5% $672 | +0% $629 | +5% $585 | +10% $542 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $479 | -5% $554 | +0% $629 | +5% $703 | +10% $778 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $692 | -0.5pp $660 | base $629 | +0.5pp $596 | +1.0pp $563 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 Elm St Nicholasville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,500 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 516 S Main St Unit 1 Nicholasville, KY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1454 | $1,850 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 136 Lowell Ct Nicholasville, KY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,750 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 443 Edgewood Dr Unit 5 Nicholasville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 108 Winners Cir Nicholasville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1641 | $2,100 | $1.28 | 22d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 105 Stepping Stone Path Nicholasville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1877 | $2,350 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1140 Orchard Dr Nicholasville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1519 | $2,695 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 404 Virginia Ln Nicholasville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1775 | $2,300 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 101 Rainbow Dr Nicholasville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,895 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 209 Mary Rose Ln Nicholasville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 137 Garnet Dr Nicholasville, KY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1232 | $1,150 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $125,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-19historical
-
2026-05-19$150,000 Active
-
2026-04-09price $175,000
-
2026-03-24$200,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,670
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,814
- − Management
- −$1,814
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $5,905
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,417
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,126/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jessamine County
- NCES district ID
- 2103030
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,249
- Composite
- 32.81/100
- National rank
- #5623
- State rank
- #37 of 165 in KY
Livability — Nicholasville
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #231
- US rank
- #11266
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Nicholasville, KY
- County
- Jessamine County · 45,849 people
- City population
- 45,849
- Metro
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,849
- Household income
- $74,495
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1186.0
Population outlook (Jessamine County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 58,419 people
- By 2030
- 61,468 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 66,952 · +14.6%
- By 2050
- 71,357 · +22.1%
- By 2075
- 80,325 · +37.5%
- By 2100
- 83,848 · +43.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Subsaharan African 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jessamine
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.2% · R 67.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: -37.0pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+40.0 2012: R+39.9 2008: R+37.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.88%
- Current HPI
- 270.2432
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.50%
- Metro
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
-25.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $150,000 ImagineMLS
- 2026-05-19 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $175,000 ImagineMLS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $200,000 ImagineMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…