403 Ramsgate Rd · Cranberry, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.2/15.0
- Cash flow +9.7/30.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$499,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tucked just steps from Ramsgate Green and framed by wooded views, this brand-new 3-bedroom, 3.5-bath townhome offers nearly 2,000 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space. From your front door, a neighborhood trail invites morning jogs or evening strolls that lead to the lake at Crescent-your own little escape into nature. Inside, natural light pours across the open-concept main level, where 9' ceilings create an airy sense of space. The chef-inspired kitchen takes center stage with a bold matte black island, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and upgraded stained maple cabinetry that blends style with function. Whether you're hosting a dinner party or savoring a quiet morning coffee, the seamless flow from kitchen to dining to great room makes every moment feel effortless. Upstairs, the primary suite is your private retreat with a walk-in closet and spa-like en-suite bath. A second bedroom with its own full bath ensures guests or family have space to unwind, while the lower-level bedroom and bath flex to fit your lifestyle-whether that's a cozy office, media room, or welcoming guest suite. Nestled in Cranberry Twp, Crescent offers a serene neighborhood lake ideal for fishing, a central green for gatherings, and picturesque walking trails just steps from your front door-all just a half mile from the UPMC Lemieux Sports Complex and a short walk to Pittsburgh's first Wegmans. This home is eligible for special incentives. Contact us for more details.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Ss appliances
- Chef's kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath townhouse listed at $500k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-333 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $452k (9.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $395k (21.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $395k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.4% in Cranberry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Seneca Valley SD (rural): math 48% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #73 of 539 in PA (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Rowan El Sch (math 62% / reading 77%, grade A-, #151 of 1,518 statewide, top 12%, 527 students, 14% FRL); Ryan Gloyer Ms (math 32% / reading 64%, grade C-, #153 of 512 statewide, top 30%, 1,123 students, 21% FRL); Seneca Valley Hs (math 71% / reading 75%, grade B+, #35 of 437 statewide, top 8%, 2,307 students, 18% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 397 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 28d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 987 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($124k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 333 days — a 12% lower offer ($440k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 333 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.86%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $532,490
- List price
- $499,990
- Delta
- -6.10%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405 Ramsgate Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 2,495 (+5%) | 8mo | $599,990 | $240 | 80 |
| 324 Highbridge Ln | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 2,495 (+5%) | 11mo | $524,260 | $210 | 78 |
| 248 Limehouse Rd | 0.22mi | 3/3.0 | 2,258 (-5%) | 3mo | $539,000 | $239 | 77 |
| 200 Tune St | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 2,436 (+3%) | 15mo | $644,990 | $265 | 77 |
| 340 Highbridge Ln | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 | 2,494 (+5%) | 11mo | $559,990 | $225 | 76 |
| 423 Ramsgate Rd | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 | 2,131 (-10%) | 5mo | $542,990 | $255 | 73 |
| 247 Limehouse Rd | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 | 2,215 (-7%) | 4mo | $499,900 | $226 | 72 |
| 338 Highbridge Ln | 0.04mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,161 (-9%) | 8mo | $540,990 | $250 | 72 |
| 328 Highbridge Ln | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 2,131 (-10%) | 11mo | $487,770 | $229 | 69 |
| 221 Limehouse Rd | 0.27mi | 3/2.5 | 2,017 (-15%) | 2mo | $620,000 | $307 | 57 |
| 239 Limehouse Rd | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 | 2,100 (-12%) | 15mo | $625,000 | $298 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-113,757
- Equity at exit
- $74,550
- IRR
- -32.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.22×
- Total profit
- $-170,893
- Equity at exit
- $43,230
Cash invested: $139,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 8 active · 10 under contract
- Months of supply
- 4.0 mo (25%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $526,490 ($249/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 105 d
- This list price
- 12% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -9.8% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 16066
- Rents YoY
- -1.9%
- Active inventory
- 397
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,952 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,622
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$625 /mo · $7,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$208
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$830
- Net cashflow
- $-333
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $12 | -5% $-160 | +0% $-333 | +5% $-506 | +10% $-679 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-645 | -5% $-489 | +0% $-333 | +5% $-177 | +10% $-21 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-81 | -0.5pp $-206 | base $-333 | +0.5pp $-463 | +1.0pp $-594 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $124,998
- Closing costs
- $15,000
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509 High Crescent Rd Cranberry Township, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3170 | $5,500 | $1.74 | 72d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 219 Limehouse Rd Cranberry Township, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $7,500 | $3.41 | 93d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1000 Creekview Cir Cranberry Township, PA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1185 | $2,767 | $2.34 | 11d | 18 | 0.83mi |
