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19820 Grandview St
C Composite 55.95
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.6/30.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

19820 Grandview St · Detroit, MI 48219
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,149 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1948 5,663 sqft lot $148/sqft · 46% above area Est $116k · 46% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the heart of Thomas Hitchmans Homecroft Subdivision, this home offers the perfect blend of contemporary living and timeless charm. This home offers (5) bedrooms, (2) bathrooms, and 1149 square feet of living space. Beautiful backyard ideal for hosting summer barbecues or simply enjoying a morning coffee in the sunshine.

Key facts

  • Beautiful backyard
  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

BEAUTIFUL BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas water heater
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1948; Brick and vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Other type basement
  • Exterior features: Public water; Lot approximately 0.13 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (12 x 10); Bedroom 2 (8 x 5); Bedroom 3 (8 x 5); Bedroom 4 (8 x 5); Bedroom 5 (8 x 5)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Fireplace; Storm windows; Insulated windows; 10 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $509 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,976/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 3584% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $170k implies a 1033% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $164,803 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
9.89%
Cash-on-cash
12.85%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$116,478
List price
$169,900
Delta
45.86%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18935 Woodbine St 0.63mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,178 (+2%) 8mo $190,000 $161 50
18988 Woodbine St 0.60mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,127 (-2%) 23mo $90,000 $80 45
18973 Dale St 0.66mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,234 (+7%) 15mo $50,000 $41 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$15,315
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
20.8%
Equity multiple
3.15×
Total profit
$102,469
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48219

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
308
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,976 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,081/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$415
Net cashflow
$509

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,331
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $606 -5% $558 +0% $509 +5% $461 +10% $413
Rent -10% $353 -5% $431 +0% $509 +5% $588 +10% $666
Rate -1.0pp $595 -0.5pp $553 base $509 +0.5pp $465 +1.0pp $421

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20516 Denby Redford, MI 4.0 1.5 950 $1,800 $1.89 19d 1 1.36mi
20772 Indian St Southfield, MI 4.0 1.0 1272 $1,800 $1.42 45d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    status $169,900 Pending 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $169,900 Active 34 DOM
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Located in the heart of Thomas Hitchmans Homecroft Subdivision, this home offers the perfect blend of contemporary living and timeless charm. This home offers (5) bedrooms, (2) bathrooms, and 1149 square feet of living space. Beautiful backyard ideal for hosting summer barbecues or simply enjoying a morning coffee in the sunshine.

  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,900 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-05-02
    listed $179,900 Active 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Located in the heart of Thomas Hitchmans Homecroft Subdivision, this home offers the perfect blend of contemporary living and timeless charm. This home offers (5) bedrooms, (2) bathrooms, and 1149 square feet of living space. Beautiful backyard ideal for hosting summer barbecues or simply enjoying a morning coffee in the sunshine.

  8. 2026-05-02
    listed $179,900 Active 333-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Located in the heart of Thomas Hitchmans Homecroft Subdivision, this home offers the perfect blend of contemporary living and timeless charm. This home offers (5) bedrooms, (2) bathrooms, and 1149 square feet of living space. Beautiful backyard ideal for hosting summer barbecues or simply enjoying a morning coffee in the sunshine.

  9. 2026-05-02
    listed $179,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Located in the heart of Thomas Hitchmans Homecroft Subdivision, this home offers the perfect blend of contemporary living and timeless charm. This home offers (5) bedrooms, (2) bathrooms, and 1149 square feet of living space. Beautiful backyard ideal for hosting summer barbecues or simply enjoying a morning coffee in the sunshine.

  10. 2016-01-07
    historical
  11. 2015-08-12
    historical
  12. 2015-07-08
    listed $45,000 Active
  13. 2015-07-07
    listed $45,000
  14. 2014-10-30
    soldstatus $15,000
  15. 2014-10-30
    soldstatus $15,000
  16. 2014-10-13
    historical
  17. 2014-10-03
    listed $17,500
  18. 2014-10-03
    listed $17,500
  19. 2010-11-30
    soldstatus $8,000
  20. 2010-10-25
    listed $7,900
  21. 2010-09-10
    historical
  22. 2010-09-01
    listed $8,800
  23. 1995-03-29
    soldstatus $36,489

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,081 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,849 · $154/mo
Expected delta
+$768/yr (+$64/mo · 71.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,716
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$1,081
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,897
− Management
−$1,897
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable income
$3,531
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$848
After-tax cash flow
$5,266/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,208
Household income
$43,655
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
3584.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.06%
Current HPI
563.3263
Rent YoY
▲ 8.04%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+365.6% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-04 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $169,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $169,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $179,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $179,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $179,900 REALCOMP
  • 2016-01-07 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-08-12 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2015-07-08 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2015-07-07 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-10-30 Sold (MLS) $15,000 REALCOMP
  • 2014-10-30 Sold (MLS) $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-10-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-10-03 Listed $17,500 REALCOMP
  • 2014-10-03 Listed $17,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-11-30 Sold (MLS) $8,000 REALCOMP
  • 2010-10-25 Listed $7,900 REALCOMP
  • 2010-09-10 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2010-09-01 Listed $8,800 REALCOMP
  • 1995-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $36,489 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,081 · -49.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…