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1341 Montevale Ct
D+ Composite 47.07
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$398,500

1341 Montevale Ct · Fenton, MO 63026
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,814 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1991 10,018 sqft lot Est $456k · 13% under $10/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this spacious 2-story nestled in the desirable Courtney Estates neighborhood within the sought-after Lindbergh School District! Surrounded by mature trees and quiet streets, this 2800+ sqft home offers a wonderful blend of space, comfort, and opportunity to make it your own. The main level features a welcoming family room, formal dining room, and a cozy living room with a wood-burning fireplace — perfect for relaxing evenings at home. The kitchen walks out to a deck overlooking the backyard, creating an ideal space for entertaining, grilling, or enjoying your morning coffee. Upstairs, you will find a generous primary suite complete with a huge walk-in closet and an ove

Key facts

  • Hvac updates
  • 0.23 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

COUNTRY ESTATES NEIGHBORHOODLINDBERGH SCHOOL DISTRICTWOOD-BURNING FIREPLACEDECK OVERLOOKING BACKYARDUNFINISHED WALK-OUT BASEMENTHVAC UPDATES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Private ownership; Above-grade finished area reported as 2,814 (per public records)
  • HOA & community: Courtney Estates HOA; Annual HOA fee of $125 (covers common area maintenance); Association has no listed amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage with automatic opener (approx. 20 x 19); On-street parking; Concrete driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (Ameren); Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Private ownership
  • Construction: Built with aluminum siding, vinyl siding, brick veneer and concrete; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Some trees on the lot; Vinyl fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Wall oven; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on upper level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full unfinished walk-out basement; Fireplace in the living room; 9 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $398k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-86 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $383k (3.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $331k (16.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $331k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.3% in Fenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#65 in MO, #4,484 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Lindbergh Schools (suburban): math 41% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #38 of 324 in MO (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Concord Elem. School (math 43% / reading 62%, grade C-, #226 of 1,115 statewide, top 21%, 552 students, 10% FRL); Truman Middle School (math 36% / reading 49%, grade D-, #140 of 391 statewide, top 38%, 736 students, 15% FRL); Lindbergh Sr. High (math 56% / reading 70%, grade B-, #26 of 521 statewide, top 5%, 2,235 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools at 12% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 150 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $179k; list at $398k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $331,202 (16.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.93%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$455,868
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1365 Montevale Ct 0.10mi 3/3.0 (-1) 3,147 (+12%) 13mo $510,000 $162 58
1212 Montevale Ct 0.30mi 4/3.0 3,147 (+12%) 15mo $529,900 $168 52
54 Sennawood Dr 0.65mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,673 (-5%) 7mo $450,000 $168 49
1656 Littleton Ct 0.54mi 3/2.5 (-1) 3,072 (+9%) 15mo $355,000 $116 42
1625 Littleton Ct 0.61mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,486 (-12%) 21mo $315,000 $127 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.8%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-53,583
Equity at exit
$59,418
10-year hold
IRR
2.2%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$20,882
Equity at exit
$34,455

Cash invested: $111,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63026

Rents YoY
7.7%
Active inventory
150
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,312 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,090
Tax from tax record
$437 /mo · $5,245/yr
Insurance
$166
HOA
$10
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$696
Net cashflow
$-86

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,421
Max offer price $383,231
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $139 -5% $26 +0% $-86 +5% $-199 +10% $-312
Rent -10% $-348 -5% $-217 +0% $-86 +5% $44 +10% $175
Rate -1.0pp $114 -0.5pp $15 base $-86 +0.5pp $-190 +1.0pp $-295

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,625
Closing costs
$11,955
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
342 Fury Dr Fenton, MO 4.0 3.0 2188 $4,995 $2.28 3d 1 0.54mi
961 Villa Gran Way Fenton, MO 5.0 3.5 3300 $3,200 $0.97 0d 1 0.74mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$10 · $120/yr

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    status $398,500 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $398,500 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-05-25
    listed $398,500 Active
  4. 1991-12-30
    soldstatus $179,463

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,245 · $437/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,245 · $437/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,744
− Mortgage interest
−$22,322
− Property taxes
−$5,245
− Insurance
−$1,992
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,180
− Management
−$3,180
− HOA
−$120
− Depreciation
−$11,593
Taxable loss
−$7,888
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,893
After-tax cash flow
$856/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lindbergh Schools
NCES district ID
2918690
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$66,145
Composite
42.62/100
National rank
#3186
State rank
#38 of 324 in MO

Livability — Fenton

Score
74/100
State rank
#65
US rank
#4484

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fenton, MO
County
Jefferson County · 108,544 people
City population
45,354
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
45,354
Household income
$97,553
Rent vs Own
19.7% rent · 80.3% own
Severe rent burden
513.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -300.59%
Current HPI
211.8944
Rent YoY
▲ 7.72%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+122.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $398,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1991-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $179,463 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2022): $5,245 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…