| 305 Frederick Way Cranberry Twp, PA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1748 | $3,200 | $1.83 | 93d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 114 Main St Cranberry Twp, PA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2900 | $5,995 | $2.07 | 16d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 121 Main St Cranberry Twp, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2286 | $3,500 | $1.53 | 28d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 233 Main St Cranberry Township, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1778 | $2,895 | $1.63 | 35d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 197 Foundation Dr Cranberry Twp, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2206 | $3,500 | $1.59 | 28d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 701 Halcyon Ln Cranberry Township, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $3,200 | $1.60 | 11d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 417 Roebling Ct Cranberry Twp, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2500 | $3,100 | $1.24 | 16d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 274 Clearbrook Ct Cranberry Township, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,150 | $1.26 | 20d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 446 Anna Marie Dr Cranberry Township, PA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2268 | $3,400 | $1.50 | 72d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3022 Mahican Cir Mars, PA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2232 | $3,250 | $1.46 | 65d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3006 Mahican Cir Mars, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2400 | $2,995 | $1.25 | 11d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $499,990 Active 333 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $499,990 Active 332 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $499,990 Active 331 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $499,990 Active 330 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $499,990 Active 329 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $499,990 Active 328 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $499,990 Active 325 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $499,990 Active 324 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $499,990 Active 323 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $499,990 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $499,990 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $499,990 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $499,990 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $499,990 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $499,990 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $499,990 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $499,990 Active 312 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $499,990 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $499,990 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $499,990 Active 309 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $499,990 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $499,990 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $499,990 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $499,990 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $499,990 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $499,990 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $499,990 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $499,990 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $499,990 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $499,990 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $499,990 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $499,990 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $499,990 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $499,990 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $499,990 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $499,990 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $499,990 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-25pricedays on market $499,990 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $509,990 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $509,990 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $509,990 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $509,990 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $509,990 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $509,990 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $509,990 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $509,990 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $509,990 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $509,990 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $509,990 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $509,990 Active 268 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,426
- − Mortgage interest
- −$28,007
- − Property taxes
- −$7,500
- − Insurance
- −$2,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,794
- − Management
- −$3,794
- − Depreciation
- −$14,545
- Taxable loss
- −$12,714
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,051
- After-tax cash flow
- $-946/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This brand-new townhome is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a great value for both resale and rental markets with minimal updates needed to enhance its appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Interior touch-ups — Fresh paint and minor updates can enhance the home's appeal and value. ↑
- Both Kitchen appliances — Upgrading appliances can increase the home's appeal and value. ↑
- Both Bathroom fixtures — Upgrading fixtures can increase the home's appeal and value. ↑
- Rental HVAC maintenance — Ensures the HVAC system is in good condition and can attract renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping maintenance — Maintaining the landscaping can enhance curb appeal and attract buyers and renters alike. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seneca Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222440
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,381
- Composite
- 51.84/100
- National rank
- #1666
- State rank
- #73 of 539 in PA
Livability — Cranberry
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Butler County · 190,777 people
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,873
- Household income
- $124,189
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 190,777 people
- By 2030
- 191,476 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 189,474 · -0.7%
- By 2050
- 182,050 · -4.6%
- By 2075
- 159,526 · -16.4%
- By 2100
- 129,028 · -32.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Asian 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Butler
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.2) · D 33.5% · R 65.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -32.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.35%
- Current HPI
- 276.4597
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.93%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-5.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $509,990 Zillow
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $509,990 West Penn MLS
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $511,990 Zillow
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $511,990 West Penn MLS
- 2026-01-31 Price Changed $517,990 Zillow
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $517,990 West Penn MLS
- 2025-09-12 Price Changed $529,990 Zillow
- 2025-09-11 Price Changed $529,990 West Penn MLS
- 2025-09-10 Listed $538,990 Zillow
- 2025-09-09 Listed $538,990 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
-1.1%/yrLatest (2026): $56 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…