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20 A Lakeside Cres
C- Composite 51.21
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

20 A Lakeside Cres · Hampton, VA 23669
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,013 sqft · Condo · 244 Days on market
Built 1988 Good condition $148/sqft · 17% below area Est $181k · 17% under $365/mo HOA · 22% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This stylish first floor level condo has new carpet and paint throughout. Nice size living room with fireplace and kitchen with a desk area or coffee bar. There are 2 large bedrooms and primary bedroom has good sized closet and shelving unit. This condo is open and airy and is conveniently located.

Key facts

  • New carpet
  • New paint
  • First floor level

Tags

FIRST FLOOR LEVELNEW CARPETNEW PAINTLIVING ROOM WITH FIREPLACEKITCHEN WITH DESK AREACOFFEE BAR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $150k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-83 ($-999/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (8.0% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.5% in Hampton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#133 in VA, #4,302 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
  • Hampton City Public School District (urban): math 60% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #40 of 131 in VA (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 232 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 68 units permitted in Hampton city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hampton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 244 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 244 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
5.63%
Cash-on-cash
-2.38%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$180,940
List price
$149,900
Delta
-17.16%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-25,148
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
-3.0%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-9,617
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23669

Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
232
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,668 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax est. 1.5%
$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$365
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$350
Net cashflow
$-83

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,773
Max offer price $137,854
Occupancy floor 100%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
408 Fishers Ct Hampton, VA 2.0 2.0 1369 $1,999 $1.46 43d 1 0.55mi
1102 Celia Ct Hampton, VA 2.0 2.0 1370 $2,100 $1.53 43d 1 0.59mi
600 Freeman Dr Hampton, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 892 $2,008 $2.25 1d 8 0.71mi
135 Pine Chapel Rd Hampton, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 830 $1,490 $1.80 2d 9 0.78mi
1625 W Pembroke Ave Unit 7 Hampton, VA 2.0 1.5 950 $1,250 $1.32 43d 1 0.78mi
1625 W Pembroke Ave Hampton, VA 2.0 1.5 950 $1,250 $1.32 23d 1 0.79mi
18 Tall Pine Dr Hampton, VA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,365 $1.71 21d 5 0.86mi
702 Rutherford St Hampton, VA 3.0 2.0 1445 $1,795 $1.24 23d 1 0.88mi
708 Norwood Cir Hampton, VA 2.0 1.0 720 $1,050 $1.46 23d 1 0.96mi
708 Westwood Ave Hampton, VA 3.0 2.5 1300 $2,300 $1.77 14d 1 1.01mi
622 Westwood Ave Hampton, VA 1.0 1.0 1380 $1,000 $0.72 23d 1 1.09mi
640 Homestead Ave Hampton, VA 3.0 1.0 852 $1,750 $2.05 43d 1 1.10mi
603 La Salle Ave Hampton, VA 2.0 1.0 759 $1,000 $1.32 43d 1 1.12mi
2 Abbott Dr Hampton, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.5 1187 $2,224 $1.87 1d 18 1.12mi
901 W Queen St Hampton, VA 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.5 1096 $1,250 $1.14 43d 1 1.19mi
507 Highland Ave Hampton, VA 2.0 1.0 925 $1,500 $1.62 14d 1 1.20mi
640 Rolfe St Hampton, VA 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,000 $1.82 43d 1 1.25mi
504 Homestead Ave Hampton, VA 1.0 1.0 750 $1,195 $1.59 10d 1 1.26mi
7 W Lewis Rd Hampton, VA 3.0 2.0 1208 $2,425 $2.01 21d 1 1.32mi
607 Lee St Hampton, VA 3.0 1.5 1404 $2,150 $1.53 43d 1 1.33mi
1587 Briarfield Rd Hampton, VA 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 985 $1,240 $1.26 2d 9 1.33mi
2018 Cunningham Dr Hampton, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 997 $1,538 $1.54 1d 25 1.38mi
2217 Todds Ln Hampton, VA 2.0 2.5 1300 $1,450 $1.12 43d 1 1.41mi
624 Pennsylvania Ave Hampton, VA 3.0 1.0 912 $1,600 $1.75 23d 1 1.45mi
613 Delaware Ave Hampton, VA 3.0 2.0 1082 $1,900 $1.76 2d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$365 · $4,380/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 244 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 243 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 242 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 241 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 Active 238 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 235 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 234 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 233 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 229 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 228 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 227 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 226 DOM
  13. 2026-04-17
    status Active 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    This stylish first floor level condo has new carpet and paint throughout. Nice size living room with fireplace and kitchen with a desk area or coffee bar. There are 2 large bedrooms and primary bedroom has good sized closet and shelving unit. This condo is open and airy and is conveniently located.

  14. 2026-03-30
    status Under Contract 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    This stylish first floor level condo has new carpet and paint throughout. Nice size living room with fireplace and kitchen with a desk area or coffee bar. There are 2 large bedrooms and primary bedroom has good sized closet and shelving unit. This condo is open and airy and is conveniently located.

  15. 2026-03-23
    historical Active Under Contract 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    This stylish first floor level condo has new carpet and paint throughout. Nice size living room with fireplace and kitchen with a desk area or coffee bar. There are 2 large bedrooms and primary bedroom has good sized closet and shelving unit. This condo is open and airy and is conveniently located.

  16. 2025-09-29
    listed $149,900 Active 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    This stylish first floor level condo has new carpet and paint throughout. Nice size living room with fireplace and kitchen with a desk area or coffee bar. There are 2 large bedrooms and primary bedroom has good sized closet and shelving unit. This condo is open and airy and is conveniently located.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,015
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$2,248
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,601
− Management
−$1,601
− HOA
−$4,380
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$3,323
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$797
After-tax cash flow
$-202/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This stylish first-floor condo is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. Painting and landscaping improvements would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Fresh flooring improves aesthetics and functionality
  • Both New kitchen backsplash — Enhances kitchen aesthetics and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Fresh flooring improves aesthetics and functionality
  • Both New kitchen backsplash — Enhances kitchen aesthetics and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hampton City Public School District
NCES district ID
5101800
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,089
Composite
55.19/100
National rank
#1272
State rank
#40 of 131 in VA

Livability — Hampton

Score
75/100
State rank
#133
US rank
#4302

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A Crime C- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hampton, VA
County
Hampton City · 132,421 people
City population
132,421
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
39,884
Household income
$71,222
Rent vs Own
40.4% rent · 59.6% own
Severe rent burden
2130.0

Population outlook (Hampton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
134,055 people
By 2030
131,753 · -1.7%
By 2040
125,017 · -6.7%
By 2050
116,825 · -12.9%
By 2075
97,033 · -27.6%
By 2100
76,188 · -43.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Black 46% White 39% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hampton

2024 margin
Solid D (+39.9) · D 69.2% · R 29.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.0pp no change · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 39.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+39.9 2020: D+42.2 2016: D+37.8 2012: D+45.4 2008: D+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.40%
Current HPI
276.4636
Rent YoY
▲ 5.44%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Relisted REINMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Pending REINMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Contingent REINMLS
  • 2025-09-29 Listed $149,900 REINMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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