7106 Laurel Valley Dr · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- ARV discount +14.8/15.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Turnkey investment property in the Lackland AFB rental corridor, tenant in place and cash flowing from day one. Currently leased with rent paid directly via SAHA/Section 8 HAP, providing government-backed income with minimal collection risk. Major systems have been updated including roof, water heater, and sewer line, keeping deferred maintenance low. Investor buyers ONLY. NO owner-occupant or FHA/VA financing. Currently rented for $1604.
Key facts
- Tenant in place
- Cash flowing
- Investment property
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($817/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- South San Antonio ISD (urban): math 13% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #804 of 826 in TX (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.3%/yr); 91 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.77%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $197,098
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -16.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5746 Elm Vly | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-2%) | 3mo | $199,999 | $189 | 84 |
| 7030 Grand Valley St | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 | 1,225 (+14%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $135 | 70 |
| 7143 Laurel Valley Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,224 (+14%) | 4mo | $184,900 | $151 | 63 |
| 6039 Golden Valley Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,032 (-4%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $136 | 61 |
| 5914 Fir Vly | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 984 (-8%) | 2mo | $164,900 | $168 | 60 |
| 5762 Sunset Pt | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,226 (+14%) | 5mo | $223,750 | $183 | 59 |
| 5643 Vista Pont | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,226 (+14%) | 0mo | $215,000 | $175 | 56 |
| 5915 Middlefield | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,180 (+10%) | 3mo | $175,900 | $149 | 56 |
| 6134 Cedar Vly | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,032 (-4%) | 2mo | $159,900 | $155 | 49 |
| 5647 Middlefield | 0.49mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,199 (+12%) | 3mo | $134,900 | $113 | 48 |
| 7438 Brook Vly | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 945 (-12%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $79 | 39 |
| 151 Reefridge | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 946 (-12%) | 2mo | $139,500 | $147 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-27,232
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- -16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-36,775
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78242
- Home prices YoY
- -17.6%
- Rents YoY
- -1.3%
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,682 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$326 /mo · $3,917/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $68
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5927 Mohave Vly San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $1,750 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 5611 Elm Valley Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $1,700 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 5938 Autumn Palms San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,400 | $1.78 | 1d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 5619 Stonybrook Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,425 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 6106 Cedar Valley Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,375 | $1.40 | 4d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 6943 Emerald Vly San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1341 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 5547 Stonybrook Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,425 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 7515 Holm Rd San Antonio, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 886 | $1,404 | $1.58 | 3d | 31 | 0.66mi |
| 6802 Cougar Cv San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $1,550 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 6611 Cougar Vlg San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $1,495 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 7411 Hazel Cv San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1287 | $1,450 | $1.13 | 16d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 6627 Freedom Rnch San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 150 Rustleaf Dr San Antonio, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 898 | $1,099 | $1.22 | 1d | 46 | 0.86mi |
| 6619 Freedom Hls San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1410 | $1,900 | $1.35 | 1d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6230 Hazel Valley St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6214 Slate Valley Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,100 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5350 W Military Dr San Antonio, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 972 | $1,356 | $1.40 | 1d | 54 | 0.90mi |
| 6719 Dragon Crk San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $1,700 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 7319 Walnut Valley Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,900 | $1.65 | 12d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 6010 Ray Ellison Blvd San Antonio, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 974 | $1,418 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 6286 Apple Valley Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,395 | $1.17 | 1d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 6243 Indian Valley Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,400 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 5523 Indian Desert St San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1192 | $1,325 | $1.11 | 17d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 5427 Indian Desert St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $1,195 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 5507 Prairie Flower Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $2,000 | $1.71 | 10d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 8671 SW Loop 410 San Antonio, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,405 | $1.37 | 16d | 7 | 1.27mi |
| 4750 Military Dr W San Antonio, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1015 | $1,969 | $1.94 | 1d | 11 | 1.34mi |
| 5542 Snow Fox St San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1280 | $1,900 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 6911 Hallie Rdg San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1463 | $1,475 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 7327 Aphelion Cv San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $1,499 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $165,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-09$165,000 New 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Turnkey investment property in the Lackland AFB rental corridor, tenant in place and cash flowing from day one. Currently leased with rent paid directly via SAHA/Section 8 HAP, providing government-backed income with minimal collection risk. Major systems have been updated including roof, water heater, and sewer line, keeping deferred maintenance low. Investor buyers ONLY. NO owner-occupant or FHA/VA financing. Currently rented for $1604.
-
2001-01-22soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,917 · $326/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,917 · $326/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,180
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$3,917
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,614
- − Management
- −$1,614
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$1,834
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$440
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,257/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South San Antonio ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4840680
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,460
- Composite
- 13.6/100
- National rank
- #9511
- State rank
- #804 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,168
- Household income
- $50,644
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1778.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 86% Two or more races 25% White 8% Black 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 67%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 43% English-only · Spanish 55%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.63%
- Current HPI
- 259.9788
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.32%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Listed $165,000 LERA
- 2001-01-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,917 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…