9248 Ridge Blvd · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent opportunity for investor, builder, or business owner. This 1.08 acres parcel can be divided into 4 lots. There is a lot of potential with this property depending on your niche. Property is a corner lot with a church and community center across the street on Rogers Ave. and convenience store at the other end of Ridge Blvd. This will make a great fixer upper or tear it down and build 4 new homes and save on impact fees. Appraisal has been done on this property. Home is being sold ''AS IS''. Buyer to remove all items out of home.
Key facts
- Over 1 acre
- Windows
- Framing
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Septic tank; Other utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential use
- Construction: Frame construction with wood siding
- Exterior features: 1.04-acre lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Other appliances (unspecified)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $249 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,577/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 1765% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 251 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $150k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 251 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.11%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $259,550
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3257 Garden Brook Rd | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,817 (+2%) | 11mo | $260,500 | $143 | 63 |
| 3759 Soutel Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,728 (-4%) | 22mo | $185,000 | $107 | 57 |
| 9507 Arbor Oak Ln | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,893 (+6%) | 6mo | $271,600 | $143 | 54 |
| 3181 Garden Acres Ct E | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,817 (+2%) | 18mo | $264,000 | $145 | 54 |
| 3121 Rogers Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,631 (-9%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $159 | 48 |
| 9410 Arbor Glen Ln | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,844 (+3%) | 21mo | $262,900 | $143 | 44 |
| 3210 Garden Brook Rd | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,922 (+7%) | 21mo | $269,599 | $140 | 42 |
| 4163 Trout River Blvd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,688 (-6%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $148 | 41 |
| 3135 Sedona Trl | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,555 (-13%) | 11mo | $235,000 | $151 | 39 |
| 3193 Garden Acres Ct E | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,529 (-15%) | 18mo | $253,000 | $165 | 33 |
| 3108 Soutel Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,598 (-11%) | 22mo | $185,000 | $116 | 30 |
| 2907 Ribault Scenic Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,592 (-11%) | 20mo | $375,000 | $236 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-13,073
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-8,829
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32208
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 291
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,577 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$148 /mo · $1,772/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $249
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $334 | -5% $291 | +0% $249 | +5% $206 | +10% $164 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $124 | -5% $187 | +0% $249 | +5% $311 | +10% $374 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $324 | -0.5pp $287 | base $249 | +0.5pp $210 | +1.0pp $171 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3848 Soutel Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,541 | $1.25 | 8d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3250 Soutel Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,525 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 8516 Bermuda Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $1,625 | $1.09 | 20d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 9032 8th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4819 Arrowsmith Rd Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $1,500 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4895 Churchill Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 8973 4th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,438 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3029 Bessent Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $1,750 | $1.32 | 3d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3283 Penny Cove Dr Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $2,000 | $1.21 | 17d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2950 Bessent Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $1,779 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 8918 1st Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $1,321 | $0.92 | 16d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3231 Penny Cove Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1626 | $1,945 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2978 Centerwood Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1437 | $1,805 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 8721 4th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1344 | $1,399 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 10569 Madrone Cove Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1678 | $1,700 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-03-01status Active
-
2026-02-05status Active
-
2026-01-30status Pending
-
2026-01-30historical
-
2026-01-27status Active
-
2026-01-13status Pending
-
2025-12-05price $150,000
-
2025-10-25status Active
-
2025-10-25status Pending
-
2025-10-07status Active
-
2025-10-03historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-08-07$185,000 Active
-
2023-09-22historical
-
2023-08-11status Active
-
2023-08-09historical Active - Contingent
-
2023-05-22$170,000 Active
-
2023-04-14soldstatus $80,000
-
2023-04-07soldstatus $80,000 Sold 542-char remark
Show marketing remark (542 chars)
Excellent opportunity for investor, builder, or business owner. This 1.08 acres parcel can be divided into 4 lots. There is a lot of potential with this property depending on your niche. Property is a corner lot with a church and community center across the street on Rogers Ave. and convenience store at the other end of Ridge Blvd. This will make a great fixer upper or tear it down and build 4 new homes and save on impact fees. Appraisal has been done on this property. Home is being sold ''AS IS''. Buyer to remove all items out of home.
-
2023-01-29status Pending 542-char remark
Show marketing remark (542 chars)
Excellent opportunity for investor, builder, or business owner. This 1.08 acres parcel can be divided into 4 lots. There is a lot of potential with this property depending on your niche. Property is a corner lot with a church and community center across the street on Rogers Ave. and convenience store at the other end of Ridge Blvd. This will make a great fixer upper or tear it down and build 4 new homes and save on impact fees. Appraisal has been done on this property. Home is being sold ''AS IS''. Buyer to remove all items out of home.
-
2023-01-17price $99,000 542-char remark
Show marketing remark (542 chars)
Excellent opportunity for investor, builder, or business owner. This 1.08 acres parcel can be divided into 4 lots. There is a lot of potential with this property depending on your niche. Property is a corner lot with a church and community center across the street on Rogers Ave. and convenience store at the other end of Ridge Blvd. This will make a great fixer upper or tear it down and build 4 new homes and save on impact fees. Appraisal has been done on this property. Home is being sold ''AS IS''. Buyer to remove all items out of home.
-
2022-11-12$102,900 Active 542-char remark
Show marketing remark (542 chars)
Excellent opportunity for investor, builder, or business owner. This 1.08 acres parcel can be divided into 4 lots. There is a lot of potential with this property depending on your niche. Property is a corner lot with a church and community center across the street on Rogers Ave. and convenience store at the other end of Ridge Blvd. This will make a great fixer upper or tear it down and build 4 new homes and save on impact fees. Appraisal has been done on this property. Home is being sold ''AS IS''. Buyer to remove all items out of home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,772 · $148/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,772 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,922
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,772
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,514
- − Management
- −$1,514
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $607
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$146
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,842/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,699
- Household income
- $41,324
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1765.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.56%
- Current HPI
- 217.9706
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.36%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+45.8% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-01 Relisted — realMLS
- 2026-02-05 Relisted — realMLS
- 2026-01-30 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-01-30 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2026-01-27 Relisted — realMLS
- 2026-01-13 Pending — realMLS
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $150,000 realMLS
- 2025-10-25 Relisted — realMLS
- 2025-10-25 Pending — realMLS
- 2025-10-07 Relisted — realMLS
- 2025-10-03 Contingent — realMLS
- 2025-08-07 Listed $185,000 realMLS
- 2023-09-22 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2023-08-11 Relisted — realMLS
- 2023-08-09 Contingent — realMLS
- 2023-05-22 Listed $170,000 realMLS
- 2023-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2023-04-07 Sold (MLS) $80,000 realMLS
- 2023-01-29 Pending — realMLS
- 2023-01-17 Price Changed $99,000 realMLS
- 2022-11-12 Listed $102,900 realMLS
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,772 · +25.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…