20255 Santa Rosa Dr · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A great opportunity for investors or a homeowner ready to bring their vision to life. This home offers solid potential to add value and make it your own. Conveniently located near major highways, schools, parks, and shopping for easy access to everything the area has to offer. Schedule your private showing today. Purchaser to pay 395 processing fee. As-is sale. SELLER FINANCING / LAND CONTRACT TERMS AVAILABLE AT 70,000 PURCHASE PRICE, 20,000 DOWN PAYMENT, 8% INTEREST, 72 MONTH TERM. 877 / MONTH. seller financing/land contract terms are negotiable.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1946
- Listed 69 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $769 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.1% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 349 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 59.93%
- DSCR
- 3.67
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $100,255
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -45.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20038 Santa Rosa Dr | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 927 (-1%) | 3mo | $103,000 | $111 | 83 |
| 20000 Prairie St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 974 (+4%) | 6mo | $25,000 | $26 | 72 |
| 235 Flowerdale St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 968 (+4%) | 6mo | $172,500 | $178 | 68 |
| 19928 Santa Barbara Dr | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 865 (-7%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $104 | 64 |
| 931 Emwill St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-4%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $317 | 64 |
| 20145 Northlawn St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 967 (+4%) | 5mo | $74,900 | $77 | 59 |
| 1368 Northway St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,017 (+9%) | 0mo | $264,900 | $260 | 58 |
| 20233 Roselawn St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 829 (-11%) | 2mo | $33,000 | $40 | 57 |
| 20501 Northlawn St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 992 (+6%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $91 | 56 |
| 515 Farmdale St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+7%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $265 | 55 |
| 207 Saint Louis St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,014 (+9%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $251 | 46 |
| 774 Gardendale St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 1,058 (+13%) | 2mo | $221,000 | $209 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.65×
- Total profit
- $40,747
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 64.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.58×
- Total profit
- $101,346
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48221
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 349
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,460 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $872/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $769
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20038 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 510 Stratford Rd Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $1,750 | $1.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 20643 Stratford Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 20129 Stratford Rd Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,223 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 578 Kensington Ave Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,600 | $1.86 | 5d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 20045 Greenlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,350 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 695 Livernois St Unit 3 Ferndale, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $2,150 | $2.59 | 12d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 695 Livernois St Unit 2 Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,350 | $2.47 | 4d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 20110 Northlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 17d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 851 Gardendale St Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 933 | $1,625 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 353 W Webster St Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,525 | $1.69 | 16d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 20458 Indiana St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1049 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 17d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 20009 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1051 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 17d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 20185 Indiana St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1096 | $1,275 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 900 Laprairie St Ferndale, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,015 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 901 Saint Louis St Unit 901-02 Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,395 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 901 Saint Louis St Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,395 | $1.74 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 20445 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 226 Fielding St Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 224 Fielding St Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 19031 Livernois Unit F Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,135 | $1.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 22111 Woodward Ave Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $3,355 | $4.11 | 16d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 20515 Ilene St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,450 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 20460 Griggs St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 17d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 21374 Ithaca Ave Ferndale, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 996 | $1,775 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 413 W Nine Mile Rd Ste B Ferndale, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,850 | $2.06 | 17d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 415 W Nine Mile Rd Ferndale, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $2,500 | $2.74 | 17d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 430 W 9 Mile Rd Ferndale, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 754 | $2,827 | $3.75 | 1d | 3 | 1.18mi |
| 1260 W Nine Mile Rd Unit 13 Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,399 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1491 W Nine Mile Rd Unit 9 Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 20032 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,294 | $1.29 | 20d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 226 Withington St Apt 10 Ferndale, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,325 | $1.66 | 17d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 20429 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $1,300 | $1.49 | 17d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1291 W State Fair Ave Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 12d | 2 | 1.33mi |
| 19929 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,450 | $1.69 | 17d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 20122 Manor St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,200 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 690 E Marshall St Unit Lower Ferndale, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,295 | $1.85 | 10d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 20245 Manor Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1018 | $1,400 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 552 E Saratoga St Unit Upper Unit Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,300 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 22811 Rosewood St Oak Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $55,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-04-10$55,000 Active 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
A great opportunity for investors or a homeowner ready to bring their vision to life. This home offers solid potential to add value and make it your own. Conveniently located near major highways, schools, parks, and shopping for easy access to everything the area has to offer. Schedule your private showing today. Purchaser to pay 395 processing fee. As-is sale. SELLER FINANCING / LAND CONTRACT TERMS AVAILABLE AT 70,000 PURCHASE PRICE, 20,000 DOWN PAYMENT, 8% INTEREST, 72 MONTH TERM. 877 / MONTH. seller financing/land contract terms are negotiable.
-
2026-04-09$55,000 Active 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
A great opportunity for investors or a homeowner ready to bring their vision to life. This home offers solid potential to add value and make it your own. Conveniently located near major highways, schools, parks, and shopping for easy access to everything the area has to offer. Schedule your private showing today. Purchaser to pay 395 processing fee. As-is sale. SELLER FINANCING / LAND CONTRACT TERMS AVAILABLE AT 70,000 PURCHASE PRICE, 20,000 DOWN PAYMENT, 8% INTEREST, 72 MONTH TERM. 877 / MONTH. seller financing/land contract terms are negotiable.
-
2007-11-15soldstatus $50,000
-
2005-12-20historical
-
2005-06-20$30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $872 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $872 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,517
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$872
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,401
- − Management
- −$1,401
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $8,886
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,133
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,097/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,392
- Household income
- $57,878
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1646.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -433.14%
- Current HPI
- 280.5434
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.44%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+83.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-09 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2005-12-20 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2005-06-20 Listed $30,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $872 · -36.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…