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112 Lincoln St
B Composite 70.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

112 Lincoln St · Nicholasville, KY 40356
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,700 sqft · Other public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1960 2,160 sqft lot ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Don't miss out on this great duplex investment property opportunity including a 24x90 lot adjacent to subject property that is build ready! This duplex features 1 bedroom, 1 full bathroom unit on top and bottom floor. Located in the downtown Nicholasville subdivision, one block away from the neighborhood park, stores and restaurants!

Key facts

  • Neighborhood park
  • Build ready lot
  • 2,160 sq ft lot

Tags

DUPLEX INVESTMENT PROPERTYBUILD READY LOTNEIGHBORHOOD PARKSTORES AND RESTAURANTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 2,160 sq ft (0.0496 acres); Lot size source: Public Records; Parcel number 058-20-25-023.00

Exterior

  • Parking: Other parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; No additional utilities listed
  • Home design: Duplex; Two levels
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Building area approximately 1,700
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Public water; Not on a waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Blinds

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $629 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 3.4% in Nicholasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#231 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jessamine County (town): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 165 in KY (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Nicholasville Elementary School (math 26% / reading 38%, grade F, #348 of 676 statewide, top 55%, 455 students, 62% FRL); West Jessamine Middle School (math 32% / reading 53%, grade D-, #47 of 217 statewide, top 22%, 904 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 496 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 267 units permitted in Jessamine County in 2024 (9 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jessamine County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $123,125 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
12.33%
Cash-on-cash
21.55%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.5% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$28,750
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
30.4%
Equity multiple
4.34×
Total profit
$116,972
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40356

Home prices YoY
-18.6%
Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
496
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,889 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$397
Net cashflow
$629

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $715 -5% $672 +0% $629 +5% $585 +10% $542
Rent -10% $479 -5% $554 +0% $629 +5% $703 +10% $778
Rate -1.0pp $692 -0.5pp $660 base $629 +0.5pp $596 +1.0pp $563

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
203 Elm St Nicholasville, KY 4.0 1.0 1176 $1,500 $1.28 24d 1 0.19mi
516 S Main St Unit 1 Nicholasville, KY 3.0 2.5 1454 $1,850 $1.27 24d 1 0.29mi
136 Lowell Ct Nicholasville, KY 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,750 $1.18 24d 1 0.63mi
443 Edgewood Dr Unit 5 Nicholasville, KY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 14d 1 1.11mi
108 Winners Cir Nicholasville, KY 3.0 2.0 1641 $2,100 $1.28 22d 1 1.12mi
105 Stepping Stone Path Nicholasville, KY 3.0 2.0 1877 $2,350 $1.25 24d 1 1.20mi
1140 Orchard Dr Nicholasville, KY 3.0 2.0 1519 $2,695 $1.77 24d 1 1.26mi
404 Virginia Ln Nicholasville, KY 3.0 2.0 1775 $2,300 $1.30 24d 1 1.27mi
101 Rainbow Dr Nicholasville, KY 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,895 $1.35 14d 1 1.31mi
209 Mary Rose Ln Nicholasville, KY 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,650 $1.18 14d 1 1.37mi
137 Garnet Dr Nicholasville, KY 3.0 2.5 1232 $1,150 $0.93 24d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,000 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    price $125,000 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 11 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 10 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    historical
  17. 2026-05-19
    listed $150,000 Active
  18. 2026-04-09
    price $175,000
  19. 2026-03-24
    listed $200,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,670
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,814
− Management
−$1,814
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$5,905
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,417
After-tax cash flow
$6,126/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jessamine County
NCES district ID
2103030
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$50,249
Composite
32.81/100
National rank
#5623
State rank
#37 of 165 in KY

Livability — Nicholasville

Score
66/100
State rank
#231
US rank
#11266

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Nicholasville, KY
County
Jessamine County · 45,849 people
City population
45,849
Metro
Lexington-Fayette, KY
Population (ZIP)
45,849
Household income
$74,495
Rent vs Own
32.5% rent · 67.5% own
Severe rent burden
1186.0

Population outlook (Jessamine County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
58,419 people
By 2030
61,468 · +5.2%
By 2040
66,952 · +14.6%
By 2050
71,357 · +22.1%
By 2075
80,325 · +37.5%
By 2100
83,848 · +43.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Subsaharan African 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jessamine

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.2% · R 67.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+1.1pp toward D · 2008: -37.0pp · 2024: -35.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.9 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+40.0 2012: R+39.9 2008: R+37.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -61.88%
Current HPI
270.2432
Rent YoY
▲ 7.50%
Metro
Lexington-Fayette, KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $150,000 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listing Removed ImagineMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $175,000 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $200,000 ImagineMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…