1341 Montevale Ct · Fenton, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$398,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this spacious 2-story nestled in the desirable Courtney Estates neighborhood within the sought-after Lindbergh School District! Surrounded by mature trees and quiet streets, this 2800+ sqft home offers a wonderful blend of space, comfort, and opportunity to make it your own. The main level features a welcoming family room, formal dining room, and a cozy living room with a wood-burning fireplace — perfect for relaxing evenings at home. The kitchen walks out to a deck overlooking the backyard, creating an ideal space for entertaining, grilling, or enjoying your morning coffee. Upstairs, you will find a generous primary suite complete with a huge walk-in closet and an ove
Key facts
- Hvac updates
- 0.23 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Private ownership; Above-grade finished area reported as 2,814 (per public records)
- HOA & community: Courtney Estates HOA; Annual HOA fee of $125 (covers common area maintenance); Association has no listed amenities
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage with automatic opener (approx. 20 x 19); On-street parking; Concrete driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (Ameren); Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Private ownership
- Construction: Built with aluminum siding, vinyl siding, brick veneer and concrete; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Some trees on the lot; Vinyl fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Wall oven; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on upper level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full unfinished walk-out basement; Fireplace in the living room; 9 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $398k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-86 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $383k (3.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $331k (16.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $331k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.3% in Fenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#65 in MO, #4,484 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Lindbergh Schools (suburban): math 41% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #38 of 324 in MO (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Concord Elem. School (math 43% / reading 62%, grade C-, #226 of 1,115 statewide, top 21%, 552 students, 10% FRL); Truman Middle School (math 36% / reading 49%, grade D-, #140 of 391 statewide, top 38%, 736 students, 15% FRL); Lindbergh Sr. High (math 56% / reading 70%, grade B-, #26 of 521 statewide, top 5%, 2,235 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools at 12% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 150 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $179k; list at $398k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.93%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $455,868
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1365 Montevale Ct | 0.10mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 3,147 (+12%) | 13mo | $510,000 | $162 | 58 |
| 1212 Montevale Ct | 0.30mi | 4/3.0 | 3,147 (+12%) | 15mo | $529,900 | $168 | 52 |
| 54 Sennawood Dr | 0.65mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,673 (-5%) | 7mo | $450,000 | $168 | 49 |
| 1656 Littleton Ct | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 3,072 (+9%) | 15mo | $355,000 | $116 | 42 |
| 1625 Littleton Ct | 0.61mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,486 (-12%) | 21mo | $315,000 | $127 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-53,583
- Equity at exit
- $59,418
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $20,882
- Equity at exit
- $34,455
Cash invested: $111,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63026
- Rents YoY
- 7.7%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,312 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,090
- Tax from tax record
- −$437 /mo · $5,245/yr
- Insurance
- −$166
- HOA
- −$10
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$696
- Net cashflow
- $-86
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $139 | -5% $26 | +0% $-86 | +5% $-199 | +10% $-312 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-348 | -5% $-217 | +0% $-86 | +5% $44 | +10% $175 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $114 | -0.5pp $15 | base $-86 | +0.5pp $-190 | +1.0pp $-295 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,625
- Closing costs
- $11,955
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 342 Fury Dr Fenton, MO | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2188 | $4,995 | $2.28 | 3d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 961 Villa Gran Way Fenton, MO | 5.0 | 3.5 | 3300 | $3,200 | $0.97 | 0d | 1 | 0.74mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $10 · $120/yr
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-01status $398,500 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $398,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-25$398,500 Active
-
1991-12-30soldstatus $179,463
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,245 · $437/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,245 · $437/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,744
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,322
- − Property taxes
- −$5,245
- − Insurance
- −$1,992
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,180
- − Management
- −$3,180
- − HOA
- −$120
- − Depreciation
- −$11,593
- Taxable loss
- −$7,888
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,893
- After-tax cash flow
- $856/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lindbergh Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2918690
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,145
- Composite
- 42.62/100
- National rank
- #3186
- State rank
- #38 of 324 in MO
Livability — Fenton
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #65
- US rank
- #4484
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fenton, MO
- County
- Jefferson County · 108,544 people
- City population
- 45,354
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,354
- Household income
- $97,553
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 513.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -300.59%
- Current HPI
- 211.8944
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.72%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+122.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $398,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1991-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $179,463 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2022): $5,245 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…