20 A Lakeside Cres · Hampton, VA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.3/30.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This stylish first floor level condo has new carpet and paint throughout. Nice size living room with fireplace and kitchen with a desk area or coffee bar. There are 2 large bedrooms and primary bedroom has good sized closet and shelving unit. This condo is open and airy and is conveniently located.
Key facts
- New carpet
- New paint
- First floor level
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $150k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-83 ($-999/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (8.0% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.5% in Hampton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#133 in VA, #4,302 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
- Hampton City Public School District (urban): math 60% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #40 of 131 in VA (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 232 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 68 units permitted in Hampton city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hampton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 244 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 244 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.38%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $180,940
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -17.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-25,148
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-9,617
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23669
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 232
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,668 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$365
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $-83
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 408 Fishers Ct Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1369 | $1,999 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1102 Celia Ct Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $2,100 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 600 Freeman Dr Hampton, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $2,008 | $2.25 | 1d | 8 | 0.71mi |
| 135 Pine Chapel Rd Hampton, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 830 | $1,490 | $1.80 | 2d | 9 | 0.78mi |
| 1625 W Pembroke Ave Unit 7 Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1625 W Pembroke Ave Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 18 Tall Pine Dr Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,365 | $1.71 | 21d | 5 | 0.86mi |
| 702 Rutherford St Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $1,795 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 708 Norwood Cir Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,050 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 708 Westwood Ave Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $2,300 | $1.77 | 14d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 622 Westwood Ave Hampton, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1380 | $1,000 | $0.72 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 640 Homestead Ave Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,750 | $2.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 603 La Salle Ave Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 759 | $1,000 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2 Abbott Dr Hampton, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1187 | $2,224 | $1.87 | 1d | 18 | 1.12mi |
| 901 W Queen St Hampton, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1096 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 507 Highland Ave Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,500 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 640 Rolfe St Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 504 Homestead Ave Hampton, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,195 | $1.59 | 10d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 7 W Lewis Rd Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $2,425 | $2.01 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 607 Lee St Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1404 | $2,150 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1587 Briarfield Rd Hampton, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 985 | $1,240 | $1.26 | 2d | 9 | 1.33mi |
| 2018 Cunningham Dr Hampton, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 997 | $1,538 | $1.54 | 1d | 25 | 1.38mi |
| 2217 Todds Ln Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 624 Pennsylvania Ave Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,600 | $1.75 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 613 Delaware Ave Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $1,900 | $1.76 | 2d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $365 · $4,380/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-04-17status Active 299-char remark
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
This stylish first floor level condo has new carpet and paint throughout. Nice size living room with fireplace and kitchen with a desk area or coffee bar. There are 2 large bedrooms and primary bedroom has good sized closet and shelving unit. This condo is open and airy and is conveniently located.
-
2026-03-30status Under Contract 299-char remark
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
This stylish first floor level condo has new carpet and paint throughout. Nice size living room with fireplace and kitchen with a desk area or coffee bar. There are 2 large bedrooms and primary bedroom has good sized closet and shelving unit. This condo is open and airy and is conveniently located.
-
2026-03-23historical Active Under Contract 299-char remark
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
This stylish first floor level condo has new carpet and paint throughout. Nice size living room with fireplace and kitchen with a desk area or coffee bar. There are 2 large bedrooms and primary bedroom has good sized closet and shelving unit. This condo is open and airy and is conveniently located.
-
2025-09-29$149,900 Active 299-char remark
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
This stylish first floor level condo has new carpet and paint throughout. Nice size living room with fireplace and kitchen with a desk area or coffee bar. There are 2 large bedrooms and primary bedroom has good sized closet and shelving unit. This condo is open and airy and is conveniently located.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,015
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,248
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,601
- − Management
- −$1,601
- − HOA
- −$4,380
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$3,323
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$797
- After-tax cash flow
- $-202/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This stylish first-floor condo is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. Painting and landscaping improvements would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Fresh flooring improves aesthetics and functionality
- Both New kitchen backsplash — Enhances kitchen aesthetics and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Fresh flooring improves aesthetics and functionality ↑
- Both New kitchen backsplash — Enhances kitchen aesthetics and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hampton City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101800
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,089
- Composite
- 55.19/100
- National rank
- #1272
- State rank
- #40 of 131 in VA
Livability — Hampton
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #133
- US rank
- #4302
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hampton, VA
- County
- Hampton City · 132,421 people
- City population
- 132,421
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,884
- Household income
- $71,222
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2130.0
Population outlook (Hampton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 134,055 people
- By 2030
- 131,753 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 125,017 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 116,825 · -12.9%
- By 2075
- 97,033 · -27.6%
- By 2100
- 76,188 · -43.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 46% White 39% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hampton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.9) · D 69.2% · R 29.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.0pp no change · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.9 2020: D+42.2 2016: D+37.8 2012: D+45.4 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.40%
- Current HPI
- 276.4636
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.44%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2026-03-30 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-03-23 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2025-09-29 Listed $149,900 REINMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…